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Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated February 07, 2026

Price

$238.73

Change

+0.28%

Market Cap

$50.85B

Avg Volume

1.7M

Company Overview

Autodesk, Inc. specializes in 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions. Their product lineup includes staples like AutoCAD, Revit, and Fusion, which are essential tools for architects, engineers, construction professionals, and digital artists. They also provide cloud-based platforms to enhance collaboration and project management, such as Autodesk Build and BIM Collaborate Pro. Their customer base spans various industries, including construction, manufacturing, and media.

Autodesk is a market leader in the CAD and design software space, with a significant share driven by their comprehensive product offerings. Their competitive edge lies in their extensive ecosystem that supports seamless collaboration across disciplines. However, they face stiff competition from companies like Dassault Systèmes and Siemens, which are strong in industrial design software. The emergence of open-source alternatives and lower-cost solutions could also disrupt Autodesk’s market position in the future.

Currently, Autodesk is in a growth phase, focusing on cloud services and subscription models to drive revenue. They recently made significant strides by acquiring companies to bolster their product lines and improve functionality. Notably, their transition to a recurring revenue model through subscriptions has resulted in a more stable income stream, with a reported increase in annual recurring revenue of approximately 15% year-over-year in their latest quarter. This strategic pivot positions Autodesk well for long-term success.

Key Financials

Market Cap

$50.85B

Revenue

$6.89B

EBITDA

$1.77B

Gross Margin

92.1%

Profit Margin

16.1%

Revenue Growth

18.0%

Total Cash

$2.29B

Total Debt

$2.73B

Free Cash Flow

$2.54B

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics

P/E Ratio

46.45

Forward P/E

20.51

Beta

1.45

52-Week High

$329.09

52-Week Low

$232.67

EPS

$5.14

50-Day Avg

$283.97

200-Day Avg

$296.29

Price/Book

17.49

Technical Analysis

Over the past 52 weeks, Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) has demonstrated a strong downward trend, decreasing from a high near $340 in February to a current price of $238.73, marking a 21.2% decline. Key support is evident at the $231.36 level, which has seen multiple tests in recent months, while resistance is solidified around the $300 mark, where the stock has struggled to stay above several times. A notable descending triangle pattern can be observed, indicating bearish momentum. In recent weeks, the price has shown weak upward momentum, briefly testing resistance near the $250 mark but failing to maintain those levels. The current price is situated near the lower end of the 52-week range, which implies potential vulnerability to further declines if support at $231.36 fails to hold. Overall, the chart suggests a challenging environment for Autodesk, with significant headwinds.

Recent News and Developments

Here’s a summary of the latest news and developments for Autodesk, Inc

(ADSK) stock over the past week:

1. JPMorgan Upgrades Autodesk to “Overweight” on AI Adoption and Industry Leadership

On February 2, 2026, JPMorgan Chase & Co. upgraded Autodesk (ADSK) from a “Neutral” to an “Overweight” rating, setting a new price target of $319.00. The upgrade reflects the investment bank’s confidence in Autodesk’s leadership in AI-powered design tools for architects, engineers, and contractors, as well as its strong position in Building Information Modeling (BIM) software and cloud-native platform. This price target suggests a potential upside of approximately 26% from recent closing prices.

2. Autodesk Stock Experiences Fluctuating Price Movements

Autodesk’s stock saw some fluctuations over the past week. On February 2, 2026, ADSK closed at $255.57, marking a 1.07% increase from the previous day’s close and outperforming the S&P 500. However, prior to this gain, shares had declined by 11.81%. By February 6, 2026, the stock closed at $240.40. The stock has experienced a broader decline of 17.9% over the past four weeks but is considered to be in oversold territory by some analysts.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case

JPMorgan’s upgrade to Overweight and 31 analysts recommending strong buy signals institutional confidence is returning. The AI integration across AutoCAD, Revit, and Fusion addresses real workflow pain points — AutoCAD 2026 opening drawings 11x faster is a tangible competitive advantage. Revenue growth at 18% with Q4 projected at 16.52% YoY shows the business is accelerating despite the stock’s 21.2% decline from February highs. The restructuring cutting 7% of workforce while reinvesting savings into AI development is disciplined capital allocation, not panic. At 46.45 P/E, ADSK trades at a discount to historical averages for a software company with this growth trajectory. The $363.20 analyst target implies 52% upside from current levels, and even the conservative $275 floor is only 15% downside from here. Support at $231.36 has held multiple tests, suggesting institutional buying is present at these levels.

Bear Case

The stock is down 21.2% from February highs and sitting near the bottom of its 52-week range for a reason. A descending triangle pattern with failed breakout attempts near $250 suggests technical momentum is broken and capitulation may not be complete. The 7% workforce reduction, while framed as optimization, signals margin pressure and execution risk ahead. Cash position of $2.29B against $2.73B in debt leaves limited room for error if growth slows or spending accelerates. The P/E of 46.45 still assumes flawless execution on AI monetization — there’s no guarantee customers pay premium prices for faster drawing opens and AI assistants. Macro uncertainty around design spending and construction cycles could pressure revenue growth if the economy softens. The stock needs to prove it can hold $231.36 support; a break below that level opens the door to $200.

What to Watch

February 26 earnings are the immediate catalyst. Watch for Q4 EPS to hit the $2.63 projection and revenue to confirm the 16.52% YoY growth narrative. Management guidance for fiscal 2027 is critical — if they lower expectations or signal slower AI adoption, the bull case evaporates fast. Monitor the $300 resistance level closely; a sustained break above it would invalidate the bearish chart pattern and signal genuine momentum shift. Track customer win rates and attach rates for AI features in the next earnings call. If AI tools are being adopted by less than 40% of new customers, the strategic pivot isn’t working. Watch for $231.36 support to hold; a break below signals technical capitulation and potential retest toward $200. Finally, keep an eye on guidance for restructuring charges in fiscal 2027 — if they exceed the $160M upper estimate, it suggests deeper operational issues than disclosed.

Analyst Consensus

STRONG BUY

Based on 31 analyst opinions

Low Target

$275.00

Mean Target

$363.20

High Target

$460.00

Earnings and Financial Data

Sector

Technology

Industry

Software – Application

Employees

15,300

Earnings & Dividends

Next Earnings

Feb 26, 2026

EPS (Trailing)

$5.14

Dividend Yield

None

Payout Ratio

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ADSK a good stock to buy?

Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) is currently rated as a STRONG BUY by analysts, with a target price of $363.20, suggesting significant upside potential from its current price of $238.73. The favorable forward P/E of 20.51 indicates that investors expect higher earnings growth, making it an attractive option.

What is ADSK’s price target?

Analysts have set a price target of $363.20 for Autodesk, reflecting a potential upside of about 52% from the current price. With a strong market cap of $50.85 billion, this target indicates confidence in Autodesk’s growth trajectory.

Does ADSK pay a dividend?

No, Autodesk does not currently pay a dividend. The focus appears to be on reinvesting earnings for growth, which is typical for a tech company in the software application sector.

What are ADSK’s 52-week price ranges?

Autodesk’s stock has traded between $232.67 and $329.09 over the past year. This range indicates some volatility, but it also suggests the potential for revaluation, especially with a clear bullish outlook from analysts.

What does the P/E ratio mean for ADSK?

Autodesk has a P/E ratio of 46.45, which is relatively high, reflecting market expectations for future growth. In contrast, the forward P/E of 20.51 implies that analysts anticipate stronger earnings growth in the near term amidst its current valuation.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated February 07, 2026.