BALL – Ball Corporation
Consumer Cyclical | Packaging & Containers
Key Statistics
AI Monthly Analysis Report
Ball Corporation Monthly Stock Report – November 20, 2025
Company Overview
Founded in 1880 and headquartered in Westminster, Colorado, Ball Corporation (NYSE: BALL) has established itself as a leader in the Packaging & Containers industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. The company specializes in providing aluminum packaging solutions across various sectors, including beverages, personal care, and household products. Its diverse product portfolio comprises aluminum beverage containers for carbonated soft drinks, beer, and energy drinks, alongside extruded aluminum aerosol containers, reclosable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs.
As a significant player in the packaging industry, Ball Corporation has capitalized on consumer demand for sustainable and recyclable packaging options. The company’s strategic focus underscores its commitment to innovation and operational excellence while navigating the dynamic economic landscape that characterizes the consumer cyclical sector.
52-Week Price Performance Analysis
52-Week Price Performance Chart
The stock price of Ball Corporation has demonstrated notable fluctuations over the past year. Currently trading at $47.57, the stock has peaked at $63.35, representing a decline of approximately 20.65% from its highs. The fifty-two-week low stands at $43.51, indicating significant volatility within this range.
Analysis of the stock’s performance reveals key technical indicators:
- Resistance Levels: The $60 resistance level has proven to be challenging for the stock to breach, tested multiple times throughout July and August without success.
- Support Levels: A strong support level is evident at $45, where the stock has rebounded on several occasions, notably in April, demonstrating resilience.
- Moving Averages: The fifty-day moving average is positioned at $48.69, indicating that the stock is currently trading just below this key threshold. The downward trend of the moving average suggests bearish momentum, posing a formidable resistance to upward price movements.
As the stock consolidates following its descent from the August highs, the current price level reflects a potential buying opportunity for investors looking to tap into the upside. However, the prevailing bearish trend and indecision among traders hint at the necessity for caution. A breakout above the $50 resistance level could signal a reversal, while failure to do so may lead to further downside.
Financial Performance and Metrics
In assessing Ball Corporation’s financial health, key metrics indicate a robust operational foundation:
- Total Revenue: The company boasts a substantial revenue of $12.69 billion, reflective of its significant market presence and operational scale.
- EBITDA: The earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) stands at $1.98 billion, underscoring healthy operational profitability.
- Shares Outstanding: Ball Corporation has 267,987,212 shares outstanding, with 5,158,993 shares shorted, reflecting approximately 2.24% of the company’s float shares currently held in short positions.
- Stock Price Relationship: With the stock price of $47.49 markedly below the target high of $72.00 and mean target price of $60.31, this situation highlights an attractive potential for price appreciation as investor sentiment shifts.
Ball’s financial performance is bolstered by a commitment to capital return, having recently authorized a $4 billion share repurchase plan alongside dividend declarations, illustrating a proactive approach to enhancing shareholder value.
Recent News and Developments
Recent developments surrounding Ball Corporation include significant strategic initiatives and leadership changes that could impact the company’s trajectory:
- On January 29, 2025, the board approved a new $4 billion share repurchase program, reflecting an ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders. This initiative replaces all previous authorizations and signals confidence in the company’s future performance.
- Additionally, a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share was declared, marking a steady cash return to shareholders, payable on March 17, 2025.
- Ball executed a $250 million accelerated share repurchase agreement with Credit Agricole CIB on June 16, 2025, emphasizing its operational strategy to utilize cash on hand and available borrowings.
- Notably, Edmund “Ted” Doering was appointed as the new Chief Information Officer on July 30, 2025, succeeding Brian Gabbard. Doering brings over 30 years of experience in global IT leadership, which may enhance operational efficiencies going forward.
- Ball Corporation reported solid first-quarter results for 2025, with comparable diluted earnings per share rising to 76 cents from 68 cents the previous year, and highlighting a 2.6% increase in global aluminum packaging shipments.
These developments paint a promising picture for Ball Corporation, although careful monitoring of execution and market conditions remains essential.
Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations
Current analyst sentiment surrounding Ball Corporation is notably optimistic. With 13 analysts contributing to the consensus, the recommendation mean stands at approximately 2.13, indicating a “buy” sentiment:
- Target Prices: Analysts project a target high price of $72.00 and a mean target price of $60.31, suggesting significant growth potential ahead. The median target price stands at $61.00, further reinforcing the consensus of a price recovery.
- Market Sentiment: A strong buy recommendation has been expressed for companies in this sector, bolstered by positive sentiment and projected growth trajectories.
Opportunities and Risks
Opportunities:
– The significant gap between the current stock price and projected target prices indicates a potential upside for investors.
– The successful execution of share repurchases and sustainable dividend payments may enhance shareholder value.
– Transitioning leadership may signal a strategic pivot towards operational improvements and innovation.
Risks:
– Continued challenges in breaking past resistance levels could deter bullish sentiment and exacerbate declines if market conditions worsen.
– Potential economic fluctuations that impact consumer spending behavior in the consumer cyclical sector could adversely affect performance.
In conclusion, while Ball Corporation faces challenges in revitalizing its stock performance amid current market conditions, the robust financial metrics, strategic initiatives undertaken, and favorable analyst sentiment suggest a potential for recovery and growth. Investors are advised to remain vigilant, evaluating both opportunities and risks as they approach their investment decisions.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $12.9b |
| Total Debt | $7.5b |
| Total Cash | $570.0m |
| Shares Outstanding | 268.0m |
| Float Shares | 266.2m |
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