ALTSTATION.IO

Dayforce, Inc. (DAY) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated February 07, 2026

Price

$69.86

Change

+1.36%

Market Cap

$11.18B

Avg Volume

3.7M

Company Overview

Dayforce, Inc., headquartered in Minneapolis, is a human capital management (HCM) software company. They offer a cloud-based platform called Dayforce that streamlines various HR functions, including payroll, workforce management, and talent intelligence. Their clientele includes businesses of all sizes, especially those in need of comprehensive HR solutions. They also provide Powerpay, a payroll and HR solution tailored for small businesses, along with professional services like training and implementation.

In terms of market position, Dayforce is a strong player in the HCM space, often considered a market challenger alongside giants like Workday and ADP. Their main advantage lies in their unified platform that integrates multiple HR functions into a single solution, which enhances user experience and operational efficiency. However, competition is fierce, especially from other established software firms that are continuously innovating their offerings. The ongoing shift towards remote work has also increased demand for effective workforce management tools, heightening the competitive landscape.

Currently, Dayforce is in a growth phase, benefiting from increased enterprise adoption of their HCM solutions. The company’s recent rebranding in February 2024 signifies a strategic pivot to emphasize their flagship product, Dayforce. Additionally, they have expanded their international footprint, which positions them well to capture a larger market share. Overall, Dayforce appears to be focused on bolstering its capabilities while navigating a dynamic environment.

Key Financials

Market Cap

$11.18B

Revenue

$1.89B

EBITDA

$111.50M

Gross Margin

50.9%

Profit Margin

-7.9%

Revenue Growth

9.5%

Total Cash

$627.60M

Total Debt

$1.23B

Free Cash Flow

$200.75M

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics

P/E Ratio

N/A

Forward P/E

25.84

Beta

1.17

52-Week High

$69.86

52-Week Low

$48.01

EPS

$-0.95

50-Day Avg

$69.24

200-Day Avg

$64.41

Price/Book

4.15

Technical Analysis

Over the past 52 weeks, Dayforce, Inc. (DAY) has exhibited a generally upward trend, marked by intermittent volatility. The stock has moved from a low near $50 to its current price of $69.86, with notable resistance around the $70 level, which has been tested but not conclusively breached. Support appears solid around the $65 mark, where previous retracements have shown a tendency to bounce back. In recent weeks, there has been a slight upward momentum as the stock has maintained levels close to its recent highs, suggesting an uptrend despite minor fluctuations. Currently, DAY is near the top of its 52-week range, indicating potential bullish sentiment; however, it remains crucial to watch for a decisive breakout above $70 for sustained upward movement. The overall 6.2% increase reflects this cautious optimism in the stock’s performance.

Recent News and Developments

Here’s a summary of the latest news and developments for Dayforce, Inc

(DAY) stock in the past week:

1. Dayforce Stock Rises on Reports of Impending Thoma Bravo Deal

Dayforce (DAY) shares saw an uptick following reports on February 2, 2026, suggesting that a deal with private equity firm Thoma Bravo is expected to be finalized in the coming weeks. This news indicates potential acquisition interest and could be a significant driver for the stock’s recent performance.

2. Positive Price Movement Early in the Week

Dayforce Inc. experienced positive price movement earlier in the week. As of February 3, 2026, the stock closed at $69.71, marking a 1.15% increase for the day. The latest closing price available, as of February 4, 2026, was $69.97.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case

Dayforce is trading at its 52-week high with a Thoma Bravo acquisition in the pipeline, which removes the uncertainty discount and suggests PE backing values the business higher than current market price. The company is growing revenue at 9.5% with $627.6M in cash against $1.23B debt, leaving room for operational leverage as the HCM software market expands. At 11.18B market cap, this is a reasonable valuation for a mission-critical payroll and HR platform with sticky customer relationships. The stock’s 40% move off its $48 low shows institutional confidence in the business fundamentals. A completed Thoma Bravo deal could unlock value through operational improvements and strategic bolt-ons that the public markets haven’t priced in yet.

Bear Case

The Thoma Bravo deal is not finalized, and any delay or collapse sends this stock down 10-15% from current levels given how much the deal premium is already baked in at $69.86. Revenue growth at 9.5% is pedestrian for a SaaS platform and suggests market saturation or execution issues in winning new customers. The stock is pinned at $70 resistance with analysts split between one buy and fifteen holds, indicating no real conviction on the upside even after the recent rally. Debt at 1.23B against 627.6M in cash means net leverage of roughly 600M, which constrains flexibility if the PE firm demands aggressive deleveraging post-acquisition. If the deal falls apart, expect the stock to trade back toward $60-65 where the fundamentals alone can support the valuation.

What to Watch

The Thoma Bravo deal closing date is the primary catalyst. Any announcement in the next 4-6 weeks confirming terms and timeline could push the stock to $72-75 if deal certainty increases. Monitor quarterly revenue growth rates and customer acquisition metrics in the next earnings report to validate whether 9.5% growth is accelerating or stalling. Watch for a decisive close above $70 on volume to confirm the breakout or a breakdown below $65 that signals deal doubt. Track Dayforce’s net cash position and debt repayment plans post-acquisition announcement, as PE firms typically restructure capital stacks aggressively. Finally, watch for any competitive pressure from ADP or Workday that could pressure margins and justify the “Hold” consensus among analysts.

Analyst Consensus

NONE

Based on 11 analyst opinions

Low Target

$69.00

Mean Target

$69.91

High Target

$70.00

Earnings and Financial Data

Sector

Technology

Industry

Software – Application

Employees

9,600

Earnings & Dividends

Next Earnings

Feb 11, 2026

EPS (Trailing)

$-0.95

Dividend Yield

None

Payout Ratio

Frequently Asked Questions

Is DAY a good stock to buy?

DAY is currently trading at $69.86 with a market cap of $11.18 billion. Its forward P/E of 25.84 suggests potential for growth, but without current earnings data or analyst recommendations, the decision requires caution.

What is DAY’s price target?

DAY’s target price sits at $69.91, indicating slight upside potential from its current price. However, without analyst recommendations, this is more of a benchmark than a strong buy signal.

Does DAY pay a dividend?

No, DAY does not currently offer a dividend. Investors seeking income should look elsewhere, as the focus here is likely on growth.

What has been DAY’s stock performance over the last year?

DAY’s 52-week range is $48.01 to $69.86, highlighting a strong performance and nearly a 46% increase from its lowest point. This upward momentum could indicate market confidence in its growth strategy.

What sector and industry does DAY operate in?

DAY operates in the technology sector, specifically within the Software – Application industry. This positioning is critical, as these sectors often drive higher valuation multiples in today’s market.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated February 07, 2026.