ALTSTATION.IO

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated February 07, 2026

Price

$54.95

Change

+1.99%

Market Cap

$17.69B

Avg Volume

6.0M

Company Overview

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is a global chemical company based in Houston, Texas. They produce a wide range of chemical products, including olefins like ethylene and propylene, polyolefins such as polyethylene and polypropylene, as well as various intermediates like styrene monomer and acetyls. Their products cater to diverse industries, including automotive, packaging, and construction. Their broad product range makes them a key supplier to companies looking for materials for everything from food packaging to automotive components.

As one of the leaders in the specialty chemicals sector, LyondellBasell holds a strong competitive position. They are well-established, with a market presence in Europe, Asia, and the Americas. Their extensive network and operational scale provide an edge in cost efficiency and innovation. However, they face challenges from competitors like Dow Inc. and BASF, who are also significant players in the chemical industry. Regulatory pressures and fluctuations in crude oil prices could impact profitability, making agility in response to market dynamics crucial.

Currently, LyondellBasell is focused on strategic growth and sustainability initiatives. They have made recent investments in expanding their capacity for recycling plastics, reflecting a pivot toward more environmentally friendly solutions. Despite facing headwinds from market volatility and supply chain disruptions, they continue to pursue opportunities in high-demand sectors, which positions them well amid ongoing industry shifts. Overall, the company’s strategy indicates a commitment to innovation and market leadership.

Key Financials

Market Cap

$17.69B

Revenue

$37.78B

EBITDA

$2.50B

Gross Margin

8.2%

Profit Margin

-3.2%

Revenue Growth

-10.2%

Total Cash

$1.81B

Total Debt

$13.33B

Free Cash Flow

$848.25M

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics

P/E Ratio

N/A

Forward P/E

14.26

Beta

0.71

52-Week High

$78.52

52-Week Low

$41.58

EPS

$-4.03

50-Day Avg

$47.07

200-Day Avg

$52.46

Price/Book

1.67

Technical Analysis

Over the past 52 weeks, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) has experienced a downward trend, highlighted by a 20.2% decrease in value. The stock peaked around $70 in February, followed by a steady decline, with significant lows near $40 in October. Current support appears around $50, while resistance can be identified at approximately $55.1, where the price has recently stalled. A notable pattern is the recent uptrend from the lows in late 2022, with a series of higher lows forming since January. Over the last few weeks, momentum has improved as the stock has rallied towards the $55 level, suggesting potential bullish sentiment. At the current price of $54.95, LYB sits just above the midpoint of its 52-week range ($35 to $70), indicating a potential consolidation phase after a significant drop.

Recent News and Developments

Here’s a summary of the latest news and developments for LyondellBasell Industries N.V

(LYB) stock in the past week (January 31, 2026 – February 7, 2026):

1. Mixed Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Adjustments Post-Earnings

Several analyst firms adjusted their price targets for LyondellBasell after the company reported its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings. RBC Capital raised its price target to $51.00 from $49.00, maintaining a Sector Perform rating, but also expressed concerns about potential dividend cuts due to challenging Q1 earnings expectations driven by higher energy costs and supply disruptions from Winter Storm Fern. Mizuho also increased its price target to $53 from $49 while keeping a Neutral rating, noting that while Q4 earnings per share missed expectations, revenue surpassed forecasts. Conversely, Goldman Sachs reiterated a Sell rating with a $51.00 price target, highlighting ongoing investor uncertainty regarding the company’s dividend policy, despite LyondellBasell’s emphasis on maintaining an investment-grade balance sheet.

2. Q4 2025 Earnings Miss Expectations, Revenue Beats

LyondellBasell Industries reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025 on January 30, 2026, revealing an earnings per share (EPS) loss of $0.26, which was significantly below the anticipated loss of $0.20. Despite the earnings miss, the company’s revenue exceeded expectations, reaching $7.09 billion against a forecast of $6.8 billion. The company also announced an increased target for its Cash Improvement Plan, aiming for $1.3 billion by the end of 2026, up from $1.1 billion.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case

LYB’s 11.2% dividend yield is genuinely attractive if the company can stabilize free cash flow, and management’s increased Cash Improvement Plan target to $1.3 billion by end-2026 (up from $1.1 billion) shows execution discipline. Q4 revenue beat expectations at $7.09 billion despite an EPS miss, proving demand for core products remains solid even in a down cycle. The stock sits near support at $50 after a 20.2% decline from its $70 peak, and the recent 6.83% rally on February 4th suggests institutional accumulation at depressed levels. With a $17.69 billion market cap and only $1.81 billion in cash against $13.33 billion in debt, the leverage is manageable if earnings stabilize. The 52-week low of $41.58 provides a safety net, and if LYB executes its cost plan while energy prices normalize post-Winter Storm Fern disruptions, earnings could surprise to the upside.

Bear Case

Revenue declined 10.2% year-over-year and the company posted a $0.26 EPS loss in Q4, missing even lowered expectations, which signals demand destruction in a cyclical downturn. The dividend is genuinely at risk: Goldman Sachs explicitly cited dividend sustainability concerns in its Sell rating, and with an 11.2% yield on shrinking earnings, the payout ratio is unsustainable without cash generation improvements. Truist Financial dumped 54.8% of its LYB holdings in Q3, a red flag that institutional investors are losing conviction. The debt-to-market-cap ratio of 75% is elevated, and with $13.33 billion owed against only $1.81 billion in cash, any further earnings compression forces dividend cuts or refinancing at higher rates. Winter Storm Fern disruptions and elevated energy costs are near-term headwinds, but the real issue is that chemical and plastics demand remains structurally weak, not a temporary blip.

What to Watch

Monitor Q1 2026 earnings guidance when released, specifically free cash flow and whether management maintains or cuts the dividend–this is the make-or-break event for the bull case. Track the progress of the Cash Improvement Plan quarterly; hitting the $1.3 billion target by year-end would validate management’s turnaround narrative, while missing it signals deeper operational problems. Watch energy prices and feedstock costs closely, as Winter Storm Fern disruptions are temporary but if they persist or polyethylene margins stay compressed, the revenue decline could accelerate. The stock’s reaction to the $55.1 resistance level is critical; a break above $60 would suggest institutional re-entry, while a drop below $50 support would confirm the downtrend is intact. Finally, monitor analyst target revisions in the next 4-6 weeks; the 17-analyst consensus of $51.06 is dangerously close to the current price, and any further downgrades would trigger selling pressure.

Analyst Consensus

HOLD

Based on 17 analyst opinions

Low Target

$36.00

Mean Target

$51.06

High Target

$90.00

Earnings and Financial Data

Sector

Basic Materials

Industry

Specialty Chemicals

Employees

20,000

Earnings & Dividends

Next Earnings

Apr 24, 2026

EPS (Trailing)

$-4.03

Dividend Yield

1017.0%

Payout Ratio

1146.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is LYB a good stock to buy?

Currently, analysts recommend holding LyondellBasell Industries stock with a target price of $51.06. The forward P/E of 14.26 suggests it may be fairly valued, making it less attractive as a buy at the current price of $54.95.

What is LYB’s price target?

The consensus price target for LYB is $51.06, indicating potential downside from its current price of $54.95. This target reflects cautious sentiment among analysts due to market conditions.

Does LYB pay a dividend?

Yes, LyondellBasell has an exceptionally high dividend yield of 1017.0%. However, this unusual figure may warrant further investigation into the sustainability of the dividend.

What is LYB’s market capitalization?

LyondellBasell Industries has a market capitalization of $17.69 billion. This positions it as a significant player in the specialty chemicals industry.

What was LYB’s 52-week price range?

LYB has traded between $41.58 and $78.52 over the past year. This wide range highlights the stock’s volatility and potential for sharp price movements.

Related Stock Reports

Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated February 07, 2026.