ADP – Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) Monthly Stock Report – November 10, 2025

Company Overview

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP), headquartered in Roseland, New Jersey, is a prominent player in the technology sector, specializing in cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solutions. Since its inception in 1949, ADP has evolved its business model to operate in two main segments: Employer Services and Professional Employer Organization (PEO). The Employer Services segment includes powerful platforms such as RUN Powered by ADP for small businesses, ADP Workforce Now tailored for mid-sized and large organizations, and ADP Lyric HCM for comprehensive HR management and analytics. Meanwhile, the PEO Services brand, ADP TotalSource, delivers HR outsourcing solutions through a co-employment model, equipping businesses with essential technology, employee benefits, and risk management services.

As a leading provider in the HCM sphere, ADP has established a strong market position, indicating robust operational capabilities within the software application industry. With a total revenue of approximately $20.9 billion, the company continues to innovate in extending its HCM offerings globally.

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

The technical analysis of ADP’s stock price over the past 52 weeks reveals a notable bearish trend. Currently priced at $253.68, ADP witnessed a high of $329.93 and a low of $249.68 during the same period. This indicates that the stock has experienced a substantial decline, reflecting a loss of about 15.42% from its 52-week peak.

Critical support and resistance levels have emerged clearly on the price chart. The $300 resistance level remains significant; after multiple rejections at this threshold, it has become a pivotal point for traders. Conversely, the stock recently broke the crucial support level around $260, which has now flipped to act as resistance following the downward trend. The 50-day moving average, currently at $284.90, showcases a divergence whereby ADP’s price remains approximately 11% below this average, signaling ongoing bearish momentum.

The prevailing trend showcases a descending trajectory with decreased investor interest, evidenced by the increase in volatility. Investors should remain vigilant and track indicators for potential stability or reversal patterns that might signal a shift in momentum.

Financial Performance and Metrics

ADP’s financial health indicators shed light on its operational capacity and shareholder value. For the latest quarter, the company reported revenues of $5 billion with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.35, outperforming market expectations. The company maintains robust total revenues of approximately $20.9 billion, with an EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) of around $6.09 billion.

The current share count stands at 404,448,744, with 7,882,546 shares shorted, equating to a short interest of about 2.17% of the float, which is indicative of investor sentiment and liquidity. Moreover, with a solid 2.37% dividend yield coupled with a 10% dividend growth rate, ADP’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders is evident, appealing to both income-oriented and growth-focused investors.

Recent News and Developments

November has brought critical developments for ADP, with its stock hitting a 52-week low of $254.77 on November 6, 2025, marking a decline of 13.17% over the previous year. Adding to investor caution, mixed analyst sentiments have emerged.

Notably, as of October 30, 2025, JPMorgan Chase & Co. downgraded ADP’s price target from $340.00 to $295.00, assigning it an “underweight” rating. Similarly, Wells Fargo & Company has revised their target from $288.00 to $272.00 with the same underweight rating. On a more positive note, Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev maintained an “Outperform” rating and raised his price target to $310 as of November 4.

Despite the downturn, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that the stock is currently in oversold territory, providing a potential buying opportunity for value-oriented investors looking to capitalize on price corrections.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Overall market consensus appears cautiously pessimistic around ADP’s stock performance. Analysts from 13 firms have arrived at an average rating of 2.875, recommending a ‘hold’ strategy. This implies that the stock is viewed as fairly valued currently, urging investors to consider maintaining existing positions without making significant buying or selling decisions at this time.

With a current stock price of $253.68, close attention is drawn to target price trajectories. The high forecast stands at $332.00, with a mean target price of $293.23 and a median target price of $300.00. This suggests that while there are potential upside opportunities, caution remains paramount until further market developments shape the investment landscape.

Conclusion

In summary, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. presents a mix of opportunities and risks for investors. While the company demonstrates robust financial metrics and a commitment to shareholder value, the stock’s current bearish trend and mixed analyst recommendations signal a need for caution. Potential investors should closely monitor price movements, resistance levels, and analyst sentiments before making any further investment decisions. Future reports will further examine how ADP navigates market conditions and investor expectations in the coming months.

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$102.6b
Total Debt	$9.9b
Total Cash	$7.7b
Shares Outstanding	404.4m
Float Shares	403.6m