Apollo Global Management, Inc. Monthly Stock Analysis - December 2025

Publication Date: December 17, 2025

Company Overview

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE: APO) is a distinguished private equity firm headquartered in New York, specializing in asset management across various financial services. Founded in 1990, Apollo has built a formidable reputation for investing in diverse markets, including private equity, credit, infrastructure, secondaries, and real estate. With a focus on both private and public investments, Apollo aims to leverage opportunities in middle-market, distressed assets, and corporate restructuring.

Apollo operates with a global investment strategy, emphasizing sectors such as clean energy, technology, and natural resources. It caters to a wide array of investors, including large institutional clients and individual investors, by providing tailored portfolio management through hedge funds, private equity funds, and real estate funds. Currently, Apollo is well-positioned in the asset management industry, boasting impressive financial metrics, with total revenues close to $27.2 billion and optimistic growth projections suggesting a "buy" recommendation for potential investors.

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

52-Week Price Performance Chart

Analyzing the performance of Apollo Global Management's stock over the past year reveals an intricate trend landscape. As of December 15, 2025, the stock closed at $147.89, firmly situated between its 52-week high of $178.11 and a low of $102.58. Notably, this represents a significant increase of approximately 44.3% from the low point, underscoring the stock's resilience since those lows.

The technical analysis highlights the following key points:

• Resistance Levels: The stock has encountered substantial resistance around the $160 mark, a level it has tested multiple times in recent months before pulling back. The stock's inability to maintain above this level indicates a need for sustained momentum to break through.

• Support Levels: On the downside, a robust support level is observed around $120, which has held firm during various market corrections, particularly in March and October. The presence of buying interest at this level suggests that it may serve as a floor for the stock's performance.

• Moving Averages: With the current price trading above the fifty-day moving average of $129.97, there are signs of bullish momentum. The recent upward movement in November (approximately 10.88% from previous lows) indicates potential for further growth. However, the stock remains constrained within a broadly sideways trend with slight bearish tilts as reflected by the formation of lower highs and lower lows.

Investors should remain vigilant regarding the stock's ability to break past significant resistance levels while also monitoring for potential retracements, especially if it cannot establish support above its current moving averages.

Financial Performance and Metrics

Apollo's financial performance showcases a robust revenue generation capacity. As reported, the total revenue for the firm stood at approximately $27.2 billion, affirming its status as a leading asset manager. However, some operational efficiency metrics--particularly EBITDA--are currently not available, limiting a full assessment of its profitability.

Here are some critical financial metrics to consider:

• Shares Outstanding: 580,422,573 shares are currently outstanding, providing a solid market capitalization foundation for the firm.
• Short Interest: Approximately 31,774,504 shares are shorted, equivalent to 5.95% of the company's float. This relatively low short interest level indicates moderate bearish sentiment among investors, suggesting cautious optimism regarding the stock's performance.
• Current Price vs. Analyst Targets: The stock currently trades at $147.89. Analysts have set a target high price at $186.00 and a target mean price of $162.06. This presents a potential upside of around 26% based on the current price, underscoring appealing growth prospects.

Valuation Metrics

Given the absence of comprehensive earnings metrics, investors should hone in on available valuations as indicators of financial health. The average analyst recommendation leans towards a "buy" signal, with a consensus mean score of 1.74.

Recent News and Developments

Apollo Global Management is currently navigating significant strategic developments, which may have substantial implications for its future performance:

1. Potential Sale of Atlas Air: Reports surfaced on December 16, 2025, that Apollo is considering selling Atlas Air, a major player in air-freight and charter passenger services, with a valuation estimate exceeding $12 billion. This potential divestment follows Apollo's acquisition of the company for nearly $3 billion in 2022. This strategic move may further solidify Apollo's financial stature and optimize its portfolio.

2. Exploration of Options for Invited: On December 11, 2025, media reports indicated that Apollo is evaluating several exit strategies for Invited, a leading golf and membership clubs operator, estimated to be valued over $3 billion. This exploration could mark a significant liquidity event for Apollo, enhancing its capital for future investments.

3. Stock Performance Insight: Sharing a brief stock snapshot, shares of Apollo were trading at $146.96 as of December 15, with a marginal decrease of 0.74% from prior close. Earlier, the stock reached an all-time high of $146.98 on October 30, 2024, representing an impressive 88.56% growth over the past year.

4. S&P 500 Inclusion: A significant marker of investor confidence, Apollo was added to the S&P 500 Index on December 9, 2024, which typically boosts visibility and investor interest in the stock.

5. Expansion Initiatives: In April 2025, Apollo launched a "New Markets" division aimed at targeting a $60 trillion asset pool, positioning itself strategically to attract individual capital and better engage traditional asset managers.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

The market's sentiment surrounding Apollo Global Management remains predominantly positive. The consensus among analysts features a strong "buy" rating based on an average price target of approximately $166.23, which signals potential growth prospects beyond current trading levels.

The aggregation of analyst opinions underlines the bullish sentiment towards the firm, particularly reflected in the average recommendation mean score of 1.74. This positive outlook stands alongside the stock's current trading level of $147.89, clearly indicating an encouraged investor sentiment bolstered by recent performances and strategic developments.

Opportunities and Risks

• Opportunities: A favorable market position in the burgeoning alternative asset management sector, ongoing strategic divestments, and a focus on sectors like clean energy hold long-term growth potential. Furthermore, the solid analyst ratings and strong projected price targets present enticing upside for new and existing investors.

• Risks: Potential volatility exists due to reliance on market conditions and investor sentiment, as evidenced by the notable resistance around $160. Additionally, any setbacks in executing the recent strategic initiatives or fluctuation in broader economic conditions could impact stock performance.

In conclusion, Apollo Global Management illustrates a sound investment opportunity in the current financial landscape, characterized by strong fundamentals, strategic expansion, and positive market sentiment. Investors should continue to monitor key resistance levels while capitalizing on the potential growth presented by upcoming strategic moves. Overall, the prospects for the stock remain promising, making it a favorable asset for consideration in any investment portfolio.