CAG – Conagra Brands, Inc.

Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) Monthly Investment Analysis – November 24, 2025

Company Overview

Conagra Brands, Inc., headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, is a prominent player in the consumer packaged goods food industry. Established in 1919, the company operates within the packaged foods sector, focusing on four primary business segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. Conagra’s portfolio includes renowned brands like Birds Eye, Marie Callender’s, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Slim Jim, and Reddi-wip, catering to diverse consumer preferences.

Due to the stability typically associated with the packaged foods industry, Conagra has maintained a solid position amid fluctuations in the broader market. With a total revenue of approximately $11.45 billion, the company appears well-equipped to navigate economic uncertainties, suggesting that existing investments in Conagra may be a prudent choice for retail investors.

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52-Week Price Performance Analysis

The stock price of Conagra Brands (NYSE: CAG) has experienced a notable downturn over the past year. Trading at approximately $17.77, the stock has depreciated nearly 30.80% from its 52-week high of $28.69 observed in November 2024. This significant decline emphasizes a prevailing bearish sentiment that has characterized the stock, marked by a series of lower highs and lower lows.

Technical Insights

• Current Price: $17.77
• 52-Week High: $28.69
• 52-Week Low: $16.60
• 50-Day Moving Average: $18.12

A bearish trendline has emerged, indicating persistent selling pressure, with major resistance identified at the $26 level, which the stock struggled to breach following multiple attempts earlier in the year. The recent price action suggests that $17.77 might represent a support level, providing some short-term stability.

Despite this, the stock remains below its 50-day moving average, implying ongoing challenges. Any movement toward the $20.34 target mean price would require a notable increase in volume and a bullish reversal candlestick formation, challenging the current bearish momentum.

Key Levels

• Support Level: $17.77
• Resistance Level: $26.00

Investors should remain vigilant for any shifts in stock performance that could indicate a breakout or further decline. Watch for significant volume increases and technical patterns that might hint at a trend reversal.

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Financial Performance and Metrics

Conagra Brands recently reported solid financial results despite the prevailing market headwinds. The company’s total revenue stood at $11.45 billion, with an impressive EBITDA of approximately $1.97 billion, indicating strong operational profitability.

Key Financial Metrics

• Total Revenue: $11.45 billion
• EBITDA: $1.97 billion
• Current Stock Price: $17.975
• Target High Price: $25.00
• Target Mean Price: $20.34

Analysts have projected a target high price of $25.00, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 39% from the current price. The target low price is set at $17.80, reflecting the conservative sentiment surrounding the stock amidst its volatility.

The financial outlook is underlined by the average recommendation of 2.94 from analysts, indicating a “hold” strategy is advisable for investors who already have positions in Conagra. This cautious outlook reflects a sense of expectation for growth tempered by current challenges.

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Recent News and Developments

The company has faced several operational challenges recently:

• On November 7, 2025, CAG shares reached a new 52-week low of $16.87 following insider selling by Senior Vice President Melissa C. Napier, who sold 13,011 shares at an average price of $17.19. This has raised concerns among investors regarding the company’s financial health and future strategies. Source

• In its fourth-quarter earnings report on July 10, 2025, Conagra reported a 4.3% decrease in net sales and an 8.2% drop in adjusted earnings per share (EPS), falling to $0.56. The outlook for fiscal 2026, projecting adjusted EPS between $1.70 and $1.85, reflects continued inflationary pressures and supply chain concerns. Source

• Adjustments to the fiscal 2025 guidance were made on February 18, 2025, noting a 2.0% decline in organic net sales, coupled with reduced operating margins due to service constraints and foreign exchange rates. Source

Despite these obstacles, Conagra has committed to innovation and strategic growth. The launch of over 50 new frozen food products in June 2025 aims to cater to evolving consumer preferences, focusing on single-serve and gluten-free options. The company also continues to prioritize shareholder returns, having declared a dividend of $0.35 per share.

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Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Market sentiment towards Conagra Brands appears cautious, with a notable level of bearish sentiment illustrated by a short interest accounting for 8.33% of its total float. Of the total 478,351,641 shares outstanding, 30,817,160 have been shorted, reflecting the amount of investor skepticism about the stock’s near-term prospects.

• Analyst Consensus: The recommendation average stands at 2.94, which indicates advising investors to hold their positions.
• Potential Gains: The target high price of $25.00 presents a significant upside opportunity for investors who choose to hold.*

As the market conditions evolve, investors should remain prepared to adjust their strategies according to the stock’s performance trends, ongoing financial updates, and broader economic indicators.

Final Thoughts

Retail investors eyeing Conagra Brands should weigh the potential for growth against the risks evident in recent financial metrics and market performance. The company’s entrenched position in the stable packaged foods industry presents a unique opportunity, albeit tempered by current market dynamics.

As Conagra navigates towards potential recovery, staying abreast of price movements and corporate developments will be essential for making informed investment decisions.

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$8.6b
Total Debt	$8.3b
Total Cash	$698.1m
Shares Outstanding	478.4m
Float Shares	474.9m