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Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated September 06, 2026

Price
$21.64
Change
-0.16%
Market Cap
$11.91B
Avg Volume
4.4M

Company Overview

Headquartered in Austin, Minnesota, Hormel Foods Corporation operates in the Packaged Foods industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. Founded in 1891, the company processes and distributes meat, nut, and refrigerated foods to retail shoppers, foodservice operators, and convenience stores globally. Its operations run across three core segments—Retail, Foodservice, and International—spanning refrigerated proteins like Jennie-O turkey and Black Label bacon alongside shelf-stable staples like SPAM, Skippy peanut butter, and Planters nuts.

Hormel operates as an established category leader in shelf-stable meats and refrigerated proteins, holding top market share spots with legacy brands like SPAM. That brand recognition and an expansive commercial foodservice footprint give the business durable cash generation. However, heavy competition from food giants like Tyson Foods, Conagra Brands, and Kraft Heinz, along with price-sensitive consumers shifting to private-label store brands, continuously pressures Hormel’s pricing power.

Hormel is currently in an efficiency-driven pivot after net sales contracted from $12.1 billion in fiscal 2023 to $11.9 billion in fiscal 2024. Operating margins held at 9.0% in 2024, bolstered by $75 million in supply chain savings from its Transform and Modernize initiative and $1.3 billion in operating cash flow. The company is targeting another $100 million to $150 million in cost cuts for fiscal 2025, making operational discipline the primary engine for near-term bottom-line recovery while volume demand stays muted.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$11.91B
Revenue
$12.15B
EBITDA
$1.26B
Gross Margin
15.7%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Revenue Growth
-2.9%
Total Cash
$574.26M
Total Debt
$250.00M
Free Cash Flow
$621.55M


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
34.91
Forward P/E
13.93
Beta
0.33
52-Week High
$26.60
52-Week Low
$19.70
EPS
$0.62
50-Day Avg
$24.53
200-Day Avg
$23.44
Price/Book
1.52
HRL 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
HRL trades at $21.64, 30% of the way from its exact 52-week low of $19.47 to its high of $26.43. The stock is 18.50% below that high and 10.65% above the low. Price sits 7.68% below the 20-day moving average of $23.33, confirming a weak short-term trend. Momentum is down 0.14% over five trading days and 13.91% over 20 trading days. Near-term support is $21.28, while resistance is $26.05.


Recent News and Developments

JPMorgan downgrades Hormel and cuts target

JPMorgan downgraded HRL to Neutral from Overweight and cut its price target to $23 from $28, citing margin headwinds not reflected in Hormel’s fiscal 2026 outlook. The stock was trading at $21.64, near its $21.03 52-week low. Source: Investing.com

Analyst consensus stays stuck at Hold

Nine brokerages covering Hormel carried an average Hold recommendation as of September 2. The group included one Sell, six Hold and two Buy ratings, which shows limited conviction after the recent earnings update. Source: American Market News

Hormel schedules Barclays investor appearance

Hormel said interim CEO Jeff Ettinger and CEO-elect John Ghingo will participate in a Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference fireside chat on September 9. The webcast is scheduled for 1:30 p.m. ET. Source: Hormel Foods



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
Hormel has $574.26 million in cash against $250.00 million in debt, so liquidity is not the problem here. Its $12.15 billion revenue base is slightly larger than its $11.91 billion market capitalization. At $21.64, the stock sits below the analyst target of $26.12 and even below the low target of $23.00. The top analyst target is $30.00, leaving meaningful upside if operating results improve. The September 9 Barclays fireside chat gives interim CEO Jeff Ettinger and CEO-elect John Ghingo a near-term opportunity to address investor concerns. The reason to buy is straightforward: a solid cash position, a depressed share price and analyst targets above the current market price.
Bear Case
Revenue is shrinking, with reported growth at negative 2.9%. The stock still trades at 34.91 times earnings, which is hard to defend when the top line is contracting. JPMorgan downgraded HRL from Overweight to Neutral and cut its target from $28 to $23 because of margin headwinds not reflected in the fiscal 2026 outlook. Analyst conviction is weak: nine brokerages tracked on September 2 included one Sell, six Hold and only two Buy ratings. Price action supports the caution, with 20-day momentum at negative 13.91% and the stock 7.68% below its 20-day moving average. My take is that HRL is expensive for a company with falling revenue and unresolved margin pressure.
What to Watch
The September 9 Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference is the next specific catalyst, with Hormel’s webcast scheduled for 1:30 p.m. ET. Investors should listen for a direct response to the margin headwinds behind JPMorgan’s downgrade. Revenue growth must improve from negative 2.9% for the bull case to gain credibility. The first technical test is whether $21.28 support holds; a break would put the stock closer to its $19.47 52-week low. On the upside, HRL needs to reclaim its $23.33 20-day moving average before the short-term chart improves. A move through $26.05 resistance would be more convincing, while continued failure around $22 would confirm that the post-earnings bounce lacks momentum.
Analyst Consensus
HOLD

Based on 8 analyst opinions
Low Target
$23.00
Mean Target
$26.12
High Target
$30.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Packaged Foods
Employees
20,000
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Aug 27, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$0.62
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HRL a good stock to buy?
HRL carries a hold recommendation from eight analysts and trades at 34.91 times earnings while revenue growth is negative 2.9%. The clear takeaway is that the current data supports patience, not an aggressive buy.
What is HRL’s price target?
The analyst target is $26.12, with estimates ranging from $23.00 to $30.00. The clear takeaway is that every listed target is above the current $21.64 price.
Is HRL undervalued?
HRL trades at a P/E ratio of 34.91 and has a market capitalization of $11.91 billion against $12.15 billion in revenue. The clear takeaway is that the data does not establish a cheap earnings valuation.
What are HRL’s support and resistance levels?
Near-term support is the 30-day low of $21.28, while near-term resistance is the 30-day high of $26.05. The clear takeaway is that $21.28 is the immediate downside level to watch.
Does HRL pay a dividend?
The supplied key and technical data do not include dividend information. The clear takeaway is that no dividend conclusion can be made from this data alone.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated September 06, 2026.