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Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated November 03, 2026

Price
$21.50
Change
+1.01%
Market Cap
$11.83B
Avg Volume
5.1M

Company Overview

Headquartered in Austin, Minnesota, Hormel Foods Corporation operates in the Packaged Foods industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. Founded in 1891, the company processes and distributes meat, nut, and refrigerated foods to retail shoppers, foodservice operators, and convenience stores globally. Its operations run across three core segments—Retail, Foodservice, and International—spanning refrigerated proteins like Jennie-O turkey and Black Label bacon alongside shelf-stable staples like SPAM, Skippy peanut butter, and Planters nuts.

Hormel operates as an established category leader in shelf-stable meats and refrigerated proteins, holding top market share spots with legacy brands like SPAM. That brand recognition and an expansive commercial foodservice footprint give the business durable cash generation. However, heavy competition from food giants like Tyson Foods, Conagra Brands, and Kraft Heinz, along with price-sensitive consumers shifting to private-label store brands, continuously pressures Hormel’s pricing power.

Hormel is currently in an efficiency-driven pivot after net sales contracted from $12.1 billion in fiscal 2023 to $11.9 billion in fiscal 2024. Operating margins held at 9.0% in 2024, bolstered by $75 million in supply chain savings from its Transform and Modernize initiative and $1.3 billion in operating cash flow. The company is targeting another $100 million to $150 million in cost cuts for fiscal 2025, making operational discipline the primary engine for near-term bottom-line recovery while volume demand stays muted.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$11.83B
Revenue
$12.15B
EBITDA
$1.26B
Gross Margin
15.7%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Revenue Growth
-2.4%
Total Cash
$868.45M
Total Debt
$2.86B
Free Cash Flow
$621.55M


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
34.67
Forward P/E
13.72
Beta
0.26
52-Week High
$26.60
52-Week Low
$18.96
EPS
$0.62
50-Day Avg
$20.81
200-Day Avg
$22.83
Price/Book
1.51
HRL 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
HRL trades at $21.50, 37% of the way from its technical 52-week low of $18.77 to its high of $26.03. The stock remains 17.51% below that high but has recovered 14.38% from the low. Price is 5.95% above the 20-day moving average of $20.26, while momentum is positive at 2.48% over five trading days and 8.57% over 20 trading days. Near-term support sits at the 30-day low of $18.90. HRL has edged above the stated near-term resistance of $21.47, making its ability to hold that level the immediate technical test.


Recent News and Developments

John Ghingo officially takes over as CEO

John Ghingo became Hormel Foods’ president and CEO on October 26, succeeding interim CEO Jeff Ettinger, who remains on the board. Hormel’s October 29 filing says Ghingo now serves without a specified employment term. Source: MEAT+POULTRY

HRL rebounds 2.9% in four sessions

HRL climbed from $20.87 on October 27 to $21.47 on November 2, a 2.9% gain. The strongest session was October 30, when shares rose 1.82% on volume of 11,073,203. Source: Stock Analysis

Ettinger reports shares withheld for taxes

Director Jeffrey Ettinger reported 15,094 HRL shares withheld at $21.06 per share on October 25, a value of $317,880. The October 27 filing identifies the transaction as tax withholding tied to vested restricted stock units, not an open-market sale. Source: FilingExplorer



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
HRL has regained momentum, rising 8.57% over the past 20 trading days and moving 5.95% above its 20-day average. The stock also climbed from $20.87 on October 27 to $21.47 on November 2, a 2.9% rebound over four sessions. John Ghingo officially became president and CEO on October 26, giving Hormel a permanent leader after Jeff Ettinger’s interim tenure. The $25.31 analyst target sits above the current $21.50 price, with the high estimate reaching $29.00. Hormel also holds $868.45 million in cash, providing some financial flexibility despite its larger debt balance. The buy case is straightforward: improving price momentum, new leadership, and analyst targets between $23.00 and $29.00 offer upside if the business stabilizes.
Bear Case
Hormel’s revenue declined 2.4%, so the business is shrinking rather than growing. Paying 34.67 times earnings for negative revenue growth is difficult to justify. Total debt of $2.86 billion is more than three times the company’s $868.45 million cash balance. The stock remains 17.51% below its technical 52-week high of $26.03, showing that the recent rebound has not repaired the broader decline. Analysts are cautious, with eight analysts assigning HRL a hold recommendation. New CEO John Ghingo now carries the execution risk, and the October 29 filing gives him no specified employment term.
What to Watch
The first test is whether HRL can remain above the 30-day resistance level of $21.47 after closing at $21.50. A move back below the 20-day moving average of $20.26 would weaken the current momentum signal. The critical downside level is $18.90, the 30-day low and near-term support. Investors should watch whether John Ghingo, who took over on October 26, can reverse the reported 2.4% revenue decline. The balance sheet also needs monitoring because Hormel carries $2.86 billion in debt against $868.45 million in cash. A sustained move toward the $25.31 analyst target would strengthen the bull case, while a retreat toward the technical 52-week low of $18.77 would show that the rebound failed.
Analyst Consensus
HOLD

Based on 8 analyst opinions
Low Target
$23.00
Mean Target
$25.31
High Target
$29.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Packaged Foods
Employees
20,000
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Dec 03, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$0.62
Dividend Yield
550.0%
Payout Ratio
188.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HRL a good stock to buy?
Eight analysts rate HRL a hold, while revenue growth is negative 2.4% and the P/E ratio is 34.67. The takeaway is that the current data supports caution rather than a clear buy.
What is HRL’s price target?
The analyst target is $25.31, with estimates ranging from $23.00 to $29.00. The takeaway is that analysts see potential above the current $21.50 price, but their consensus recommendation remains hold.
Is HRL stock undervalued?
HRL trades at 34.67 times earnings while revenue growth is negative 2.4%. The takeaway is that the supplied valuation and growth data do not make HRL look clearly undervalued.
What are HRL’s support and resistance levels?
Near-term support is $18.90, and near-term resistance is $21.47. The takeaway is that the current $21.50 price is slightly above the stated resistance level.
How far is HRL from its 52-week high?
HRL is 17.51% below its technical 52-week high of $26.03 and 14.38% above its technical 52-week low of $18.77. The takeaway is that the stock has recovered from its low but remains well below its high.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated November 03, 2026.