DAY – Dayforce, Inc.

Dayforce Inc. (DAY) Monthly Stock Report – December 05, 2025

Company Overview

Dayforce Inc., headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, is a prominent player in the Human Capital Management (HCM) software sector. The company operates within the technology sector, specifically in the software application industry. Dayforce provides a comprehensive cloud HCM platform that encompasses vital functions including human resources, payroll, workforce management, and talent intelligence. Additionally, they offer “Powerpay,” a targeted cloud HR and payroll solution for small businesses, along with professional consulting services for implementation and training.

Formed from the rebranding of Ceridian HCM Holding Inc. in February 2024, Dayforce has solidified its market position through innovative offerings. With a total revenue of approximately $1.89 billion, Dayforce serves a critical role in the software application space, providing crucial tools for modern workforce management.

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

The 52-week stock chart for Dayforce, Inc. (NYSE: DAY) reveals significant volatility, highlighting both challenges and recent recovery signals. The stock began the year trading near $80 but saw a steep decline, plummeting to a low of $45–an approximate 43.75% drop–by early August. This significant downturn reflects broader market pressures and operational hurdles.

However, the latter half of the year marked a resurgence, with prices rebounding to around $69 by early December. As of the latest trading session, Dayforce is priced at $69.11, slightly above its fifty-day moving average of $68.71. This positioning indicates potential upward momentum, with the price consolidating near significant resistance at the $69 level.

Key technical insights include:
– Support Level: The $45 support level has proven robust, as indicated by the rapid recovery from that point.
– Resistance Level: An important resistance level at $80 remains untested; traders should monitor approaches to this level as a potential breakout point.

Recent price action suggests consolidation with a bullish trend on the horizon. A decisive move above $69 could signal further upward momentum, while any decline below this can suggest a retest of lower support.

Financial Performance and Metrics

Financially, Dayforce Inc. demonstrates solid operational health. The company reported third-quarter revenues of $482 million, marking a 10% increase year-over-year. However, it also reported a notable net loss of $196.8 million compared to a net income of $2 million during the equivalent quarter last year. Nonetheless, improved operational efficiency was evident in the adjusted operating profit, which rose to $119.1 million, driving the adjusted EBITDA margin to 30.6%.

With a market capitalization poised at approximately $11.06 billion, the valuation metrics reflect an intriguing yet cautious outlook:
– Current Price: $69.11
– EV (Enterprise Value): Approx $12.3 billion, post-acquisition offer
– Total Revenue: $1.89 billion
– EBITDA: $111.5 million

Despite the net losses, the financial health indicators suggest potential for strong operational performance moving forward.

Recent News and Developments

A significant event for Dayforce in recent months has been the announcement of its impending acquisition by private equity firm Thoma Bravo at a price of $70 per share, culminating in a deal valued at $12.3 billion. This transaction reflects a 32% premium over Dayforce’s last unaffected closing share price on August 15, 2025. With the acquisition set to conclude in early 2026, contingent on shareholder and regulatory approvals, it has elicited mixed reactions from the market.

Following this announcement, Kaskela Law LLC has initiated investigations regarding the fairness of the acquisition price, raising concerns about whether the valuation adequately reflects Dayforce’s market potential. Notably, several analysts had set price targets exceeding $80 just prior to the acquisition announcement, indicating skepticism about the buyout price’s adequacy.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Currently, the analyst consensus surrounding Dayforce Inc. is cautiously optimistic. The mean target price is approximately $69.92, with target ranges extending from a low of $69.00 to a high of $70.00. Although there is no specific recommendation key at this time, the slight upside potential from current trading levels suggests a positive sentiment amongst analysts.

The short interest stands at about 5.65% of the float shares, translating to approximately 4,507,488 shares shorted out of 160,034,963 shares outstanding. This relatively low percentage indicates a sentiment leaning towards optimism among market participants.

Analyst insights and market sentiment reflect a diversified viewpoint, suggesting traders should remain vigilant about potential volatility brought by market reactions to upcoming milestones surrounding the acquisition and future operational performance.

Conclusion

In summary, Dayforce Inc. (NYSE: DAY) finds itself at a critical juncture marked by a substantial acquisition announcement, strong revenue growth, and operational challenges reflected in recent losses. The recent price recovery and market performance showcase resilience, underpinned by fundamental strengths in the HCM sector.

Investors should consider Dayforce’s performance against broader market movements and the implications of the upcoming acquisition. The inherent risks, coupled with the potential for significant reward stemming from the operational efficiencies demonstrated, create a compelling narrative for Dayforce as it navigates through these transformative times in the tech sector.

Disclaimer

This report is intended for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Potential investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$11.1b
Total Debt	$1.2b
Total Cash	$627.6m
Shares Outstanding	160.0m
Float Shares	139.8m