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Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated February 07, 2026

Price
$130.49
Change
-0.84%
Market Cap
$7.34B
Avg Volume
908.5K

Company Overview

Paycom Software, Inc. is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) provider, catering primarily to small and mid-sized businesses in the United States. Their software-as-a-service platform encompasses a wide range of applications that manage the entire employment life cycle, from recruitment to retirement. Key features include talent acquisition tools, time and labor management, payroll solutions, and talent management applications. Clients leverage Paycom’s technology to streamline processes such as applicant tracking, payroll management, performance reviews, and compliance reporting.

Paycom is a strong player in the HCM market, often recognized for its innovative solutions. It competes with the likes of ADP and Workday, but its focus on small to mid-sized firms helps it carve out a niche. A significant advantage for Paycom is its all-in-one platform, allowing businesses to manage various HR functions seamlessly. However, the competitive landscape is aggressive, with many alternative solutions that challenge its market share, especially as new entrants emerge with more targeted offerings.

Currently, Paycom is experiencing notable growth, bolstered by rising demand for integrated HCM solutions. Recently, the company has made strides with product enhancements and expansions in its service offerings, which position it well for continued success. As of the latest financial reports, Paycom has seen increasing revenues, indicating a solid demand for its services despite the competitive pressures.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$7.34B
Revenue
$2.00B
EBITDA
$524.50M
Gross Margin
86.8%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Revenue Growth
9.2%
Total Cash
$375.00M
Total Debt
$84.50M
Free Cash Flow
$370.20M


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
16.21
Forward P/E
12.99
Beta
0.80
52-Week High
$267.76
52-Week Low
$122.61
EPS
$8.05
50-Day Avg
$155.20
200-Day Avg
$205.09
Price/Book
4.11
PAYC 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
Over the past 52 weeks, Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) has exhibited a pronounced downtrend, characterized by a decline from approximately $275 in February to the current price of $130.49, reflecting a 35.6% decrease. Key support is identified around the $125 level, while resistance is evident at $200, which has been a significant barrier in the latter part of the year. The chart displays a bear flag pattern in late the summer months, suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend. Recent weeks have shown a slight uptick in price after hitting the $130 level, indicating a potential short-term bounce, but momentum remains weak overall. Currently priced at $130.49, the stock sits near the lower end of the 52-week range, which implies increased selling pressure and potential further downside if the $125 support fails to hold.


Recent News and Developments

Here are the latest news and developments for Paycom Software, Inc

(PAYC) stock from the past week:

### Upcoming Q4 2025 Earnings Anticipated Next Week
Paycom Software, Inc

(PAYC) is expected to release its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings report after the market closes on Wednesday, February 11, 2026. Analysts are projecting earnings per share (EPS) of $2.44 and revenue of $542.789 million for the quarter. A conference call to discuss these results is scheduled for 5:00 PM ET on the same day.

Market Update

### Recent Stock Price Rebound Amid Broader Weakness
Paycom Software shares saw a 4.4% increase, closing at $129.84 on February 5, 2026, following a period of overall stock price weakness. This recent upward movement is attributed to strong adoption of Paycom’s AI-led products, such as IWant and Beti, which are reportedly enhancing customer retention and attracting new clients by reducing manual w

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
Paycom trades at 16.21x P/E with 9.2% revenue growth and a $375M cash position against only $84.5M debt. The balance sheet is genuinely clean. AI products like IWant and Beti are gaining traction and driving customer retention, which is the metric that matters most in SaaS. Analyst consensus sits at $197.18, implying 51% upside from current levels, and 17 analysts still rate this a buy despite recent downgrades. The stock has fallen 41% in 12 months, which has created a valuation floor that’s attractive relative to historical multiples. Q4 earnings on February 11 could reignite momentum if management demonstrates that AI adoption is translating to margin expansion and customer wins.
Bear Case
PAYC is down 35.6% over 52 weeks and just hit a new 52-week low, which tells you institutional money has been exiting. The CFO sold $211K of stock in early February while major funds like New York State Common Retirement Fund cut holdings by 83.5%, a red flag on insider confidence. Recent analyst downgrades from UBS, Jefferies, and Mizuho suggest consensus is still resetting lower, not higher. The stock is trading near $125 support with a bear flag pattern, meaning technical breakdown is real and further downside to $100-110 is plausible if earnings disappoint. 9.2% revenue growth is decent but not exceptional for a SaaS company, and the tech selloff environment means multiple compression will continue until macro sentiment shifts.
What to Watch
Q4 earnings on February 11 after hours are the immediate catalyst. Watch for EPS ($2.44 expected) and revenue ($542.8M expected) but focus on guidance and whether management raises FY2026 targets based on AI product momentum. Customer acquisition cost, net dollar retention rate, and churn figures will tell you if the AI story is real or marketing. If PAYC breaks below $125 support on weak earnings, expect a test of $110-115. Conversely, if the company guides to 12%+ revenue growth and demonstrates AI is driving 20%+ net dollar retention, the stock could gap back to $170-180 quickly. Track institutional buying patterns in coming weeks as a leading indicator of whether the selloff is over.
Analyst Consensus
BUY

Based on 17 analyst opinions
Low Target
$135.00
Mean Target
$197.18
High Target
$250.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Technology
Industry
Software – Application
Employees
7,306


Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Feb 11, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$8.05
Dividend Yield
114.0%
Payout Ratio
18.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PAYC a good stock to buy?
Analysts recommend PAYC as a BUY with a target price of $197.18, which suggests significant upside potential from the current price of $130.49. The stock’s forward P/E of 12.99 indicates that it’s relatively undervalued compared to its growth prospects.
What is PAYC’s price target?
The consensus price target for Paycom Software, Inc. is $197.18. This indicates that analysts see a potential upside of about 51% from its current trading level.
Does PAYC pay a dividend?
Paycom currently has a massive dividend yield of 114.0%. This extraordinary figure suggests a high return on investment for dividend-seeking investors, but its sustainability should be evaluated carefully.
What is PAYC’s market cap and how does it compare to its industry?
Paycom’s market cap stands at $7.34 billion. While substantial, it is essential to compare it with peers in the software application sub-sector for a clearer perspective on its relative size and growth potential.
What has been PAYC’s stock performance over the past year?
PAYC’s stock has fluctuated between $122.61 and $267.76 in the last 52 weeks. The recent trading price of $130.49 is closer to the lower end of that range, indicating potential for recovery if the market sentiment shifts favorably.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated February 07, 2026.