Bunge Global SA: Monthly Stock Report - October 09, 2025

Company Overview

Bunge Global SA, headquartered in Chesterfield, United States, stands as a leader in the agribusiness and food sector, bolstered by a legacy dating back to 1818. With a business model structured across four main segments--Agribusiness, Refined and Specialty Oils, Milling, and Sugar and Bioenergy--Bunge operates as a critical player in the farm products industry. The Agribusiness segment focuses on the procurement, storage, processing, and sales of agricultural commodities, involving key oilseeds and grains that cater to varied industries including animal feed, biofuels, and food manufacturing.

The Refined and Specialty Oils division provides producers with high-quality oils and fats, while the Milling segment offers a diverse array of wheat and corn products. Meanwhile, the Sugar and Bioenergy segment engages in sugar and ethanol production, aligning with sustainable practices through electricity generation from sugarcane byproducts. With a total revenue reported at approximately $50.86 billion, Bunge's strong financial positioning highlights its substantial market presence and growth potential within the consumer defensive sector.

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

52-Week Price Performance Chart

Over the last year, Bunge Global SA (NYSE: BG) has experienced significant price volatility. The stock ranged from a 52-week high of $97.27 to a 52-week low of $67.40. Currently trading at $81.98, the stock remains positioned closer to its recent lows, indicating potential bearish sentiment.

Upon reviewing the 52-week price chart, a clear descending trend is visible, marked by lower highs and lows since reaching its peak of nearly $95 in November 2024. A descending trendline highlights strong resistance near the $90 level, which has proven difficult for the stock to sustain, showcasing notable selling pressure.

Support appears strong around the $70 level, which has been tested and rebounded multiple times, especially in February and March 2025. Additionally, the stock has been trading sideways around the $82.44 mark, indicating a consolidation phase. This level closely aligns with the 50-day moving average of $82.10, suggesting this could act as a pivotal point for future price movements.

Investors should monitor two key thresholds: - A clear break above $90 could signal a potential bullish reversal. - Conversely, a drop below $70 would likely confirm continued bearish momentum, warranting caution.

Financial Performance and Metrics

Bunge's robust financial performance remains a significant attraction for investors. In second-quarter 2025, Bunge reported: - Total Revenue: $50.86 billion - Net Income: $354 million (up from $70 million year-over-year) - EBITDA: Approximately $1.87 billion, reflecting solid operational efficiency.

Analysts project a target high price of $100.00 and a target low price of $80.00, with a mean target price set at $89.78. These figures indicate a positive future valuation sentiment from analysts. However, an observed decline in adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to $1.31 from $1.73 reflects challenges within the Refined and Specialty Oils segment due to decreased energy demand, necessitating a closer evaluation of future performance metrics.

With 200,062,018 shares outstanding, the current short interest stands at 5,680,972 shares or approximately 3.43% of the float, suggesting a cautiously optimistic market sentiment, as a low level of short selling indicates fewer bearish positions.

Recent News and Developments

Bunge has made headlines following its $34 billion merger with Viterra Limited, completed on July 2, 2025. This strategic merger aims to fortify Bunge's market position and enhance its operational capabilities, potentially increasing its stability and logistical efficiencies in the agribusiness sector.

In terms of business strategy, Bunge's recent sale of its North America dry corn and corn masa milling businesses to Grain Craft resulted in a 3.38% increase in stock price, signaling positive investor reaction to its streamlined operations and focus on profitable segments. Analysts from Citigroup have even raised their price target from $76.00 to $77.00, while maintaining a "neutral" rating, reflecting the mixed sentiments in light of current operational shifts.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

The latest stock performance and analyst ratings portray a somewhat mixed sentiment. Trading at $81.98 against a backdrop of resistance at $90, and following a period of consolidation, market analysts exhibit cautious optimism regarding Bunge's trajectory. The average price target of $89.78, coupled with the concurrent target high of $100.00, portrays a favorable investment outlook.

Despite the absence of a specific recommendation key, analysts emphasize staying vigilant around the aforementioned price thresholds. The cautious observer may interpret the lack of explicit bullish recommendations as an indication to weigh various perspectives before participating in this asset.

Conclusion

Bunge Global SA represents an intriguing investment proposition in the agribusiness sector, blending a historic legacy with modern strategic maneuvers, such as the recent Viterra merger. The company exhibits a strong foundation, highlighted by substantial revenue and profit metrics, while navigating the complexities of market volatility and operational adjustments.

Investors should approach Bunge with a strategy rooted in close monitoring of technical price movements and analyst sentiments, particularly around the established support and resistance levels. Although the overarching market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, potential investors should assess opportunities against prevailing risks, ensuring a balanced perspective on this multifaceted agribusiness player.