Carrier Global Corporation Investment Analysis Report

Publication Date: October 11, 2025

Company Overview

Carrier Global Corporation (NYSE: CARR), headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, is a leading player in the Building Products & Equipment industry within the broader Industrials sector. Incorporated in 2019, Carrier specializes in intelligent climate and energy solutions, serving both residential and commercial markets on a global scale. The company operates through two primary segments: Heating, Ventilating and Air Conditioning (HVAC) and Refrigeration, providing a comprehensive range of products and services.

Carrier's well-recognized brands, including Carrier, Viessmann, Toshiba, and Bryant, position it favorably in a competitive market. With a total revenue of approximately $22.46 billion and a commitment to innovation, Carrier is in a robust growth phase, appealing to both individual and institutional investors as a worthy consideration for their portfolios.

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

52-Week Price Performance Chart

Carrier Global Corporation's stock has witnessed notable fluctuations over the past year. Currently priced at $56.66, the stock has seen a 52-week high of $83.32 and a low of $54.22. This performance trajectory represents a decline of approximately 30.62% from its peak, indicating a bearish trend that has dominated the stock's performance over the year.

The stock's technical analysis reveals pivotal support and resistance levels. The significant resistance level is identified around $80, while a critical support level is established at $56.66, coinciding with the recent low. Maintaining this support could be crucial for the stock as it indicates a potential area for buyers to step in. Currently, the fifty-day moving average stands at $63.312, and the price trading below this average points to ongoing bearish sentiment.

Despite a brief rally from April to July, Carrier has failed to consolidate its gains above the moving average, reinforcing the cautious outlook for traders. Should the stock break this support level, further declines may be anticipated. Thus, investors should be vigilant in observing these key price levels for potential trading strategies.

Financial Performance and Metrics

Carrier's financial performance reflects its operational efficiency and commitment to growth. For the first quarter of 2025, the company reported an adjusted profit of $0.65 per share, exceeding analyst expectations of $0.58 per share. This prompted a revision of its earnings forecast for the year to a range of $3.00 to $3.10 per share, indicating confidence in the sustained demand for HVAC systems and energy-efficient heat pump technologies.

Overall, Carrier reports a total revenue of approximately $22.46 billion with an earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of around $3.66 billion. These metrics highlight a strong foundation for growth and concerted efforts toward improving financial health.

Investors should note that with 851,022,837 shares outstanding and 14,027,556 shares shorted, the short interest of 2.01% implies a generally bullish sentiment among investors, reflecting confidence in Carrier's market positioning and future performance.

Recent News and Developments

In recent months, Carrier Global has been actively restructuring its business portfolio to better align with strategic goals. Notably, on August 15, 2024, the company announced the sale of its commercial and residential fire business to Lone Star Funds for $3 billion. Utilizing proceeds from this transaction will help focus on expanding its core HVAC and refrigeration business sectors.

Earlier divestitures also reflect this strategic direction, including the sale of its industrial fire division in March 2024, and its security unit to Honeywell in December 2023. The company aims to utilize the capital from these sales to fund share repurchases and reduce debt levels, which should enhance shareholder value.

Carrier has also committed to investing $1 billion in expanding its U.S. production capabilities over the next five years, which is expected to create approximately 4,000 new jobs. This move aligns with industry trends and addresses evolving energy regulations, ultimately positioning Carrier to benefit from increased demand and regulation-driven innovation.

As of October 10, 2025, Carrier's stock performance remained somewhat volatile, closing at $56.66, a decline of 2.46% from the previous close.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Analyst consensus on Carrier Global Corporation indicates a moderate buy rating with a mean target price of $80.44. This represents a significant upside potential from the current trading level of $56.66. The target high price is set at $90.00, while the target low price is pegged at $65.00, illustrating a wide range of potential valuations for investors to consider.

With a mean recommendation score of 1.96 (on a scale where lower numbers indicate a stronger buy), analysts show a generally optimistic outlook for Carrier's future performance. Current market sentiment leans towards bullishness, reflecting confidence in the company's restructuring efforts and growth potential in the HVAC and refrigeration markets.

However, investors should remain mindful of the ongoing bearish trend in the stock price, recent volatility, and the potential risks associated with breaking key support levels.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Carrier Global Corporation presents an intriguing investment opportunity for retail investors, given its strong financial performance and strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing its market position. The blend of significant revenue generation, a commitment to innovation, and structured financial improvements portrays a compelling growth story.

However, investors should proceed with caution, keeping a close eye on technical indicators and broader market sentiment. The potential upsides intertwined with manageable risks create an investment landscape that could be advantageous, particularly for those who are willing to adapt their strategies in response to evolving market dynamics. As always, doing thorough research and considering personal investment goals will be key to navigating the opportunities and challenges presented by Carrier Global Corporation.