ConocoPhillips Monthly Stock Report - October 15, 2025

Company Overview

ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), headquartered in Houston, Texas, is one of the foremost players in the Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (E&P) industry within the broader Energy sector. Founded in 1917, ConocoPhillips specializes in the exploration, production, transportation, and marketing of a variety of fossil fuels, such as crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids.

The company operates across six distinct segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe, Middle East and North Africa; Asia Pacific; and Other International markets, showcasing a diverse portfolio that includes innovative unconventional plays and strategic LNG developments. Serving numerous international markets, including the United States, Canada, China, and parts of Europe, Africa, and Asia, ConocoPhillips is positioned to capitalize on the evolving energy landscape. As of October 2025, with a total revenue reported at approximately $59.39 billion, the E&P industry in which ConocoPhillips operates is rated with a "buy" recommendation, positioning it as a lucrative opportunity for investors within the energy domain.

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

52-Week Price Performance Chart

The stock performance of ConocoPhillips over the past 52 weeks has exhibited a predominantly bearish trend, as illustrated by the recent trading data:

• Current Price: $88.72
• 52-Week High: $115.38
• 52-Week Low: $79.88
• 50-Day Moving Average: $94.40

The historical pricing chart reveals a pattern of decline, moving from over $110 in November and December to the present price of $88.72, translating to a notable decrease of approximately 13.45%. The stock has faced challenges in maintaining momentum above the critical $100 resistance level, highlighted by a red dashed line on the price chart.

Key Technical Insights:

• Resistance Levels: The $100 mark has posed consistent resistance, with the stock frequently failing to break above this threshold.
• Support Levels: The price seems to be supported near the $85 to $90 range, where buying interest has manifested multiple times, indicating a potential point of price stabilization.
• Momentum Indicators: The stock is trading significantly below its 50-day moving average of $94.40, suggesting bearish momentum is prevalent. The downward trend in the moving average further corroborates weak price sentiment and ongoing downward pressure.

Investors should remain vigilant regarding the current price movement and market conditions, with particular focus on the key support level of $85 which, if breached, could signal further declines.

Financial Performance and Metrics

ConocoPhillips showcases a robust financial health profile with key metrics highlighting its potential:

• Total Revenue: $59.39 billion
• EBITDA: $25.14 billion
• Shares Outstanding: ~1.25 billion
• Short Interest: 13.35 million shares (~0.0107% of float)

The company's financial stability and revenue generation capacity serve as a foundation for potential stock appreciation, especially given the favorable analyst targets. The current stock price of $88.72 indicates significant growth potential, with analysts projecting a high target of $137.00, a mean target of $115.46, and a lower threshold of $100.00.

Recent News and Developments

ConocoPhillips has navigated a dynamic environment in recent weeks, resulting in several noteworthy developments:

1. Workforce Reductions: In September 2025, ConocoPhillips announced plans to reduce its global workforce by 20% to 25%, affecting approximately 2,600 to 3,250 employees. This strategic shift aims to counter rising operational costs. In response, the stock experienced a decline of 4.3%, indicating investor apprehension over potential fallout from the layoffs.

2. Asset Sales: Earlier this year, in February 2025, ConocoPhillips agreed to sell its interests in the Ursa and Europa Fields to Shell for $735 million--part of a strategy aimed at streamlining its portfolio post its $22.5 billion acquisition of Marathon Oil.

3. New LNG Agreements: The company has made significant strides in expanding its LNG footprint by entering into a 20-year agreement in September to purchase 1 million tonnes per annum from NextDecade's Rio Grande LNG export facility. This commitment signals a proactive move towards diversifying its energy offerings and underscores its growth strategy.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Analyst consensus regarding ConocoPhillips reflects both optimism and caution. As of October 2025:

• Analysts' Ratings: Following mixed sentiments, TD Cowen initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $125, lauding the company's operational synergies following recent acquisitions. Conversely, Evercore ISI lowered its price target to $111, underscoring caution driven by strategic shifts.

• Opinion Score: The mean opinion score currently stands at 1.59 from a total of 26 analysts, indicating an overall positive outlook for the stock.

The stock's current trading price of $88.04, despite the slight decrease of 0.13%, might represent an opportunity for investors willing to navigate market volatility. A continued focus on recovery efforts and strategic initiatives is advised, as these can create potential augmented value.

Conclusion

In summary, ConocoPhillips has established itself as a formidable player in the energy sector with considerable growth potential amidst a challenging market backdrop. Despite a bearish stock performance over the past year, robust financial metrics, and strategic initiatives such as workforce restructuring and LNG agreements, contribute to a narrative of promise. Retail investors may find ConocoPhillips an enticing candidate for portfolio diversification, particularly with its demonstrated resilience and capacity for growth in the evolving energy landscape.

Potential investors and stakeholders should closely monitor the ongoing developments, support levels, and market sentiment as they weigh the opportunities and risks associated with ConocoPhillips' stock.