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Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated February 07, 2026

Price

$219.25

Change

+0.24%

Market Cap

$68.45B

Avg Volume

1.5M

Company Overview

Republic Services, Inc. provides a range of environmental services across the United States and Canada, focusing on waste collection, recycling, and disposal. They serve various customer segments, including residential, commercial, and industrial clients. Their services encompass the collection of solid and industrial waste, processing recyclables, and managing landfill operations. Operating from their headquarters in Phoenix, Republic aims to deliver efficient solutions to help customers manage waste responsibly.

As a market leader in the waste management sector, Republic Services holds a significant share with a strong nationwide presence. They benefit from scale and operational efficiency, which enables them to offer competitive pricing. However, they face challenges from smaller players and emerging technologies that promote sustainability and waste reduction. Key competitors include Waste Management, Inc. and Waste Connections, which also vie for market dominance. The shift towards more sustainable practices and increasing regulations around waste management could pose both opportunities and threats.

Currently, Republic Services is in a growth phase, expanding its service offerings and investing in technology to enhance operations. Recent milestones include a series of acquisitions that bolster their market presence and diversify service capabilities. The company’s strategic focus on sustainability and innovation positions them well for future challenges, spotlighting their commitment to adapting in a competitive landscape.

Key Financials

Market Cap

$68.45B

Revenue

$16.50B

EBITDA

$5.16B

Gross Margin

43.3%

Profit Margin

12.8%

Revenue Growth

3.3%

Total Cash

$84.00M

Total Debt

$13.51B

Free Cash Flow

$1.97B

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics

P/E Ratio

32.53

Forward P/E

30.03

Beta

0.55

52-Week High

$258.75

52-Week Low

$201.42

EPS

$6.74

50-Day Avg

$213.74

200-Day Avg

$229.36

Price/Book

5.73

Technical Analysis

The overall trend for Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) over the 52-week period shows a downward trajectory, with the stock peaking around $257 in early May and subsequently declining to its current price of $219.25, which is just slightly below a key support level of $220 established in late October. The chart reveals significant resistance near the $240 level, where the stock faced multiple rejections before the decline. Notably, a series of lower highs were formed from June to October, indicating persistent selling pressure. In recent weeks, momentum appears to have shifted slightly, as the stock has shown some recovery, but it remains just above the $219.94 level—indicative of consolidation. Currently, with the price sitting near the lower range of its 52-week span, which fluctuates from approximately $201 to $257, this suggests a bearish sentiment that might persist unless a strong reversal is observed.

Recent News and Developments

Here’s a summary of the latest news and developments for Republic Services, Inc

(RSG) stock for the past week, from February 1, 2026, to February 7, 2026:

1. RSG Stock Experiences Modest Price Fluctuations Early February

Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) stock has shown minor daily price movements during the first week of February 2026. On February 3, 2026, the stock closed at $213.95, while on February 4, 2026, it increased to $218.20. The closing price as of February 5, 2026, was $218.72. Short-term forecasts predicted a slight downward trend, with the price potentially dipping to $213.39 by February 6, 2026.

2. Institutional Investors Adjust Holdings in Republic Services

Several institutional investors made changes to their positions in Republic Services, Inc. during the recent period. Mirae Asset Global Investments Co. Ltd. reduced its stake in RSG by 18.2% in Q3, selling 5,952 shares, though this news was reported on February 1, 2026. Conversely, Machina Capital S.A.S. significantly increased its stake by 175.0% in Q3, acquiring an additional 11,060 shares, a development reported on February 4, 2026.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case

Republic Services is trading at a 32.53 P/E while throwing off steady cash flows in a recession-resistant business. Waste management is a defensive play with pricing power—the company has grown revenue 3.3% despite economic headwinds, which is solid for a mature industry. The analyst consensus is “buy” with 24 out of 24 firms positive, and the average price target of $244.21 sits 11.4% above current levels, suggesting meaningful upside if the market rotates back to quality. The stock is sitting near the lower end of its 52-week range at $219.25, having pulled back from $258.75, which creates a margin of safety for new buyers. Q4 earnings on February 17 are expected to show 2.53% EPS growth year-over-year—modest but consistent. At $68.45B market cap with $16.50B in revenue, this is a fortress business with durable competitive moats and minimal execution risk.

Bear Case

The 32.53 P/E is not cheap for a company growing revenue at just 3.3%—that’s a 9.7x multiple on growth rate, which is elevated for a mature utility-like business. The stock has been in a downtrend since May, shedding $38.50 or 14.9% from its peak, and the chart shows lower highs and persistent resistance at $240, suggesting institutional selling pressure hasn’t dried up. Debt sits at $13.51B against only $84M in cash, which is a 160x leverage ratio—not catastrophic for a cash-generative business but limits financial flexibility if margins compress. Institutional moves are mixed: Mirae Asset cut its stake 18.2% in Q3, a signal that some smart money is exiting. Macro risks are real too—if economic growth stalls further, even defensive waste volumes could face pressure, and the company’s ability to raise prices may hit consumer resistance.

What to Watch

The Q4 2025 earnings call on February 17 is the first hard test. Watch for guidance on 2026 pricing assumptions and volume trends—if management sounds cautious on pricing power, that’s a red flag. Monitor the debt-to-EBITDA ratio closely; if leverage creeps above 3.0x, that signals margin pressure and limits buyback capacity. The stock needs to hold $215 as a floor and break above $240 to confirm a reversal; failure to do so suggests the downtrend persists. Track quarterly revenue growth rates—anything below 2% suggests the business is losing momentum. Also watch for activist investor activity or M&A chatter; at $68.45B market cap, a takeout target is plausible if the stock stays depressed. Finally, pay attention to waste volume data from industry reports in March and April; that’s the leading indicator for whether pricing power is real or illusory.

Analyst Consensus

BUY

Based on 24 analyst opinions

Low Target

$190.00

Mean Target

$244.21

High Target

$270.00

Earnings and Financial Data

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Waste Management

Employees

42,000

Earnings & Dividends

Next Earnings

Feb 17, 2026

EPS (Trailing)

$6.74

Dividend Yield

114.0%

Payout Ratio

35.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is RSG a good stock to buy?

Yes, Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) is currently rated as a “BUY” by analysts with a target price of $244.21. Given its solid market cap of $68.45 billion and consistent performance in the waste management sector, it presents a compelling investment opportunity.

What is RSG’s price target?

Analysts have set a price target of $244.21 for RSG. This represents an upside potential of about 11.3% from the current price of $219.25, making it an attractive option for growth investors.

Does RSG pay a dividend?

Yes, Republic Services offers a dividend with a yield of 114.0%. This attractive yield is appealing for income-focused investors and reflects the company’s solid cash flow.

What is RSG’s P/E ratio?

RSG has a P/E ratio of 32.53 and a forward P/E of 30.03. While these values suggest the stock may be trading at a premium, they highlight strong expected growth in earnings.

What has been RSG’s stock performance in the last year?

RSG has traded between $201.42 and $258.75 in the last 52 weeks. Currently priced at $219.25, it shows resilience within the waste management industry, maintaining a solid position amidst market fluctuations.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated February 07, 2026.