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The Mosaic Company (MOS) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated February 07, 2026

Price
$28.53
Change
+2.77%
Market Cap
$9.06B
Avg Volume
7.3M

Company Overview

The Mosaic Company, headquartered in Tampa, Florida, is a leading producer of crop nutrients, focusing primarily on phosphate and potash products. They create various essential agricultural inputs like diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and specialized potash for farmers and distributors worldwide. Their customers range from agricultural retailers and cooperatives to large farming operations, as well as industrial customers needing fertilizers for a variety of applications. The company’s extensive operations include mines, production facilities, and distribution channels, which allow them to meet diverse agricultural and industrial needs effectively.

Mosaic holds a strong competitive position in the agricultural inputs sector, regarded as one of the market leaders in phosphate and potash production. This edge comes from their integrated supply chain, which combines mining, production, and distribution. However, they face notable competition from companies like Nutrien and CF Industries, as well as market fluctuations related to agricultural commodity prices and geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains. While demand for fertilizers remains robust, risks such as price volatility and environmental regulations present potential challenges.

Currently, Mosaic is in a growth phase, benefiting from high agricultural commodity prices. In their recent quarterly reports, they highlighted strong revenue growth driven by increased demand for their products, particularly in agricultural markets. The company has also been focusing on sustainability initiatives, aiming to reduce their carbon footprint and enhance operational efficiency. This strategic pivot towards sustainable practices could position them favorably as the industry increasingly emphasizes environmental responsibility and long-term viability.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$9.06B
Revenue
$11.89B
EBITDA
$2.29B
Gross Margin
15.6%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Revenue Growth
22.8%
Total Cash
$153.30M
Total Debt
$4.80B
Free Cash Flow
$192.39M


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
7.39
Forward P/E
11.87
Beta
0.96
52-Week High
$38.23
52-Week Low
$22.36
EPS
$3.86
50-Day Avg
$25.61
200-Day Avg
$31.04
Price/Book
0.71
MOS 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
The overall trend for The Mosaic Company (MOS) over the past 52 weeks has been moderately positive, marked by a 7.6% increase from $26.55 to the current price of $28.53. Key support is observed around the $25.00 level, which has held firm during recent dips, while resistance is evident at approximately $33.00, a level tested multiple times without sustainment. Notable price patterns include the consolidation phase around $30.00 to $32.00, followed by a pronounced drop in November that prompted a significant recovery since December. Recent momentum over the last few weeks shows a bullish resurgence, with the stock surging from around $26.70 in late January, indicating regained investor confidence. Currently, at $28.53, the price sits roughly in the middle of its 52-week range of $20.00 to $37.50, suggesting a neutral stance where the stock has potential for both upward movement if it breaks resistance or downward risk if support fails.


Recent News and Developments

Market Update

Here’s a summary of the latest news and developments for The Mosaic Company (MOS) stock in the past week, from February 1st to February 7th, 2026:

1. Scotiabank Upgrades Mosaic, Raises Price Target

On February 2, 2026, Scotiabank upgraded its rating for The Mosaic Company and raised its price target to $36.00. The firm had previously held a “sector perform” rating for the company.

2. MOS Stock Experiences Fluctuating Price Movements

The Mosaic Company’s stock saw varied price movements throughout the week. On February 2, 2026, the stock closed at $27.27, followed by a gain to $28.31 on February 3. It then climbed to $28.82 on February 4 before experiencing a drop to $27.76 on February 5. By February 6, the price increased again to $28.60.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
Mosaic trades at a P/E of 7.39 with 22.8% revenue growth — that’s a compelling multiple for a company actually growing. The stock sits near the middle of its 52-week range at $28.53, having climbed 7.6% over the past year while holding firm support at $25.00. Scotiabank just upgraded the stock and raised its target to $36.00, joining 19 other analysts recommending a buy with a consensus target of $32.27 — that’s 13% upside from here. Institutional money is flowing in: Allianz Asset Management added shares this week, signaling confidence from serious capital. The fertilizer sector benefits from structural demand tailwinds, and Mosaic’s balance sheet has $153.30M in cash to fund operations and shareholder returns. With earnings arriving February 24th and investor conferences scheduled for late February and March, the company has multiple platforms to reset expectations higher.
Bear Case
The debt load is substantial at $4.80B against only $153.30M in cash, leaving limited financial flexibility if commodity prices crack. Mosaic’s entire valuation thesis hinges on sustained fertilizer demand and pricing — any softening in agricultural economics or global grain prices directly crushes margins and revenue. The stock has tested $33.00 resistance multiple times without sustaining it, suggesting real seller pressure at higher levels. Seasonal patterns matter: fertilizer demand is cyclical, and Q1 typically sees slower activity. The analyst target range is wide at $24.00 to $38.20, indicating genuine disagreement about fair value even among professionals. If the upcoming February 24th earnings disappoint or guidance weakens, the stock could easily retest the $25.00 support level.
What to Watch
The February 24th earnings call is the immediate catalyst — watch for guidance on 2026 volumes, pricing assumptions, and free cash flow. Mosaic needs to demonstrate that 22.8% revenue growth is sustainable and not inflated by one-time pricing spikes in fertilizer markets. Track global potash and phosphate prices closely: these are commodity inputs that directly impact margins. The $33.00 resistance level is critical; a break above it on volume would suggest institutional accumulation is real and could target $36.00. Monitor the company’s debt paydown progress and free cash flow generation in coming quarters — at $4.80B in debt, the margin for error is thin if earnings disappoint. Watch for any commentary during the investor conferences in late February and March about agricultural demand trends and customer inventory levels, which signal future order flow. Finally, keep an eye on agricultural commodity prices, particularly grain and crude oil, as these drive farmer economics and fertilizer purchasing decisions.
Analyst Consensus
BUY

Based on 19 analyst opinions
Low Target
$24.00
Mean Target
$32.27
High Target
$38.20


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Agricultural Inputs
Employees
13,765


Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Feb 24, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$3.86
Dividend Yield
317.0%
Payout Ratio
22.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MOS a good stock to buy?
Yes, analysts recommend Mosaic Company (MOS) as a BUY with a target price of $32.27. The stock is currently trading at $28.53, presenting an upside potential of about 13%.
What is MOS’s price target?
The analyst target price for Mosaic (MOS) is $32.27. This reflects a valuation based on current market conditions and growth potential in the agricultural inputs sector.
Does MOS pay a dividend?
Yes, Mosaic Company offers a substantial dividend yield of 317.0%. This high yield is attractive for income-focused investors looking for dividends in the agriculture sector.
What is MOS’s P/E ratio?
Mosaic has a current P/E ratio of 7.39 and a forward P/E of 11.87. This suggests that the stock is undervalued compared to the broader market, which typically trades at higher multiples.
What has been MOS’s price range over the last year?
The price of Mosaic Company has fluctuated between $22.36 and $38.23 over the past 52 weeks. This range indicates volatility, but also potential opportunity for investors at lower price points.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated February 07, 2026.