AZO – AutoZone, Inc.

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) Monthly Stock Report – November 19, 2025

Company Overview

AutoZone, Inc. is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories, headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, United States. The company operates primarily within the auto parts industry, a segment of the consumer cyclical sector. AutoZone serves a diverse customer base across the United States, Mexico, and Brazil, providing a wide range of products for cars, SUVs, vans, and light-duty trucks. Its offerings include both new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and a variety of non-automotive products.

In addition to automotive parts, AutoZone enhances its service profile by offering maintenance products, tools, and entertainment systems for vehicles, along with commercial credit and delivery services. The company also excels in providing diagnostic and repair software under the ALLDATA brand, appealing to both individual consumers and commercial clients. With annual revenue of approximately $18.94 billion, AutoZone is well-positioned to leverage consumer demand trends within the automotive sector, reinforcing its standing as a market leader.

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

The 52-week stock price chart of AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) reveals a predominantly bullish trajectory, with the stock displaying higher highs and higher lows until a correction occurred post-September 2025. The shares reached a peak of $4,388.11 and a trough of $3,036.40 during this period.

Key Price Levels:

• Support Levels: Significant support exists around $3,000, as evidenced by the red dashed line on the chart. Recent recovery has shown the stock finding support near $3,500.
• Resistance Levels: The primary resistance level remains close to the September peak at approximately $4,500.

Momentum Indicators:

Currently, AutoZone’s stock trades at $3,789.13, notably below its fifty-day moving average of $3,994.95, which suggests a bearish trend forming in the short term. The green trend line indicates a prevailing positive direction overall, despite recent corrections. The recent price action, coupled with a potential rebound from November lows, suggests that traders should monitor for possible upward momentum towards the moving average.

Market Action:

The stock demonstrates high potential due to its history of substantial price fluctuations and resilience in the face of market volatility. Investors should pay close attention to key levels for future price movements, particularly a confirmed breakout above the moving average, which could re-establish short-term bullish momentum or signal the continuation of sideways movement if unable to break through.

Financial Performance and Metrics

AutoZone maintained a solid financial foundation, evidenced by the following metrics:
– Total Revenue: $18,938,716,160
– EBITDA: Approximately $4.22 billion
– Shares Outstanding: 16,632,663
– Short Interest: 269,699 shares, representing about 0.0182% of the float.

Despite a slight miss in earnings per share (EPS) for the fourth quarter at $48.71 against the consensus estimate of $50.80, the company posted a 5.1% increase in same-store sales, reflecting a robust demand environment. Analysts are cautiously optimistic regarding the company’s profitability and growth potential, with the consensus recommending a “strong buy” across various forecasts.

Valuation Metrics:

Current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios and any potential valuation measures would also play a critical role when evaluating the overall health and market positioning of AutoZone. Despite the recent underperformance relative to the moving average, the company’s financial strength can support ongoing growth strategies.

Recent News and Developments

Several significant events have recently transpired impacting AutoZone’s stock and market perception:

1. Share Repurchase Program: In June 2024, AutoZone’s Board of Directors authorized an additional $1.5 billion for its share repurchase initiative, elevating the total since its inception to $39.2 billion. This reflects a steadfast commitment to enhancing shareholder value while highlighting the company’s strong free cash flow.

2. Earnings Report & Market Reactions: Despite missing EPS estimates in September 2025, the company’s same-store sales performance exceeded expectations. Analysts have varied opinions on the stock, with firms like CFRA adjusting its price target to $4,200 while retaining a “Buy” rating, and Goldman Sachs maintaining a “Neutral” outlook with a price target of $3,894.

3. Insider Trading: Notable insider activity was reported when John Scott Murphy, Vice President and Controller, sold approximately $11.9 million in stock near the 52-week high. This could be interpreted as a sign of confidence from company leadership or internal strategy adjustments.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Current market sentiment surrounding AutoZone remains bullish, partially attributed to the solid performance metrics and positive consumer demand trends. The consensus rating compiled from various analysts currently stands at an average of approximately 1.48, suggesting a strong buy recommendation.

Analyst Price Targets:

• High Target: $4,900.00
• Mean Target: $4,579.13
• Median Target: $4,700.00
• Low Target: $3,000.00

These targets suggest considerable upside potential as the stock currently trades at $3,789.13, indicating a solid opportunity for prospective investors to enter the market.

Investor Considerations:

Retail investors should remain aware of possible risks associated with the stock’s recent bearish trend and the volatility in market conditions. A cautious yet optimistic approach may be beneficial, focusing on the company’s strong fundamentals, robust cash flow, and demonstrated consumer demand resilience within the automotive sector.

In conclusion, while AutoZone has fluctuated in its recent price action, the fundamentals reflect a strong and resilient company poised for future growth. Investors should evaluate both the opportunities and risks when considering AutoZone as part of their investment portfolio.

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$63.1b
Total Debt	$12.6b
Total Cash	$290.5m
Shares Outstanding	16.6m
Float Shares	16.6m