ALTSTATION.IO

O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated October 03, 2026

Price
$84.47
Change
-0.65%
Market Cap
$68.34B
Avg Volume
6.5M

Company Overview

Headquartered in Springfield, Missouri, O’Reilly Automotive operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector as an aftermarket auto parts retailer and supplier. Founded in 1957, the business sells replacement hard parts, maintenance supplies, tools, and accessories across more than 6,500 stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada. Their customer base splits between do-it-yourself retail buyers and professional commercial repair shops. Beyond physical parts like batteries and brake components, locations provide hands-on services including engine diagnostic code extraction, battery testing, and tool loaner programs.

O’Reilly is a clear market leader alongside AutoZone and Advance Auto Parts, commanding a market valuation around $70 billion. Their primary competitive edge is a dual-market distribution model backed by high-density hub stores that deliver commercial parts to local mechanics within minutes. That rapid parts availability makes them tough to displace in the professional repair segment, which is far stickier than DIY retail. The core headwind remains wage and logistics cost inflation across an expanding footprint, but their supply chain execution keeps them well ahead of weaker rivals.

The business is expanding steadily rather than pivoting, generating $17.78 billion in 2025 revenue on 6.42% year-over-year top-line growth. They added 198 net new stores in 2024 and targeted another 225 to 235 store openings through fiscal 2026. The macro tailwind is clear: the average vehicle on U.S. roads is now over 12.8 years old, directly fueling recurring demand for replacement parts. Backed by 33 consecutive years of positive comparable store sales through 2025, O’Reilly keeps taking market share by sticking strictly to organic store expansion and superior inventory access.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$68.34B
Revenue
$18.57B
EBITDA
$4.17B
Gross Margin
51.6%
Profit Margin
14.3%
Revenue Growth
8.1%
Total Cash
$262.18M
Total Debt
$9.59B
Free Cash Flow
$1.57B


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
26.82
Forward P/E
23.14
Beta
0.52
52-Week High
$105.36
52-Week Low
$82.59
EPS
$3.15
50-Day Avg
$88.40
200-Day Avg
$91.00
Price/Book
-37.56
ORLY 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
ORLY trades at $84.47, just 2.80% above its 52-week low of $82.59 and 19.32% below its 52-week high of $105.23. The stock sits only 10% of the way from the low to the high, putting it near the bottom of its annual range. Price is 0.80% below the 20-day moving average of $85.59. Momentum is negative, with declines of 1.42% over the last five trading days and 2.84% over the last 20 trading days. Near-term support is $82.88, while resistance is $90.68.


Recent News and Developments

Bernstein Starts ORLY at Market Perform

Bernstein initiated coverage of O’Reilly Automotive on September 29 with a Market Perform rating and a $94 price target. Analysts tracked by FactSet had an average Buy rating and a $108.46 mean target. Source: MT Newswires via Yahoo Finance

O’Reilly Sets Third-Quarter Earnings Dates

O’Reilly will release third-quarter 2026 results after 3:30 p.m. Central Time on October 28. Its conference call is scheduled for October 29 at 10:00 a.m. Central Time. Source: O’Reilly Auto Parts

ORLY Falls 1.42% for the Week

ORLY closed at $84.90 on October 2, down 1.42% from its September 25 close of $86.12. The stock fell during four consecutive sessions from September 29 through October 2, with its largest daily decline at 0.77% on September 30. Source: StockAnalysis.com



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
Revenue reached $18.57 billion and is growing at 8.1%, giving the bull case a solid fundamental base. The stock trades near the bottom of its 52-week range despite that growth. The $107.35 analyst target implies substantial upside from the current $84.47 price. Even the low target of $91.00 sits above the current price, while the high target reaches $120.00. The consensus recommendation is buy across 26 analysts. The reason to buy here is straightforward: ORLY offers positive revenue growth, broad analyst support, and meaningful target-price upside while trading just 2.80% above its 52-week low.
Bear Case
ORLY is not cheap at 26.82 times earnings. The balance sheet carries $9.59 billion in total debt against only $262.18 million in cash. That debt is a clear risk because the provided data shows a wide gap between available cash and total obligations. Price momentum is also weak, with the stock down 1.42% over five trading days and 2.84% over 20 trading days. ORLY is below its $85.59 moving average and only $1.59 above near-term support at $82.88. The provided data does not quantify competitive or macroeconomic threats, but the valuation, debt load, and negative momentum already leave little room for execution problems.
What to Watch
Third-quarter 2026 results are scheduled for release after 3:30 p.m. Central Time on October 28. The conference call follows on October 29 at 10:00 a.m. Central Time. Investors should watch whether revenue growth holds near the reported 8.1% rate. On the chart, $82.88 is the immediate threshold because a break below that support would extend the current weakness. A move above the $85.59 moving average would improve the near-term setup, while $90.68 remains the key resistance level. Bernstein’s September 29 Market Perform rating and $94 target show that not every analyst shares the broader buy consensus, so the earnings update needs to support the more bullish $107.35 consensus target.
Analyst Consensus
BUY

Based on 26 analyst opinions
Low Target
$91.00
Mean Target
$107.35
High Target
$120.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto Parts
Employees
95,822
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$3.15
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ORLY a good stock to buy?
ORLY has a buy recommendation from 26 analysts, revenue growth of 8.1%, and a $107.35 analyst target versus its $84.47 price. The clear takeaway is that the fundamental and analyst data are bullish, but the 26.82 P/E and weak momentum raise the entry risk.
What is ORLY’s price target?
The analyst target is $107.35, with estimates ranging from $91.00 to $120.00. The takeaway is that every listed target is above the current $84.47 price.
Is ORLY near its 52-week low?
ORLY is priced at $84.47, which is 2.80% above the technical 52-week low of $82.59. The takeaway is that the stock is trading near the bottom of its annual range.
What are ORLY’s support and resistance levels?
Near-term support is $82.88, and near-term resistance is $90.68. The takeaway is that these are the key 30-day levels to watch.
Does ORLY pay a dividend?
The provided data does not include any dividend information. The takeaway is that no dividend conclusion can be made from the available figures.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated October 03, 2026.