The AI Forecast Scorecard
We asked an AI to predict 496 stocks for a year, then scored it | Updated September 20, 2026
The five worst misses
Every company, every forecast
Showing all 496 coins
We asked Amazon’s forecasting model to predict the 2026 price of
all 496 S&P 500 companies. It got the direction right
52.0% of the time. Simply assuming every stock
would go up would have been right 62.7% of the time.
What we did
We gave Chronos-2, Amazon’s open time-series model, two full years of daily closing
prices for every S&P 500 company — 2024 and 2025, 502 trading days. We asked
it to forecast every session of 2026. Then we waited and scored it against what
actually happened.
The method was fixed before any result was read.
Model, input window, horizon, baseline and scoring rules were all written down in
advance. That matters: it is the difference between a test and a story told after the
fact. Nothing was tuned once the outcomes were visible.
What happened
- 52.0% direction accuracy against a
62.7% base rate. The model was worse than a constant. - 52.2% beat the naive baseline — a coin flip.
The baseline was simply “the price stays where it ended 2025”. - Median miss of 15.1% on the final price.
- 65.7% band coverage against an advertised 80%.
When the model said it was 80% confident, it was right about
66% of the time.
The tails are where it gets vivid. The worst miss was off by more than 200%. At the
other end the model landed within a fraction of a percent on NI (off by 0.01%), HIG (off by 0.13%), PH (off by 0.13%) —
across nine months, which looks like skill until you notice it happened about as often
as chance would predict across 496 attempts.
What this is not. This is not a claim that AI
cannot forecast markets, and it is not investment advice. It is one well-specified model,
run one way, scored honestly. It is a useful corrective to the idea that pointing a
large model at a price series produces insight.
| Symbol | Name | Last 2025 close | Predicted | Actual | Off by | Direction right | Beat naive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP | Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stock | $673.82 | $1,088.81 | $323.96 | 236.1% | no | no |
| TTD | The Trade Desk, Inc. | $37.96 | $40.23 | $14.34 | 180.5% | no | no |
| CSGP | CoStar Group Inc | $67.24 | $69.95 | $30.46 | 129.6% | no | no |
| BSX | Boston Scientific Corp. | $95.35 | $92.44 | $42.98 | 115.1% | yes | yes |
| LULU | lululemon athletica inc. | $207.81 | $210.52 | $98.97 | 112.7% | no | no |
| PODD | Insulet Corporation | $284.24 | $278.82 | $131.96 | 111.3% | yes | yes |
| INTU | Intuit Inc | $656.26 | $657.42 | $321.57 | 104.4% | no | no |
| ROL | Rollins, Inc. | $59.35 | $62.58 | $34.73 | 80.2% | no | no |
| MRNA | Moderna, Inc. Common Stock | $29.49 | $29.25 | $143.97 | 79.7% | no | no |
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc. | $124.74 | $115.47 | $567.29 | 79.7% | no | no |
| FICO | Fair Isaac Corporation | $1,690.62 | $1,758.69 | $985.39 | 78.5% | no | no |
| ZTS | ZOETIS INC. | $123.88 | $129.08 | $72.97 | 76.9% | no | no |
| STX | Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) | $274.71 | $198.72 | $830.17 | 76.1% | no | no |
| FIS | Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | $64.41 | $66.97 | $38.14 | 75.6% | no | no |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | $285.25 | $247.81 | $975.26 | 74.6% | no | yes |
| PNR | Pentair plc | $103.11 | $96.84 | $56.58 | 71.2% | yes | yes |
| NKE | Nike, Inc. | $62.07 | $61.56 | $36.80 | 67.3% | yes | yes |
| INTC | Intel Corp | $36.90 | $34.71 | $102.94 | 66.3% | no | no |
| WDC | Western Digital Corp. | $172.09 | $156.06 | $447.18 | 65.1% | no | no |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology, Inc. Common Stock | $84.86 | $82.80 | $236.10 | 64.9% | no | no |
| APTV | Aptiv PLC | $76.09 | $75.01 | $45.54 | 64.7% | yes | yes |
| CHTR | Charter Comm Inc Del CL A New | $208.75 | $237.68 | $145.77 | 63.0% | no | no |
| HPE | Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company | $23.80 | $23.28 | $62.09 | 62.5% | no | no |
| LITE | Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock | $368.59 | $348.94 | $927.03 | 62.4% | no | yes |
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource, Inc. | $102.89 | $97.93 | $60.37 | 62.2% | yes | yes |
| NRG | NRG Energy, Inc. | $157.70 | $182.11 | $113.46 | 60.5% | no | no |
| MPC | MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION | $160.76 | $159.88 | $395.93 | 59.6% | no | no |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | $214.16 | $211.71 | $516.13 | 59.0% | no | no |
| VLO | Valero Energy Corporation | $160.42 | $162.09 | $390.42 | 58.5% | yes | yes |
| COO | The Cooper Companies, Inc. Common Stock | $81.96 | $85.39 | $53.91 | 58.4% | no | no |
| PSX | PHILLIPS 66 | $126.39 | $126.46 | $259.47 | 51.3% | yes | yes |
| CIEN | Ciena Corporation | $233.87 | $171.24 | $349.54 | 51.0% | no | yes |
| ACN | Accenture PLC | $262.88 | $277.03 | $183.90 | 50.6% | no | no |
| NCLH | Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares | $22.32 | $22.21 | $14.82 | 49.9% | yes | no |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | $931.96 | $853.35 | $1,690.82 | 49.5% | no | yes |
| NTAP | NetApp, Inc | $105.71 | $101.02 | $199.28 | 49.3% | no | no |
| CRH | CRH Public Limited Company | $123.42 | $131.80 | $88.55 | 48.9% | no | no |
| GLW | Corning Incorporated | $87.10 | $87.41 | $166.40 | 47.5% | yes | yes |
| IT | Gartner, Inc. | $252.28 | $264.28 | $179.59 | 47.2% | no | no |
| TER | Teradyne, Inc. Common Stock | $193.33 | $201.90 | $379.72 | 46.8% | yes | yes |
| CRWD | CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock | $117.19 | $112.41 | $206.74 | 45.6% | no | no |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Common Stock | $184.20 | $180.39 | $330.65 | 45.4% | no | no |
| ISRG | Intuitive Surgical Inc. | $566.36 | $535.36 | $369.15 | 45.0% | yes | yes |
| KEYS | Keysight Technologies, Inc. | $203.19 | $188.43 | $338.64 | 44.4% | no | no |
| FTNT | Fortinet, Inc. | $79.41 | $87.12 | $156.07 | 44.2% | yes | yes |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. Ordinary Shares | $60.42 | $64.66 | $115.78 | 44.1% | yes | yes |
| COHR | Coherent Corp. | $184.57 | $171.66 | $305.37 | 43.8% | no | yes |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply Co | $49.05 | $47.46 | $33.01 | 43.8% | yes | yes |
| APA | APA Corporation Common Stock | $23.90 | $25.20 | $44.73 | 43.7% | yes | yes |
| CF | CF Industries Holding, Inc. | $76.22 | $75.02 | $133.07 | 43.6% | no | no |
| LYB | LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A | $41.91 | $37.23 | $63.69 | 41.5% | no | no |
| DVA | DaVita Inc. | $113.61 | $106.60 | $181.55 | 41.3% | no | no |
| AMAT | Applied Materials Inc | $256.08 | $268.38 | $456.49 | 41.2% | yes | yes |
| HUM | Humana Inc. | $254.24 | $242.52 | $409.80 | 40.8% | no | no |
| DDOG | Datadog, Inc. Class A Common Stock | $135.99 | $132.83 | $221.21 | 40.0% | no | no |
| LRCX | Lam Research Corp | $170.85 | $179.38 | $298.22 | 39.9% | yes | yes |
| LDOS | Leidos Holdings, Inc. | $179.32 | $178.23 | $128.86 | 38.3% | yes | no |
| ADSK | Autodesk Inc | $296.01 | $291.69 | $212.40 | 37.3% | yes | yes |
| HPQ | HP Inc. | $21.45 | $22.28 | $35.48 | 37.2% | yes | yes |
| TXN | Texas Instruments Incorporated | $170.62 | $168.96 | $268.70 | 37.1% | no | no |
| TRMB | Trimble Inc. Common Stock | $78.35 | $79.01 | $57.66 | 37.0% | no | no |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands Corp. | $63.97 | $58.68 | $42.83 | 37.0% | yes | yes |
| IDXX | Idexx Laboratories Inc | $676.53 | $689.11 | $504.70 | 36.5% | no | no |
| CNC | Centene Corporation | $41.15 | $42.38 | $66.42 | 36.2% | yes | yes |
| NUE | Nucor Corporation | $162.16 | $165.81 | $259.43 | 36.1% | yes | yes |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co Class A Common Stock | $161.94 | $164.68 | $257.06 | 35.9% | yes | yes |
| TGT | Target Corporation | $95.13 | $100.03 | $155.83 | 35.8% | yes | yes |
| ADM | Archer Daniels Midland Company | $56.33 | $56.13 | $86.72 | 35.3% | no | no |
| STLD | Steel Dynamics Inc | $168.54 | $155.51 | $239.79 | 35.1% | no | no |
| VST | Vistra Corp. | $160.88 | $96.32 | $148.38 | 35.1% | yes | no |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer, Inc. Common Stock | $29.27 | $26.04 | $40.10 | 35.1% | no | no |
| PTC | PTC, INC | $174.21 | $176.22 | $130.78 | 34.8% | no | no |
| DECK | Deckers Outdoor Corp | $103.67 | $109.46 | $81.27 | 34.7% | no | no |
| CCL | Carnival Corporation Ltd. | $30.06 | $30.57 | $22.75 | 34.4% | no | no |
| CPRT | Copart Inc | $39.15 | $40.22 | $29.95 | 34.3% | no | no |
| FCX | Freeport-McMoran Inc. | $50.43 | $47.34 | $71.07 | 33.4% | no | no |
| CVX | Chevron Corporation | $148.27 | $142.68 | $214.06 | 33.4% | no | no |
| ANET | Arista Networks | $131.03 | $133.28 | $199.59 | 33.2% | yes | yes |
| TRGP | Targa Resources Corp. | $181.82 | $194.38 | $290.25 | 33.0% | yes | yes |
| DE | Deere & Company | $463.01 | $453.84 | $675.74 | 32.8% | no | no |
| DPZ | Domino's Pizza Inc. | $412.18 | $413.88 | $311.60 | 32.8% | no | no |
| VRSK | Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock | $222.52 | $233.64 | $176.20 | 32.6% | no | no |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corporation | $285.99 | $249.52 | $369.10 | 32.4% | no | no |
| JBHT | JB Hunt Transport Services Inc | $193.27 | $182.90 | $270.45 | 32.4% | no | no |
| TJX | TJX Companies, Inc. (The) | $152.20 | $166.75 | $126.02 | 32.3% | no | no |
| TYL | Tyler Technologies, Inc. | $453.95 | $445.39 | $336.67 | 32.3% | yes | yes |
| LII | Lennox International Inc. | $483.00 | $483.12 | $366.04 | 32.0% | no | no |
| EFX | Equifax, Incorporated | $215.03 | $222.98 | $169.00 | 31.9% | no | no |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | $421.80 | $443.12 | $650.58 | 31.9% | yes | yes |
| SWKS | Skyworks Solutions Inc | $62.12 | $60.43 | $88.35 | 31.6% | no | no |
| AXON | Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock | $567.93 | $630.43 | $479.34 | 31.5% | no | no |
| MKC | McCormick & Company, Incorporated Non-VTG CS | $66.90 | $67.42 | $51.32 | 31.4% | no | no |
| COP | ConocoPhillips | $91.59 | $94.39 | $137.35 | 31.3% | yes | yes |
| SLB | SLB Limited | $37.76 | $38.56 | $56.06 | 31.2% | yes | yes |
| ADI | Analog Devices, Inc. | $268.80 | $260.83 | $378.78 | 31.1% | no | no |
| PFG | Principal Financial Group, Inc. | $86.08 | $80.02 | $116.17 | 31.1% | no | no |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corporation | $40.55 | $42.76 | $61.46 | 30.4% | yes | yes |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. | $199.48 | $194.41 | $278.26 | 30.1% | no | yes |
| STT | State Street Corporation | $126.69 | $135.26 | $193.40 | 30.1% | yes | yes |
| BAX | Baxter International Inc. | $19.08 | $16.67 | $23.80 | 30.0% | no | no |
| ETN | Eaton Corporation, plc Ordinary Shares | $315.87 | $298.78 | $425.37 | 29.8% | no | no |
| IRM | Iron Mountain Inc. | $81.72 | $80.91 | $115.18 | 29.8% | no | no |
| BR | Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc | $219.11 | $217.29 | $167.74 | 29.5% | yes | yes |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | $35.92 | $34.57 | $48.95 | 29.4% | no | no |
| WYNN | Wynn Resorts Ltd | $119.46 | $113.36 | $87.70 | 29.3% | yes | yes |
| FDX | FedEx Corporation | $230.96 | $221.38 | $311.99 | 29.0% | no | no |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation Common Stock | $121.06 | $128.82 | $180.64 | 28.7% | yes | yes |
| BEN | Franklin Templeton, Inc. | $23.31 | $24.00 | $33.65 | 28.7% | yes | yes |
| MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | $903.17 | $881.60 | $1,234.46 | 28.6% | no | no |
| CVNA | Carvana Co. | $84.40 | $88.67 | $69.16 | 28.2% | no | no |
| BF.B | Brown-Forman Corporation Class B | $25.38 | $18.84 | $26.22 | 28.2% | no | no |
| CTSH | Cognizant Technology Solutions | $81.52 | $76.90 | $60.00 | 28.2% | yes | yes |
| ALB | Albemarle Corporation | $140.26 | $150.58 | $117.52 | 28.1% | no | yes |
| XOM | ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation | $117.97 | $119.98 | $165.99 | 27.7% | yes | yes |
| BG | Bunge Global SA | $87.49 | $88.70 | $122.41 | 27.5% | yes | yes |
| CSCO | Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE) | $75.92 | $81.29 | $112.13 | 27.5% | yes | yes |
| NTRS | Northern Trust Corp | $134.57 | $137.49 | $189.19 | 27.3% | yes | yes |
| GRMN | Garmin Ltd | $200.41 | $205.73 | $282.67 | 27.2% | yes | yes |
| WSM | Williams-Sonoma, Inc. | $176.73 | $164.92 | $226.23 | 27.1% | no | no |
| GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. Common Stock | $81.90 | $81.12 | $63.93 | 26.9% | yes | yes |
| MRK | Merck & Co., Inc. | $103.74 | $105.60 | $143.93 | 26.6% | yes | yes |
| OTIS | Otis Worldwide Corporation | $85.91 | $87.48 | $69.10 | 26.6% | no | no |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy, Inc. | $147.81 | $150.48 | $204.97 | 26.6% | yes | yes |
| CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | $569.39 | $602.14 | $818.57 | 26.4% | yes | yes |
| GNRC | GENERAC HOLDINGS INC | $136.37 | $137.84 | $186.99 | 26.3% | yes | yes |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation Class A | $101.20 | $100.41 | $79.60 | 26.1% | yes | no |
| BKR | Baker Hughes Company | $45.05 | $43.64 | $59.06 | 26.1% | no | yes |
| SNPS | Synopsys Inc | $469.72 | $500.72 | $397.38 | 26.0% | no | no |
| BBY | Best Buy Company, Inc. | $65.06 | $67.48 | $90.80 | 25.7% | yes | no |
| CPAY | Corpay, Inc. | $300.93 | $303.47 | $408.22 | 25.7% | yes | yes |
| WAB | Wabtec Inc. | $212.71 | $210.83 | $283.22 | 25.6% | no | yes |
| EQIX | Equinix, Inc. Common Stock REIT | $754.65 | $773.45 | $1,037.72 | 25.5% | yes | yes |
| AKAM | Akamai Technologies Inc | $87.25 | $79.60 | $106.79 | 25.5% | no | no |
| DGX | Quest Diagnostics Inc. | $171.29 | $175.49 | $235.02 | 25.3% | yes | yes |
| ZBRA | Zebra Technologies Corporation | $242.82 | $262.04 | $350.37 | 25.2% | yes | yes |
| JBL | Jabil Inc. | $227.85 | $238.15 | $318.08 | 25.1% | yes | yes |
| EOG | EOG Resources, Inc. | $102.46 | $110.67 | $147.36 | 24.9% | yes | yes |
| INCY | Incyte Genomics Inc | $98.77 | $91.24 | $121.47 | 24.9% | no | no |
| EME | EMCOR Group, Inc. | $610.81 | $586.63 | $780.66 | 24.9% | no | yes |
| SYK | Stryker Corporation | $349.59 | $343.85 | $275.56 | 24.8% | yes | yes |
| NFLX | NetFlix Inc | $93.76 | $96.34 | $77.40 | 24.5% | no | no |
| OKE | Oneok, Inc. | $70.80 | $73.03 | $96.62 | 24.4% | yes | yes |
| DVN | Devon Energy Corporation | $36.18 | $38.02 | $50.23 | 24.3% | yes | yes |
| VTRS | Viatris Inc. Common Stock | $12.16 | $12.51 | $16.51 | 24.2% | yes | yes |
| KO | Coca-Cola Company | $68.99 | $66.95 | $88.29 | 24.2% | no | no |
| FISV | Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock | $67.17 | $63.98 | $51.58 | 24.1% | yes | yes |
| ON | ON Semiconductor Corp | $54.15 | $57.87 | $76.14 | 24.0% | yes | yes |
| VZ | Verizon Communications | $38.78 | $38.49 | $50.61 | 23.9% | no | no |
| AXP | American Express Company | $366.96 | $401.84 | $324.69 | 23.8% | no | no |
| ORCL | Oracle Corp | $193.05 | $185.66 | $150.28 | 23.6% | yes | yes |
| DOC | Healthpeak Properties, Inc. | $15.39 | $15.52 | $20.30 | 23.5% | yes | yes |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. | $335.99 | $345.25 | $279.69 | 23.4% | no | no |
| TKO | TKO Group Holdings, Inc. | $207.35 | $234.84 | $190.31 | 23.4% | no | no |
| ROST | Ross Stores Inc | $179.06 | $176.80 | $230.74 | 23.4% | no | no |
| BKNG | Booking Holdings Inc. Common Stock | $212.68 | $214.52 | $173.92 | 23.3% | no | no |
| NDSN | Nordson Corp | $238.30 | $241.08 | $314.47 | 23.3% | yes | yes |
| MET | MetLife, Inc. | $77.30 | $74.57 | $97.14 | 23.2% | no | no |
| TTWO | Take-Two Interactive Software Inc | $256.03 | $265.52 | $215.47 | 23.2% | no | no |
| HST | Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | $16.90 | $17.08 | $22.24 | 23.2% | yes | yes |
| EXPD | Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. | $148.25 | $148.02 | $192.60 | 23.1% | no | no |
| IBM | International Business Machines Corporation | $290.30 | $298.92 | $243.29 | 22.9% | no | no |
| GIS | General Mills, Inc. | $44.33 | $44.01 | $35.85 | 22.8% | yes | yes |
| FOX | Fox Corporation Class B Common Stock | $64.27 | $71.73 | $58.45 | 22.7% | no | no |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc | $320.75 | $291.75 | $377.35 | 22.7% | no | no |
| URI | United Rentals, Inc. | $804.45 | $768.38 | $989.12 | 22.3% | no | no |
| SYF | SYNCHRONY FINANCIAL | $82.40 | $92.91 | $75.99 | 22.3% | no | no |
| GWW | W.W. Grainger, Inc. | $1,003.15 | $996.86 | $1,280.00 | 22.1% | no | no |
| FOXA | Fox Corporation Class A Common Stock | $72.39 | $80.49 | $65.94 | 22.1% | no | no |
| TT | Trane Technologies plc | $386.47 | $344.93 | $442.52 | 22.1% | no | no |
| ADBE | Adobe Inc. | $349.99 | $307.46 | $252.23 | 21.9% | yes | yes |
| PCG | PG&E Corporation | $15.98 | $16.79 | $13.80 | 21.7% | no | yes |
| HOOD | Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A Common Stock | $113.10 | $136.95 | $112.57 | 21.7% | no | no |
| NVDA | Nvidia Corp | $186.06 | $171.02 | $218.29 | 21.6% | no | no |
| MLM | Martin Marietta Materials | $620.00 | $620.26 | $509.96 | 21.6% | no | yes |
| ALL | The Allstate Corporation | $205.16 | $198.91 | $253.71 | 21.6% | no | no |
| DOW | Dow Inc. | $22.61 | $22.78 | $29.03 | 21.5% | yes | no |
| APH | Amphenol Corporation | $67.34 | $66.02 | $83.92 | 21.3% | no | no |
| LH | Labcorp Holdings Inc. | $249.03 | $245.42 | $311.54 | 21.2% | no | no |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | $240.70 | $230.67 | $292.71 | 21.2% | no | no |
| ABNB | Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock | $135.72 | $134.57 | $170.19 | 20.9% | no | no |
| UNP | Union Pacific Corp. | $227.87 | $225.53 | $284.40 | 20.7% | no | no |
| ERIE | Erie Indemnity Co | $281.91 | $295.48 | $245.03 | 20.6% | no | no |
| JNJ | Johnson & Johnson | $203.67 | $211.00 | $265.58 | 20.6% | yes | yes |
| TAP | Molson Coors Beverage Company Class B | $45.13 | $46.89 | $38.93 | 20.5% | no | no |
| IBKR | Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock | $64.12 | $72.72 | $91.37 | 20.4% | yes | yes |
| WDAY | Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock | $214.78 | $223.63 | $185.70 | 20.4% | no | no |
| STE | STERIS plc | $251.36 | $253.64 | $210.76 | 20.3% | no | no |
| SJM | The J.M. Smucker Company | $94.89 | $96.52 | $121.14 | 20.3% | yes | yes |
| RVTY | Revvity, Inc. | $96.56 | $99.07 | $124.31 | 20.3% | yes | yes |
| ALGN | Align Technology Inc | $156.15 | $181.25 | $150.82 | 20.2% | no | yes |
| DLR | Digital Realty Trust, Inc. | $152.65 | $150.86 | $188.58 | 20.0% | no | no |
| CDW | CDW Corporation | $134.08 | $123.17 | $153.79 | 19.9% | no | no |
| AOS | A.O. Smith Corporation | $65.78 | $68.79 | $57.39 | 19.9% | no | no |
| XYL | Xylem Inc | $134.68 | $128.08 | $106.96 | 19.8% | yes | yes |
| WMT | Walmart Inc. Common Stock | $110.71 | $128.18 | $107.15 | 19.6% | no | no |
| HAL | Halliburton Company | $27.88 | $28.83 | $35.84 | 19.6% | yes | yes |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin Corp. | $475.07 | $421.88 | $524.19 | 19.5% | no | no |
| ABT | Abbott Laboratories | $123.00 | $121.82 | $101.95 | 19.5% | yes | yes |
| COF | Capital One Financial | $239.56 | $248.86 | $208.30 | 19.5% | no | no |
| WMB | Williams Companies Inc. | $58.82 | $58.71 | $72.85 | 19.4% | no | yes |
| TRV | The Travelers Companies, Inc. | $286.82 | $302.50 | $375.20 | 19.4% | yes | yes |
| MCD | McDonald's Corporation | $299.75 | $301.12 | $252.53 | 19.2% | no | no |
| BNY | Bank of New York Mellon Corporation | $114.57 | $131.55 | $162.66 | 19.1% | yes | yes |
| NVR | NVR, Inc. | $7,292.77 | $7,306.17 | $6,160.76 | 18.6% | no | no |
| DASH | DoorDash, Inc. Class A Common Stock | $226.48 | $239.18 | $201.95 | 18.4% | no | no |
| LOW | Lowe's Companies Inc. | $237.47 | $233.03 | $196.82 | 18.4% | yes | yes |
| ARES | Ares Management Corporation Class A Common Stock | $157.87 | $155.82 | $131.64 | 18.4% | yes | no |
| SPGI | S&P Global Inc. | $491.01 | $485.82 | $410.71 | 18.3% | yes | yes |
| BMY | Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. | $52.18 | $52.16 | $63.64 | 18.0% | no | yes |
| SBUX | Starbucks Corp | $82.71 | $81.16 | $98.74 | 17.8% | no | yes |
| HSIC | Henry Schein Inc | $75.58 | $72.70 | $88.36 | 17.7% | no | no |
| CVS | CVS HEALTH CORPORATION | $77.55 | $77.89 | $94.66 | 17.7% | yes | yes |
| UPS | United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B | $94.69 | $82.52 | $100.28 | 17.7% | no | no |
| SWK | Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. | $72.06 | $73.48 | $89.24 | 17.6% | yes | yes |
| CEG | Constellation Energy Corporation Common Stock | $351.71 | $334.97 | $284.75 | 17.6% | yes | yes |
| CCI | Crown Castle Inc. | $86.76 | $88.88 | $75.62 | 17.5% | no | no |
| CTVA | Corteva, Inc. Common Stock | $66.58 | $69.35 | $83.90 | 17.3% | yes | yes |
| IFF | International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | $66.64 | $69.11 | $83.61 | 17.3% | yes | yes |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | $289.98 | $288.07 | $245.54 | 17.3% | yes | no |
| ROP | Roper Technologies, Inc. Common Stock | $441.98 | $455.68 | $388.52 | 17.3% | no | no |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. | $274.50 | $286.48 | $346.23 | 17.3% | yes | yes |
| MSI | Motorola Solutions, Inc. New | $381.17 | $385.73 | $466.16 | 17.2% | yes | yes |
| FAST | Fastenal Co | $39.48 | $40.85 | $49.32 | 17.2% | yes | yes |
| TDG | TransDigm Group Incorporated | $1,329.85 | $1,333.91 | $1,140.32 | 17.0% | no | yes |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | $47.55 | $42.51 | $51.14 | 16.9% | no | no |
| HRL | Hormel Foods Corporation | $22.80 | $24.03 | $20.57 | 16.8% | no | yes |
| KKR | KKR & Co. Inc. | $126.76 | $118.06 | $101.08 | 16.8% | yes | yes |
| IQV | IQVIA Holdings Inc. | $225.41 | $217.96 | $261.77 | 16.7% | no | yes |
| PCAR | Paccar Inc | $108.60 | $102.29 | $122.73 | 16.6% | no | no |
| AON | Aon plc Class A | $351.15 | $353.06 | $302.69 | 16.6% | no | no |
| AIZ | Assurant, Inc. | $238.32 | $235.76 | $282.46 | 16.5% | no | no |
| TECH | Bio-Techne Corp. | $58.56 | $60.28 | $72.12 | 16.4% | yes | no |
| GL | Globe Life Inc. | $139.00 | $143.18 | $171.17 | 16.4% | yes | yes |
| TPR | Tapestry, Inc. Common Stock | $126.59 | $137.73 | $118.49 | 16.2% | no | yes |
| TSLA | Tesla, Inc. Common Stock | $449.72 | $424.78 | $365.44 | 16.2% | yes | yes |
| IVZ | Invesco LTD | $25.69 | $27.05 | $32.28 | 16.2% | yes | yes |
| USB | U.S. Bancorp | $52.37 | $52.74 | $62.84 | 16.1% | yes | yes |
| EIX | Edison International | $57.76 | $64.96 | $56.00 | 16.0% | no | yes |
| FFIV | F5, Inc. Common Stock | $255.26 | $345.89 | $411.71 | 16.0% | yes | yes |
| PSKY | Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock | $13.27 | $12.28 | $10.60 | 15.9% | yes | yes |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | $176.09 | $188.66 | $224.21 | 15.9% | yes | yes |
| COIN | Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock | $226.14 | $202.87 | $175.26 | 15.8% | yes | no |
| KHC | The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock | $23.06 | $20.73 | $24.60 | 15.7% | no | no |
| XYZ | Block, Inc. | $65.09 | $66.90 | $79.21 | 15.6% | yes | yes |
| MTB | M&T Bank Corp. | $197.42 | $202.59 | $239.83 | 15.5% | yes | yes |
| NDAQ | Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock | $96.15 | $105.23 | $91.19 | 15.4% | no | no |
| EXE | Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock | $108.45 | $109.42 | $94.83 | 15.4% | no | no |
| DHR | Danaher Corporation | $227.96 | $230.40 | $200.14 | 15.1% | no | no |
| STZ | Constellation Brands, Inc. | $135.09 | $140.90 | $122.45 | 15.1% | no | no |
| EMR | Emerson Electric Co. | $131.23 | $129.29 | $152.19 | 15.1% | no | no |
| KIM | Kimco Realty Corp. | $19.60 | $19.70 | $23.19 | 15.1% | yes | yes |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty, Inc. Common Stock | $605.01 | $628.48 | $546.78 | 14.9% | no | no |
| CBRE | CBRE GROUP, INC. | $160.79 | $161.49 | $140.51 | 14.9% | no | no |
| PNC | PNC Financial Services Group | $203.94 | $207.80 | $244.24 | 14.9% | yes | yes |
| LYV | Live Nation Entertainment Inc. | $142.50 | $144.77 | $170.15 | 14.9% | yes | yes |
| WAT | Waters Corp | $379.83 | $348.67 | $408.34 | 14.6% | no | yes |
| APD | Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. | $242.20 | $248.99 | $291.43 | 14.6% | yes | yes |
| PRU | Prudential Financial, Inc. | $108.62 | $102.00 | $119.24 | 14.5% | no | no |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc. | $23.68 | $23.72 | $27.72 | 14.4% | yes | yes |
| FRT | Federal Realty Investment Trust | $97.71 | $97.85 | $114.36 | 14.4% | yes | yes |
| AZO | AutoZone, Inc. | $3,391.50 | $3,290.65 | $2,876.75 | 14.4% | yes | yes |
| WBD | Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. Series A Common Stock | $28.82 | $32.07 | $28.04 | 14.4% | no | no |
| AMP | Ameriprise Financial, Inc. | $485.60 | $477.70 | $557.61 | 14.3% | no | no |
| BRO | Brown & Brown, Inc. | $79.10 | $75.62 | $66.19 | 14.2% | yes | yes |
| IP | International Paper Co. | $37.99 | $39.25 | $34.36 | 14.2% | no | no |
| BDX | Becton, Dickinson and Co. | $149.66 | $152.83 | $177.85 | 14.1% | yes | yes |
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | $46.06 | $47.05 | $54.72 | 14.0% | yes | yes |
| WELL | Welltower Inc. | $183.63 | $202.76 | $235.62 | 13.9% | yes | yes |
| COST | Costco Wholesale Corp | $858.55 | $779.38 | $904.77 | 13.9% | no | no |
| PSA | Public Storage | $254.52 | $255.42 | $296.50 | 13.9% | yes | yes |
| VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc | $453.36 | $444.53 | $515.44 | 13.8% | no | no |
| CTAS | Cintas Corp | $186.64 | $173.91 | $201.50 | 13.7% | no | no |
| FDS | Factset Research Systems | $286.22 | $295.11 | $259.71 | 13.6% | no | no |
| GPN | Global Payments, Inc. | $76.64 | $76.27 | $88.29 | 13.6% | no | no |
| TDY | Teledyne Technologies Incorporated | $510.73 | $521.58 | $603.79 | 13.6% | yes | yes |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan, Inc. | $26.73 | $26.68 | $30.86 | 13.5% | no | yes |
| NEM | Newmont Corporation | $99.21 | $109.72 | $126.81 | 13.5% | yes | yes |
| SNA | Snap-on Incorporated | $338.00 | $325.43 | $375.44 | 13.3% | no | no |
| AME | Ametek, Inc. | $204.68 | $209.68 | $241.87 | 13.3% | yes | yes |
| DD | DuPont de Nemours, Inc. Common Stock | $119.12 | $110.15 | $126.99 | 13.3% | no | no |
| MDLZ | Mondelez International, Inc. Class A | $52.92 | $54.19 | $62.44 | 13.2% | yes | yes |
| RSG | Republic Services Inc. | $210.09 | $193.31 | $222.74 | 13.2% | no | no |
| PM | Philip Morris International Inc. | $157.67 | $165.88 | $191.06 | 13.2% | yes | yes |
| HCA | HCA Healthcare, Inc. | $465.23 | $483.12 | $426.94 | 13.2% | no | no |
| CLX | Clorox Company | $97.35 | $99.26 | $87.76 | 13.1% | no | no |
| MO | Altria Group, Inc. | $55.87 | $59.97 | $68.98 | 13.1% | yes | yes |
| SYY | Sysco Corporation | $72.12 | $72.40 | $83.21 | 13.0% | yes | yes |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree Inc. | $123.01 | $133.30 | $118.17 | 12.8% | no | no |
| EL | The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A | $103.64 | $109.52 | $97.12 | 12.8% | no | no |
| TEL | TE Connectivity plc | $225.06 | $238.95 | $211.96 | 12.7% | no | no |
| VEEV | Veeva Systems Inc. | $223.23 | $229.15 | $262.40 | 12.7% | yes | no |
| AAPL | Apple Inc. | $271.12 | $290.45 | $332.27 | 12.6% | yes | yes |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | $37.00 | $40.67 | $36.20 | 12.3% | no | no |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern Corp. | $285.08 | $280.86 | $320.27 | 12.3% | no | no |
| ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line | $156.14 | $157.77 | $179.79 | 12.2% | yes | yes |
| ABBV | ABBVIE INC. | $223.21 | $225.79 | $257.12 | 12.2% | yes | yes |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A Common Stock | $177.75 | $187.59 | $167.23 | 12.2% | no | no |
| EG | Everest Group, Ltd. | $333.43 | $326.66 | $371.71 | 12.1% | no | no |
| RJF | Raymond James Financial, Inc. | $158.89 | $152.50 | $173.46 | 12.1% | no | no |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. Common Stock | $26.78 | $26.62 | $30.26 | 12.0% | no | no |
| BIIB | Biogen Inc. Common Stock | $175.99 | $191.43 | $217.15 | 11.8% | yes | yes |
| FERG | Ferguson Enterprises Inc. | $219.25 | $196.55 | $222.54 | 11.7% | no | no |
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital Corporation | $86.28 | $84.96 | $96.10 | 11.6% | no | no |
| T | AT&T Inc. | $23.98 | $23.05 | $26.06 | 11.5% | no | no |
| BX | Blackstone Inc. | $149.45 | $143.32 | $128.51 | 11.5% | yes | yes |
| AMZN | Amazon.Com Inc | $230.82 | $227.37 | $256.78 | 11.4% | no | no |
| REG | Regency Centers Corporation | $67.04 | $66.14 | $74.62 | 11.4% | no | no |
| CL | Colgate-Palmolive Company | $77.61 | $77.05 | $86.80 | 11.2% | no | no |
| GD | General Dynamics Corporation | $332.28 | $316.43 | $355.90 | 11.1% | no | no |
| FSLR | First Solar, Inc. | $261.23 | $185.94 | $209.03 | 11.0% | yes | yes |
| CFG | Citizens Financial Group, Inc. | $57.22 | $62.78 | $70.48 | 10.9% | yes | yes |
| PKG | Packaging Corp of America | $203.68 | $208.79 | $234.40 | 10.9% | yes | yes |
| CHD | Church & Dwight Co., Inc. | $83.07 | $83.89 | $94.15 | 10.9% | yes | yes |
| CRM | Salesforce, Inc. | $263.57 | $274.46 | $247.72 | 10.8% | no | no |
| D | Dominion Energy, Inc Common Stock | $56.82 | $57.44 | $64.36 | 10.8% | yes | yes |
| MCHP | Microchip Technology Inc | $62.65 | $66.23 | $74.20 | 10.7% | yes | yes |
| NWSA | News Corporation Class A Common Stock | $25.92 | $26.33 | $29.44 | 10.6% | yes | yes |
| AIG | American International Group, Inc. | $84.49 | $83.20 | $75.33 | 10.4% | yes | yes |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants, Inc. | $179.81 | $188.09 | $209.89 | 10.4% | yes | yes |
| REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc | $768.90 | $862.21 | $781.49 | 10.3% | yes | no |
| ED | Consolidated Edison, Inc. | $96.93 | $95.50 | $106.46 | 10.3% | no | no |
| CAH | Cardinal Health, Inc. | $204.05 | $210.55 | $234.57 | 10.2% | yes | yes |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials Company(Holding Company) | $283.59 | $278.61 | $252.74 | 10.2% | yes | no |
| CBOE | Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | $249.17 | $252.69 | $281.04 | 10.1% | yes | yes |
| RL | Ralph Lauren Corporation | $351.78 | $373.22 | $339.09 | 10.1% | no | yes |
| A | Agilent Technologies Inc. | $135.26 | $132.38 | $146.93 | 9.9% | no | yes |
| RF | Regions Financial Corp. | $26.32 | $27.15 | $30.13 | 9.9% | yes | yes |
| VICI | VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock | $27.21 | $27.27 | $24.83 | 9.8% | no | no |
| JKHY | Henry (Jack) & Associates | $180.35 | $176.91 | $161.12 | 9.8% | yes | yes |
| CB | Chubb Limited | $309.30 | $305.15 | $338.25 | 9.8% | no | no |
| SW | Smurfit Westrock plc | $37.56 | $39.00 | $43.22 | 9.8% | yes | yes |
| HD | Home Depot, Inc. | $336.79 | $338.67 | $308.74 | 9.7% | no | no |
| TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc. | $578.30 | $551.37 | $609.82 | 9.6% | no | yes |
| GILD | Gilead Sciences Inc | $121.25 | $130.10 | $143.72 | 9.5% | yes | yes |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Company | $119.60 | $121.11 | $133.68 | 9.4% | yes | yes |
| EVRG | Evergy, Inc. | $70.70 | $74.03 | $81.62 | 9.3% | yes | yes |
| UBER | Uber Technologies, Inc. | $81.71 | $78.27 | $71.67 | 9.2% | yes | yes |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works Inc. | $243.28 | $243.81 | $268.16 | 9.1% | yes | yes |
| NOW | SERVICENOW, INC. | $153.19 | $144.54 | $132.53 | 9.1% | yes | yes |
| J | Jacobs Solutions Inc. | $131.38 | $129.06 | $141.85 | 9.0% | no | yes |
| BALL | Ball Corporation | $52.45 | $54.53 | $59.90 | 9.0% | yes | yes |
| EBAY | eBay Inc | $86.31 | $98.19 | $107.75 | 8.9% | yes | yes |
| VMRK | Vivmark Residential | $60.97 | $59.74 | $65.54 | 8.8% | no | no |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corporation | $52.24 | $52.42 | $57.46 | 8.8% | yes | yes |
| DAL | Delta Air Lines, Inc. | $68.86 | $72.90 | $79.91 | 8.8% | yes | yes |
| O | Realty Income Corporation | $54.46 | $54.31 | $59.50 | 8.7% | no | no |
| F | Ford Motor Company | $12.68 | $12.76 | $13.97 | 8.7% | yes | yes |
| NWS | News Corporation Class B Common Stock | $29.43 | $29.88 | $32.71 | 8.6% | yes | yes |
| WY | Weyerhaeuser Company | $23.07 | $23.96 | $22.06 | 8.6% | no | yes |
| NXPI | NXP Semiconductors N.V. | $215.21 | $216.46 | $236.62 | 8.5% | yes | yes |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc | $254.10 | $249.75 | $272.91 | 8.5% | no | no |
| QCOM | Qualcomm Inc | $168.42 | $166.57 | $181.97 | 8.5% | no | no |
| VTR | Ventas, Inc. | $76.44 | $82.37 | $89.99 | 8.5% | yes | yes |
| CMCSA | Comcast Corp | $27.00 | $27.33 | $25.20 | 8.4% | no | no |
| LIN | Linde plc Ordinary Share | $422.23 | $426.83 | $466.22 | 8.4% | yes | yes |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International plc | $119.05 | $133.72 | $146.01 | 8.4% | yes | yes |
| ELV | Elevance Health, Inc. | $345.49 | $383.56 | $418.72 | 8.4% | yes | yes |
| WFC | Wells Fargo & Co. | $91.69 | $97.67 | $90.29 | 8.2% | no | no |
| ADP | Automatic Data Processing | $251.59 | $246.42 | $268.26 | 8.1% | no | yes |
| ROK | Rockwell Automation, Inc. | $385.34 | $393.51 | $428.39 | 8.1% | yes | yes |
| PAYX | Paychex Inc | $108.49 | $106.70 | $115.80 | 7.9% | no | yes |
| MAA | Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. | $134.13 | $134.46 | $124.79 | 7.8% | no | no |
| EW | Edwards Lifesciences Corp | $85.25 | $90.86 | $84.37 | 7.7% | no | no |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | $164.77 | $175.73 | $163.19 | 7.7% | no | yes |
| ECL | Ecolab, Inc. | $261.11 | $254.97 | $276.18 | 7.7% | no | no |
| MCO | Moody's Corporation | $507.46 | $511.22 | $474.95 | 7.6% | no | no |
| PYPL | PayPal Holdings, Inc. Common Stock | $57.87 | $57.78 | $53.72 | 7.6% | yes | no |
| IR | Ingersoll Rand Inc. Common Stock | $79.16 | $78.36 | $72.93 | 7.5% | yes | no |
| TMUS | T-Mobile US, Inc. | $199.82 | $168.93 | $182.33 | 7.3% | yes | yes |
| MS | Morgan Stanley | $174.65 | $198.65 | $214.38 | 7.3% | yes | yes |
| AJG | Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | $256.46 | $257.91 | $240.32 | 7.3% | no | no |
| GS | Goldman Sachs Group Inc. | $866.32 | $954.09 | $1,029.18 | 7.3% | yes | yes |
| RMD | ResMed Inc. | $238.92 | $234.12 | $218.27 | 7.3% | yes | yes |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corp. | $178.79 | $181.62 | $169.38 | 7.2% | no | no |
| HAS | Hasbro, Inc. | $80.18 | $84.95 | $91.54 | 7.2% | yes | yes |
| WTW | Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares | $326.32 | $338.34 | $315.61 | 7.2% | no | no |
| BA | Boeing Company | $217.12 | $225.58 | $210.45 | 7.2% | no | no |
| COR | Cencora, Inc. | $335.75 | $344.65 | $321.57 | 7.2% | no | no |
| AFL | Aflac Inc. | $108.58 | $107.07 | $115.28 | 7.1% | no | no |
| YUM | Yum! Brands, Inc. | $149.10 | $150.87 | $140.87 | 7.1% | no | yes |
| SCHW | The Charles Schwab Corporation | $98.93 | $99.98 | $107.25 | 6.8% | yes | yes |
| WRB | W.R. Berkley Corporation | $69.41 | $74.62 | $69.90 | 6.8% | yes | no |
| C | Citigroup Inc. | $114.95 | $129.64 | $138.82 | 6.6% | yes | yes |
| MRSH | Marsh | $182.60 | $188.63 | $176.91 | 6.6% | no | no |
| AWK | American Water Works Company, Inc | $127.85 | $128.67 | $137.69 | 6.5% | yes | yes |
| AES | AES Corporation | $13.83 | $13.83 | $14.79 | 6.5% | no | yes |
| KEY | KeyCorp | $20.05 | $20.42 | $21.84 | 6.5% | yes | yes |
| MGM | MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL | $36.49 | $37.31 | $39.89 | 6.5% | yes | yes |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. | $27.34 | $29.38 | $31.39 | 6.4% | yes | yes |
| ECHO | EchoStar Corporation | $108.70 | $99.02 | $93.14 | 6.3% | yes | yes |
| SPG | Simon Property Group, Inc. | $179.09 | $192.17 | $204.83 | 6.2% | yes | yes |
| GE | GE Aerospace | $307.20 | $343.60 | $323.66 | 6.2% | yes | yes |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | $62.61 | $64.33 | $68.52 | 6.1% | yes | yes |
| PG | Procter & Gamble Company | $140.19 | $136.42 | $145.27 | 6.1% | no | no |
| UNH | UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED (Delaware) | $325.70 | $356.05 | $379.09 | 6.1% | yes | yes |
| PLD | PROLOGIS, INC. | $125.73 | $127.81 | $135.75 | 5.8% | yes | yes |
| BAC | Bank of America Corporation | $54.13 | $59.07 | $62.69 | 5.8% | yes | yes |
| AEP | American Electric Power Company, Inc. | $112.72 | $116.27 | $123.33 | 5.7% | yes | yes |
| DTE | DTE Energy Company | $126.96 | $125.27 | $132.58 | 5.5% | no | no |
| VLTO | Veralto Corporation | $99.48 | $99.18 | $94.10 | 5.4% | yes | yes |
| TROW | T Rowe Price Group Inc | $99.68 | $100.58 | $106.29 | 5.4% | yes | yes |
| DUK | Duke Energy Corporation | $114.22 | $113.06 | $119.42 | 5.3% | no | no |
| DG | Dollar General Corp. | $130.91 | $131.13 | $124.58 | 5.3% | no | no |
| MNST | Monster Beverage Corporation | $38.33 | $41.12 | $43.40 | 5.3% | yes | yes |
| MAR | Marriott International Class A Common Stock | $308.40 | $317.12 | $334.69 | 5.2% | yes | yes |
| CPT | Camden Property Trust | $107.90 | $108.18 | $103.01 | 5.0% | no | no |
| CDNS | Cadence Design Systems | $312.58 | $303.62 | $289.37 | 4.9% | yes | no |
| XEL | Xcel Energy, Inc. | $72.77 | $71.79 | $75.50 | 4.9% | no | no |
| ORLY | O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | $91.21 | $89.99 | $85.82 | 4.8% | yes | no |
| HUBB | Hubbell Incorporated | $440.22 | $438.39 | $460.40 | 4.8% | no | yes |
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corporation Common Stock | $63.52 | $64.08 | $67.26 | 4.7% | yes | yes |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman Corp. | $563.34 | $543.43 | $518.97 | 4.7% | yes | no |
| SBAC | SBA Communications Corp | $189.66 | $194.04 | $185.47 | 4.6% | no | no |
| PPG | PPG Industries, Inc. | $100.59 | $100.76 | $105.50 | 4.5% | yes | no |
| TXT | Textron, Inc. | $87.11 | $84.61 | $81.00 | 4.5% | yes | no |
| AEE | Ameren Corporation | $97.80 | $100.32 | $104.90 | 4.4% | yes | yes |
| META | Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock | $658.91 | $676.18 | $648.03 | 4.3% | no | no |
| MCK | McKesson Corporation | $817.83 | $844.65 | $881.51 | 4.2% | yes | no |
| PGR | Progressive Corporation | $213.91 | $208.74 | $217.62 | 4.1% | no | yes |
| PHM | Pultegroup, Inc. | $116.76 | $113.46 | $118.26 | 4.1% | no | no |
| MOS | The Mosaic Company | $23.45 | $24.21 | $25.19 | 3.9% | yes | no |
| FE | FirstEnergy Corp. | $43.46 | $44.35 | $46.13 | 3.9% | yes | yes |
| TSN | Tyson Foods, Inc. | $57.13 | $55.03 | $52.98 | 3.9% | yes | no |
| WEC | WEC Energy Group, Inc. | $102.79 | $101.30 | $105.33 | 3.8% | no | no |
| MMM | 3M Company | $157.87 | $171.25 | $164.97 | 3.8% | yes | no |
| PEG | Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated | $78.26 | $75.09 | $72.39 | 3.7% | yes | yes |
| PEP | PepsiCo, Inc. | $139.28 | $141.25 | $136.32 | 3.6% | no | yes |
| EXR | Extra Space Storage, Inc. | $127.34 | $132.83 | $137.64 | 3.5% | yes | yes |
| KR | The Kroger Co. | $61.42 | $60.53 | $58.49 | 3.5% | yes | yes |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines Co. | $40.78 | $37.89 | $39.24 | 3.4% | yes | no |
| AMCR | Amcor plc Ordinary Shares | $39.91 | $40.88 | $42.32 | 3.4% | yes | yes |
| L | Loews Corporation | $105.13 | $112.47 | $108.79 | 3.4% | yes | yes |
| EQT | EQT CORP | $53.13 | $52.27 | $54.07 | 3.3% | no | yes |
| V | VISA Inc. | $348.62 | $358.18 | $370.45 | 3.3% | yes | no |
| CHRW | C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $158.98 | $157.79 | $152.78 | 3.3% | yes | yes |
| SO | The Southern Company | $85.11 | $84.33 | $87.17 | 3.3% | no | no |
| BRK.B | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B | $502.65 | $494.31 | $510.37 | 3.1% | no | yes |
| NEE | NextEra Energy, Inc. | $78.57 | $79.76 | $82.31 | 3.1% | yes | yes |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock | $313.19 | $345.80 | $335.45 | 3.1% | yes | yes |
| ES | Eversource Energy | $65.84 | $66.44 | $68.52 | 3.0% | yes | yes |
| DXCM | DexCom, Inc. | $66.37 | $85.52 | $83.03 | 3.0% | yes | yes |
| MTD | Mettler-Toledo International | $1,394.19 | $1,331.29 | $1,293.52 | 2.9% | yes | yes |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | $480.57 | $481.46 | $495.63 | 2.9% | yes | no |
| ZBH | Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. | $89.44 | $90.82 | $93.49 | 2.9% | yes | yes |
| SHW | The Sherwin-Williams Company | $321.74 | $314.32 | $323.31 | 2.8% | no | no |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | $193.80 | $194.24 | $189.05 | 2.7% | no | yes |
| EXC | Exelon Corporation | $42.41 | $42.04 | $43.16 | 2.6% | no | no |
| DIS | The Walt Disney Company | $112.90 | $109.30 | $106.55 | 2.6% | yes | yes |
| CI | The Cigna Group | $270.64 | $287.96 | $280.76 | 2.6% | yes | yes |
| APO | Apollo Global Management, Inc. | $142.96 | $132.25 | $128.98 | 2.5% | yes | yes |
| UDR | UDR, Inc. | $35.54 | $35.98 | $35.12 | 2.4% | no | yes |
| CNP | CenterPoint Energy, Inc. | $37.70 | $38.17 | $39.11 | 2.4% | yes | yes |
| HWM | Howmet Aerospace Inc. | $204.71 | $235.07 | $229.61 | 2.4% | yes | yes |
| ACGL | Arch Capital Group Ltd | $95.92 | $93.84 | $96.09 | 2.4% | no | no |
| UHS | Universal Health Services, Inc. Class B | $217.25 | $178.79 | $174.83 | 2.3% | yes | yes |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Inc | $17.02 | $17.23 | $16.86 | 2.2% | no | no |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Group | $276.01 | $265.86 | $260.14 | 2.2% | yes | no |
| HLT | Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | $286.85 | $299.56 | $306.19 | 2.2% | yes | yes |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc. Class A Common Stock | $312.39 | $345.65 | $338.50 | 2.1% | yes | yes |
| CASY | Casey's General Stores Inc | $551.40 | $602.79 | $615.47 | 2.1% | yes | yes |
| BLK | Blackrock, Inc. | $1,053.05 | $1,057.88 | $1,079.65 | 2.0% | yes | no |
| ETR | Entergy Corporation | $90.79 | $107.45 | $105.33 | 2.0% | yes | yes |
| AMT | American Tower Corporation | $172.19 | $174.27 | $177.85 | 2.0% | yes | yes |
| MDT | Medtronic plc | $94.43 | $92.74 | $90.96 | 2.0% | yes | yes |
| KMB | Kimberly-Clark Corp. | $97.14 | $100.03 | $98.15 | 1.9% | yes | yes |
| MSCI | MSCI, Inc. | $567.39 | $564.69 | $554.61 | 1.8% | yes | no |
| TFC | Truist Financial Corporation | $47.74 | $49.62 | $50.40 | 1.6% | yes | yes |
| OMC | Omnicom Group Inc. | $79.11 | $80.17 | $79.01 | 1.5% | no | no |
| GDDY | GoDaddy Inc | $124.08 | $96.68 | $98.07 | 1.4% | yes | yes |
| HSY | The Hershey Company | $178.01 | $175.77 | $173.32 | 1.4% | yes | no |
| EXPE | Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock | $281.69 | $284.73 | $280.83 | 1.4% | no | no |
| CMI | Cummins Inc. | $505.27 | $564.20 | $556.75 | 1.3% | yes | yes |
| DHI | D.R. Horton Inc. | $142.76 | $139.72 | $137.89 | 1.3% | yes | no |
| ICE | Intercontinental Exchange Inc. | $160.84 | $155.38 | $157.40 | 1.3% | yes | yes |
| KVUE | Kenvue Inc. | $16.67 | $17.56 | $17.78 | 1.2% | yes | yes |
| CINF | Cincinnati Financial Corp | $161.48 | $171.65 | $169.80 | 1.1% | yes | yes |
| WM | Waste Management, Inc. | $216.94 | $211.38 | $213.46 | 1.0% | yes | no |
| ALLE | Allegion Public Limited Company | $157.97 | $154.72 | $153.35 | 0.9% | yes | yes |
| RTX | RTX Corporation | $181.43 | $195.95 | $197.68 | 0.9% | yes | yes |
| PPL | PPL Corporation | $34.20 | $34.38 | $34.08 | 0.9% | no | yes |
| GM | General Motors Company | $80.79 | $84.90 | $85.62 | 0.8% | yes | no |
| HON | Honeywell International, Inc. | $201.87 | $201.03 | $202.36 | 0.7% | no | no |
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | $317.71 | $354.15 | $356.23 | 0.6% | yes | no |
| CMS | CMS Energy Corporation | $68.32 | $67.53 | $67.15 | 0.6% | yes | no |
| SRE | Sempra | $87.06 | $82.95 | $83.34 | 0.5% | yes | no |
| BXP | BXP, Inc. | $65.87 | $64.92 | $64.70 | 0.3% | yes | yes |
| UAL | United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock | $111.82 | $109.46 | $109.82 | 0.3% | yes | no |
| FTV | Fortive Corporation | $55.03 | $54.86 | $54.69 | 0.3% | yes | yes |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co. | $1,069.51 | $1,113.69 | $1,115.70 | 0.2% | yes | yes |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock | $27.18 | $27.59 | $27.54 | 0.2% | yes | yes |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc. Common Stock | $344.83 | $362.58 | $361.99 | 0.2% | yes | yes |
| MA | Mastercard Incorporated | $568.09 | $570.10 | $569.19 | 0.2% | yes | no |
| CME | CME Group Inc. | $264.09 | $275.93 | $275.54 | 0.1% | yes | yes |
| HIG | The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | $135.97 | $136.19 | $136.36 | 0.1% | yes | yes |
| PH | Parker-Hannifin Corporation | $873.59 | $949.00 | $950.23 | 0.1% | yes | yes |
| NI | NiSource Inc. | $40.94 | $41.41 | $41.41 | 0.0% | yes | yes |
Method and limits
Model: Chronos-2 (Apache-2.0), raw price, nine quantiles. Input: daily closes,
2024-01-01 to 2025-12-31, 502 bars. Horizon: every session from the first 2026 bar
onward. Baseline: naive, flat at the final 2025 close. Scored on mean absolute error
versus naive, final-close error, direction, and 10-90 band coverage.
Direction accuracy is not profit, and no trading costs are modelled. A model can be
directionally right and still lose money after spread and slippage. We used Chronos-2
rather than Google’s TimesFM because TimesFM’s weights are licensed
non-commercially.
The analysis was AI-assisted. The underlying per-symbol results are reproducible from
the published method, and we would rather be corrected than be vague.
An open test of whether a large time-series model can forecast stock prices. Chronos-2 was given two years of daily closes for every S&P 500 company and asked to predict 2026. The method was frozen before any outcome was read. Results below are the full per-symbol scorecard, not a selected sample.
