HD – The Home Depot, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical | Home Improvement Retail
Key Statistics
AI Monthly Analysis Report
Comprehensive Investment Analysis of Home Depot, Inc. (HD)
Publication Date: November 08, 2025
Company Overview
Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE: HD) is a prominent home improvement retailer headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Established in 1978, the company operates within the Consumer Cyclical sector and has established itself as a go-to destination for a wide array of building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden supplies, and decor items. Catering to both DIY enthusiasts and professional contractors, Home Depot’s comprehensive service offerings span installation services for products such as flooring and windows.
As a market leader, Home Depot boasts a diversified customer base that includes renovators, builders, and maintenance professionals. With a significant market presence, the home improvement retail industry’s total revenue is an impressive $165.05 billion, supporting a strong investment outlook for Home Depot as well as the broader consumer cyclical sector.
52-Week Price Performance Analysis
52-Week Price Performance Chart
Technical Insights
The stock price of Home Depot is currently at $371.04, reflecting a notable decline from its 52-week high of $439.37 while remaining above its 52-week low of $326.31. The stock’s performance over the past year indicates a predominantly bearish trend, with a series of lower highs and lower lows prominently featured on the price chart.
A detailed examination of the key price levels reveals significant support at $360 and formidable resistance at the $400 mark. Following recent price actions, including a 6.95% drop from previous highs, it suggests bearish momentum continues to define the stock’s trajectory.
Moving Averages and Momentum
Currently, the 50-day moving average is positioned at $399.94, approximately 7% higher than the current stock price. This divergence indicates a bearish condition, as the moving average has consistently acted as a resistance level throughout the year. Furthermore, with increasing volatility observed, the inability of the stock to maintain momentum above the $380 level raises concerns about the lack of buy-side pressure.
Overall, investors should remain vigilant, watching for any signs of consolidation or reversal patterns before diving into long positions.
Financial Performance and Metrics
Home Depot’s financial metrics further underline its strong standing in the home improvement sector. The firm reported a total revenue of $165.05 billion, alongside an EBITDA of $25.60 billion, showcasing robust operational capacity and profitability. These figures solidify Home Depot’s reputation as a formidable player in the retail space.
Investor projections indicate a favorable outlook, with a target high price of $497.00, a mean target price of approximately $438.85, and a target low price of $335.00. The target median price stands at $450.00, suggesting a balanced outlook within this projected range.
Moreover, with 33 analysts contributing insights, the overall recommendation is a solid “buy,” supported by an average recommendation score of 1.78. This consensus reflects a generally optimistic sentiment regarding the company’s future performance and investment attractiveness.
Recent News and Developments
Recent developments have influenced Home Depot’s market dynamics. The stock experienced a 0.51% decline on Friday, accumulating a 4.89% drop over the past five days, leading it to its lowest point since August 2025. This downturn has been linked to macroeconomic pressures, particularly high borrowing costs that have hindered consumer demand for home improvement projects.
Despite this headwind, Home Depot has pursued strategic acquisitions aimed at bolstering long-term growth. The company’s notable $18.3 billion acquisition of SRS Distribution in June 2025 and the subsequent $5.5 billion acquisition of GMS Inc. in September 2025 are expected to enhance its competitive advantages. Although such initiatives promise future synergies and growth, short-term integration costs have curbed near-term earnings forecasts.
In legal matters, a U.S. appeals court recently upheld Home Depot’s policy prohibiting employees from displaying “Black Lives Matter” messaging, maintaining that the company is within its rights to sustain an apolitical workplace.
Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations
Market sentiment toward Home Depot remains cautiously optimistic, despite recent challenges. Researchers at DA Davidson have raised their price target from $450 to $475, reiterating a “Buy” rating on the stock, primarily due to improving demand trends and share gains attributed to company-specific initiatives. Similarly, Truist Securities has maintained a “Buy” rating, viewing the GMS Inc. acquisition favorably and considering it a potential growth catalyst.
Conversely, lingering concerns apply to declining store traffic and strategic shifts toward professional segments, which could pose risks to future performance. Analysts have recommended that investors remain alert to trends in consumer behavior as they pertain to Home Depot’s revenue potential.
Conclusion
In summary, Home Depot, Inc. presents a mixed, yet promising investment case amid current market uncertainties. The company’s solid financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and strong analyst support underline significant upside potential, particularly against its current stock valuation of $371.04. However, the ongoing bearish stock trend and macroeconomic factors warrant careful monitoring.
Investors interested in the consumer cyclical sector will find Home Depot’s blend of resilience, ambition, and market position to be compelling. Keeping an eye on technical indicators, market sentiment, and economic conditions can help facilitate informed decision-making in navigating the complexities of investing in Home Depot.
As the market evolves and more data becomes available, it is critical for investors to do thorough research and remain engaged with the ongoing developments affecting Home Depot, ensuring that they capitalize on future opportunities while managing risk.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $369.3b |
| Total Debt | $61.9b |
| Total Cash | $2.8b |
| Shares Outstanding | 995.4m |
| Float Shares | 2.0b |
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