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Humana Inc. (HUM) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated October 08, 2026

Price
$405.65
Change
+0.34%
Market Cap
$48.71B
Avg Volume
1.2M

Company Overview

Humana Inc. operates in the Healthcare sector under the Healthcare Plans industry, headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky since its founding in 1961. The company generates revenue through two primary segments: Insurance and CenterWell. Its Insurance segment sells individual and group Medicare Advantage plans, prescription drug policies, Medicare supplements, and specialty dental and vision coverage to seniors and military families. Its CenterWell segment operates dedicated senior primary care clinics, home health services, pharmacy operations, and post-acute care coordination.

Humana is the second-largest Medicare Advantage provider in the United States, trailing only UnitedHealth Group. Together, UnitedHealth and Humana account for nearly half of all national Medicare Advantage enrollment and hold the top market share in two-thirds of U.S. counties. Humana’s proprietary CenterWell clinic network gives it a solid clinical moat against competitors like CVS Health and Elevance Health. However, its heavy concentration in government-funded programs leaves the business uniquely vulnerable to Medicare reimbursement cuts and rising medical utilization.

The company is currently executing a margin reset as higher senior healthcare utilization and tighter government payment rates compress insurer profits. Instead of chasing aggressive membership growth, Humana is prioritizing pricing discipline, cost reduction, and the expansion of its value-based CenterWell primary care assets. That strategy aims to lock in higher medical margins and capture more revenue per patient across its clinical footprint. HUM remains the purest large-cap play on aging demographics, but its trajectory hinges entirely on management’s ability to rein in medical loss ratios.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$48.71B
Revenue
$145.68B
EBITDA
$3.60B
Gross Margin
13.7%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Revenue Growth
26.2%
Total Cash
$23.87B
Total Debt
$14.74B
Free Cash Flow
$1.94B


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
38.34
Forward P/E
24.45
Beta
0.74
52-Week High
$428.88
52-Week Low
$163.11
EPS
$10.58
50-Day Avg
$386.12
200-Day Avg
$294.70
Price/Book
2.54
HUM 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
HUM trades at $405.65, 88% of the way from its $161.90 52-week low to its $428.88 high. The stock is 7.55% below that high and 144.90% above the low, confirming a powerful 52-week recovery. Five-day momentum is positive at 3.92%, while 20-day momentum remains negative at 0.88%. The technical data places the stock 1.61% above its $390.21 20-day moving average. Near-term support is $372.00, while $409.80 is the resistance level buyers need to clear.


Recent News and Developments

Cantor upgrades Humana and lifts target to $460

Cantor Fitzgerald upgraded HUM from Neutral to Overweight and raised its price target from $300 to $460, citing stronger confidence in Medicare Advantage margins and Star Ratings recovery. The firm raised its 2027 EPS estimate from $15.86 to $17.96 and its 2028 estimate from $25.38 to $28.27. Source: Investing.com

HUM gives back part of its early-week rally

Humana gained 4.05% on October 5 and closed at $404.07, then finished October 7 at $396.51 after falling 1.92%. Shares were down another 2.04% at $388.43 as of 10:04 a.m. EDT on October 8. Source: Stock Analysis

Humana launches its 2027 Medicare Advantage lineup

Humana will offer 2027 Medicare Advantage plans in approximately 2,600 counties across 45 states and Washington, D.C., covering more than 80% of U.S. counties. The lineup adds $0 in-network routine lab services and expands Chronic Condition Special Needs Plans into Pennsylvania, Utah and Wisconsin. Source: Humana



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
Revenue is $145.68 billion and growing 26.2%, giving Humana meaningful operating momentum. The company has $23.87 billion in cash against $14.74 billion in debt, a favorable balance that provides financial flexibility. Cantor Fitzgerald upgraded HUM to Overweight and raised its target from $300 to $460 as confidence improved around Medicare Advantage margins and Star Ratings recovery. Cantor also increased its 2027 EPS estimate from $15.86 to $17.96 and its 2028 estimate from $25.38 to $28.27. Humana’s 2027 Medicare Advantage lineup will reach approximately 2,600 counties across 45 states and Washington, D.C., covering more than 80% of U.S. counties. The analyst consensus is buy across 23 analysts, with an average target of $423.74. The bull case is straightforward: strong revenue growth, improving margin expectations and broad Medicare Advantage distribution can support another move toward the highs.
Bear Case
HUM is already 88% of the way through its 52-week range, so much of the recovery is reflected in the price. Its P/E ratio of 38.34 demands strong earnings execution and leaves limited room for disappointment. The average analyst target of $423.74 is only $18.09 above the $405.65 share price. Analyst targets range from $280 to $515, showing substantial disagreement about Humana’s outlook. Leerink found that Humana reduced or eliminated Medicare Part B givebacks for 62% of members in its 2027 lineup, which could protect margins but weaken the value offered to customers. The stock also gave back part of its early-October rally, falling from a $404.07 close on October 5 to $396.51 on October 7 and then trading at $388.43 at 10:04 a.m. EDT on October 8. At this valuation, Humana needs its margin strategy and Star Ratings recovery to deliver.
What to Watch
The first test is whether HUM can break above its $409.80 30-day resistance and hold the move. A push toward the $428.88 52-week high would confirm that buyers remain in control, while a drop below the $390.21 moving average would weaken the near-term setup. The more important downside threshold is $372.00, the 30-day low and stated near-term support. Investors should track whether the 2027 Medicare Advantage rollout across approximately 2,600 counties translates into stronger economics without damaging customer appeal. The impact of reduced or eliminated Part B givebacks for 62% of members deserves close attention because margin protection can come at the cost of competitiveness. Evidence supporting Cantor’s revised EPS estimates of $17.96 for 2027 and $28.27 for 2028 would strengthen the bull case. Failure to support those estimates would make a 38.34 P/E difficult to defend.
Analyst Consensus
BUY

Based on 23 analyst opinions
Low Target
$280.00
Mean Target
$423.74
High Target
$515.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Healthcare Plans
Employees
67,060
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Nov 06, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$10.58
Dividend Yield
88.0%
Payout Ratio
33.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HUM a good stock to buy?
The consensus recommendation is buy based on 23 analysts, and revenue growth is 26.2%. The clear takeaway is that analysts are positive, but the 38.34 P/E means investors are paying for continued growth.
What is HUM’s price target?
The average analyst target is $423.74, with estimates ranging from $280.00 to $515.00. The clear takeaway is that the consensus target sits above the current $405.65 price, but analyst expectations vary widely.
What is HUM’s 52-week high and low?
The technical price series shows a 52-week high of $428.88 and a low of $161.90. The clear takeaway is that HUM is 88% of the way from the low to the high.
What are HUM’s support and resistance levels?
Near-term support is the 30-day low of $372.00, while resistance is the 30-day high of $409.80. The clear takeaway is that $409.80 is the immediate breakout level and $372.00 is the key downside threshold.
How strong is Humana’s balance sheet?
Humana has $23.87 billion in total cash and $14.74 billion in total debt. The clear takeaway is that reported cash exceeds reported debt by $9.13 billion.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated October 08, 2026.