ALTSTATION.IO

NVR, Inc. (NVR) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated October 22, 2026

Price
$6080.39
Change
+3.06%
Market Cap
$16.20B
Avg Volume
38.8K

Company Overview

NVR, Inc. builds and sells single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominiums across the eastern United States. Headquartered in Reston, Virginia, the company operates in the consumer cyclical sector under residential construction. It targets entry-level buyers through its Ryan Homes brand, while selling to move-up and luxury customers under NVHomes and Heartland Homes. Beyond building houses, NVR captures extra profit by providing direct mortgage banking, title insurance brokerage, and title search services to its homebuyers.

NVR holds a top-tier market position driven by the smartest capital structure in homebuilding. Unlike peers such as D.R. Horton and Lennar that sink billions into speculative raw land, NVR operates a strict lot-option strategy by acquiring finished lots just-in-time with small deposits. This land-light model protects the balance sheet during housing downturns and drives industry-leading returns on invested capital. The trade-off is third-party developer dependency, leaving NVR vulnerable if finished land supply tightens in key regional markets.

The company continues to demonstrate solid execution, growing unit volumes despite a volatile interest rate environment. In 2024, revenue climbed to $10.52 billion from $9.52 billion in 2023, while total home settlements increased 11% to 22,836 units. Its mortgage banking segment supported this sales pipeline by closing roughly 17,300 loans representing $6.3 billion in total principal value. Rather than chasing speculative expansion, NVR continues to run a clean playbook focused on high margins and aggressive share repurchases.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$16.20B
Revenue
$9.63B
EBITDA
$1.54B
Gross Margin
21.8%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Revenue Growth
-10.9%
Total Cash
$1.09B
Total Debt
$1.09B
Free Cash Flow
$918.31M


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
15.80
Forward P/E
15.48
Beta
0.90
52-Week High
$8200.00
52-Week Low
$5501.01
EPS
$384.93
50-Day Avg
$6172.39
200-Day Avg
$6593.44
Price/Book
4.80
NVR 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
NVR trades at $6080.39, just 15% of the way from its 52-week low of $5501.01 to its $8200.00 high. The stock is 28.05% below that high but only 7.25% above the low, keeping the broader technical picture weak. Five-day momentum is positive at 2.91%, while 20-day momentum remains negative at -5.47%. The 20-day moving average is $6000.37, with the supplied technical data placing the stock -1.67% versus that average. Near-term support is $5733.12, while $6338.92 is the resistance level buyers need to clear.


Recent News and Developments

No notable company-specific news this week

The past week produced no verified NVR earnings release, analyst rating change, product launch, or regulatory development. The stock moved during the week, but no credible source tied those moves to company-specific news.

Latest Developments

Check back for the latest news and updates.

Latest Developments

Check back for the latest news and updates.



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
NVR generates $9.63 billion in revenue and carries a $16.20 billion market capitalization. The stock trades at 15.80 times earnings, which gives buyers a defined valuation rather than a growth-at-any-price setup. Cash and total debt are both $1.09 billion, so the balance-sheet figures provided do not show debt overwhelming cash. The $6395.33 analyst target sits above the current price of $6080.39. The high end of the target range is $7400.00, leaving room for upside if operating performance improves. Short-term momentum has also turned positive at 2.91% over five trading days. The buy case is straightforward: valuation is moderate, analyst expectations exceed the current price, and the stock is trading close to the bottom of its annual range.
Bear Case
Revenue growth is negative at -10.9%, which is the clearest fundamental problem in the data. The stock remains down 28.05% from its 52-week high, confirming that investors have already reduced what they are willing to pay. Twenty-day momentum is -5.47%, so the five-day rebound has not repaired the broader short-term trend. The analyst consensus is hold, based on six analysts, which signals limited conviction. The low analyst target of $5058.00 is below both the current price and the 52-week low of $5501.01. Total debt of $1.09 billion also matches total cash of $1.09 billion, leaving no cash surplus in the figures provided. If revenue keeps contracting and $5733.12 support fails, the bull case weakens quickly.
What to Watch
The first number to watch next quarter is revenue growth, currently -10.9%. A move toward positive growth would strengthen the thesis, while deeper contraction would undermine it. Price needs to hold the $5733.12 near-term support level and avoid revisiting the $5501.01 52-week low. On the upside, a break above $6338.92 would clear near-term resistance and put the stock above the $6395.33 analyst target area shortly afterward. Investors should also watch whether 20-day momentum improves from -5.47% and begins confirming the positive 2.91% five-day move. No verified company-specific earnings release, analyst change, product launch, or regulatory development was reported this week, and no upcoming dated catalyst was provided. Until new company data arrives, revenue growth and the $5733.12-to-$6338.92 trading range are the clearest thesis markers.
Analyst Consensus
HOLD

Based on 6 analyst opinions
Low Target
$5058.00
Mean Target
$6395.33
High Target
$7400.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Residential Construction
Employees
6,300
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Oct 22, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$384.93
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NVR a good stock to buy?
NVR trades at $6080.39 with a P/E of 15.80, but revenue growth is -10.9% and the consensus recommendation from six analysts is hold. The takeaway is that the current data supports patience more than an aggressive buy.
What is NVR’s analyst price target?
The average analyst target is $6395.33, with estimates ranging from $5058.00 to $7400.00. The takeaway is that analyst expectations span meaningful downside and upside from the current $6080.39 price.
How far is NVR below its 52-week high?
NVR is 28.05% below its $8200.00 52-week high. The takeaway is that the stock remains well below its annual peak.
What are NVR’s support and resistance levels?
Near-term support is $5733.12, based on the 30-day low, and near-term resistance is $6338.92, based on the 30-day high. The takeaway is that these are the key levels defining the current trading range.
Is NVR’s momentum improving?
Five-day momentum is positive at 2.91%, but 20-day momentum is negative at -5.47%. The takeaway is that the recent bounce has not yet reversed the broader short-term weakness.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated October 22, 2026.