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Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated February 07, 2026

Price

$30.61

Change

+0.99%

Market Cap

$23.31B

Avg Volume

9.5M

Company Overview

Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) is an independent oil and gas company based in Houston, Texas. They focus on exploring, developing, and producing oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids across strategic regions in the U.S., including the Permian Basin, Marcellus Shale, and Anadarko Basin. Their products primarily cater to a diverse range of customers, including industrial users, local distribution companies, energy marketers, and power generation facilities.

Coterra is a significant player in the energy sector, particularly in the oil and gas exploration and production space. While not the largest company in the industry, they hold a competitive position due to their substantial land holdings—over 550,000 net acres across key basins. They face stiff competition from larger firms like ExxonMobil and Chevron, as well as other independents like Devon Energy. Price volatility, regulatory pressures, and shifts towards renewable energy sources pose ongoing threats, but their strong operational efficiency keeps them relatively resilient.

Currently, Coterra is in a growth phase, capitalizing on recent high commodity prices. They have been focusing on increasing production while maintaining capital discipline, indicating a strategic pivot toward more sustainable operations. Recent milestones include successful drilling results in the Permian Basin and the expansion of their gathering and disposal systems, which enhance operational efficiency and profitability. This momentum suggests they are positioning themselves for continued expansion in the current market environment.

Key Financials

Market Cap

$23.31B

Revenue

$6.67B

EBITDA

$4.41B

Gross Margin

74.8%

Profit Margin

24.7%

Revenue Growth

34.9%

Total Cash

$98.00M

Total Debt

$4.12B

Free Cash Flow

$950.88M

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics

P/E Ratio

14.17

Forward P/E

13.93

Beta

0.36

52-Week High

$30.94

52-Week Low

$22.33

EPS

$2.16

50-Day Avg

$26.58

200-Day Avg

$25.05

Price/Book

1.59

Technical Analysis

Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) has exhibited a bullish overall trend over the past 52 weeks, reflecting a steady rise from approximately $24 to the current price of $30.61, representing an 11.5% increase. Key support is evident around $28, a level that the stock has tested multiple times without breaking down, while significant resistance is noted just below $31, where prices have struggled to hold above the peaks in January and February. The chart reveals a notable ascending triangle pattern forming, suggesting a buildup of bullish momentum. Recently, the stock has shown strong upward momentum, particularly in the last few weeks, indicating positive investor sentiment and potential for continued gains. With the current price sitting near the upper end of the 52-week range, it suggests that the stock is approaching a critical breakout point, which, if confirmed, could lead to further price appreciation beyond the resistance zone at $31.

Recent News and Developments

Here’s a summary of the latest news and developments for Coterra Energy Inc

(CTRA) stock in the past week (January 31, 2026, to February 7, 2026):

1. Analyst Price Target Update: Susquehanna Raises CTRA Target to $34.00

On February 3, 2026, Susquehanna analyst Biju Perincheril reaffirmed a positive rating for Coterra Energy and increased the firm’s price target from $32.00 to $34.00. This 6.25% increase reflects continued confidence in Coterra Energy’s market performance, with the average target implying a potential upside of 15.29% from the stock’s price around that date.

2. Consensus Analyst Rating Remains “Moderate Buy” with Updated Price Target

As of February 1, 2026, Coterra Energy maintained a consensus recommendation of “Moderate Buy” from 23 firms, with 16 analysts rating it a “buy,” 6 a “hold,” and 1 a “sell”. The average 12-month target price among analysts is $32.81. Separately, Wolfe Research also raised its price target on Coterra Energy to $33.00 (from $32.00) on January 26, 2026, maintaining an “outperform” rating, indicating approximately a 20.3% upside.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case

Coterra is trading at 14.17x earnings while growing revenue 34.9% year-over-year, which is cheap relative to the growth rate. The analyst consensus is decisively bullish–23 firms rating it buy or hold, with Susquehanna and Wolfe both raising targets recently to $34 and $33 respectively, implying 10-11% upside from current levels. The stock has built an ascending triangle pattern and is testing resistance at $31, which, if broken, could accelerate gains toward the $33-34 target zone. Management has a fortress balance sheet with $98M in cash against $4.12B debt, giving flexibility to navigate commodity cycles. The February 26 earnings call is the immediate catalyst, and if the company delivers on the projected $1.88B revenue guidance (up 34.76% YoY), that validates the growth narrative and likely triggers the breakout.

Bear Case

Energy stocks are cyclical and vulnerable to oil price drops, which would compress margins and justify the 1 sell rating on the street. The debt load of $4.12B against a market cap of $23.31B means leverage is real, and a commodity downturn could stress the balance sheet faster than the cash position suggests. Earnings per share is expected to decline 6.12% in Q4 2025 despite revenue growth, signaling margin compression or one-time charges that warrant scrutiny. The stock is already up 19.28% in the last month and is trading near the top of its 52-week range at $30.61, leaving limited room for error before sentiment turns. If the February 26 earnings miss or guidance disappoints, the stock could snap back to the $28 support level quickly, erasing recent gains.

What to Watch

The February 26 earnings report is critical–watch for actual EPS relative to the $0.46 consensus and any management commentary on 2026 production volumes and capital allocation. Monitor oil prices closely; WTI crude above $75 supports the bull case, while a dip below $70 would test conviction. The stock needs to close and hold above $31 to confirm the ascending triangle breakout; failure to do so suggests the rally is exhausted. Track insider buying or selling activity in the coming weeks–the January 30 share withholding by the CTO is routine tax stuff, but significant insider purchases would validate management confidence. Finally, watch the analyst target range ($26-$40) for any downgrades; if more than one major firm cuts targets post-earnings, it signals deteriorating fundamentals beneath the surface.

Analyst Consensus

BUY

Based on 23 analyst opinions

Low Target

$26.00

Mean Target

$32.89

High Target

$40.00

Earnings and Financial Data

Sector

Energy

Industry

Oil & Gas E&P

Employees

915

Earnings & Dividends

Next Earnings

Feb 26, 2026

EPS (Trailing)

$2.16

Dividend Yield

290.0%

Payout Ratio

40.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CTRA a good stock to buy?

Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) has favorable metrics, including a P/E ratio of 14.17 and a forward P/E of 13.93. Analysts recommend a “BUY” with a price target of $32.89, indicating potential upside.

What is CTRA’s price target?

The current analyst consensus for CTRA’s price target is $32.89. This target suggests about a 7.4% increase from the current price of $30.61, making it an attractive buy within its sector.

Does CTRA pay a dividend?

Yes, Coterra Energy offers a notably high dividend yield of 290.0%. This makes it an appealing option for income-focused investors looking for strong returns from dividends.

What is CTRA’s market capitalization?

Coterra Energy has a market capitalization of $23.31 billion. This positions the company well within the energy sector, reflecting its considerable presence and growth potential.

How has CTRA’s stock performed over the last year?

CTRA’s stock has traded in a 52-week range of $22.33 to $30.94, indicating solid price volatility. The current price is close to its yearly high, suggesting strong market confidence in the company’s future.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated February 07, 2026.