ALTSTATION.IO

Fastenal Company (FAST) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated October 18, 2026

Price
$50.61
Change
+0.45%
Market Cap
$58.07B
Avg Volume
7.5M

Company Overview

Fastenal Company operates in the Industrials sector as a heavyweight in Industrial Distribution, headquartered in Winona, Minnesota. Founded in 1967, the company sells wholesale fasteners—including bolts, nuts, screws, and studs—alongside hardware like anchors, wire ropes, and maintenance supplies. Their customer base covers original equipment manufacturers, non-residential construction contractors, government agencies, and industrial maintenance operations across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and international markets. They solve the headache of supply shortages by keeping critical parts stocked where factories and builders actually use them.

Fastenal is a dominant market leader in a fragmented distribution industry, battling major players like W.W. Grainger and MSC Industrial Supply. Their competitive moat is not just shipping parts from warehouses; it is physical integration inside customer facilities through Fastenal Managed Inventory systems and FASTVend machines. That direct floor access creates immense switching costs because clients rely on their automated replenishment to prevent factory downtime. The primary threat to this position is broad industrial cyclicality, where slowdowns in heavy manufacturing or construction immediately hit order volumes.

The business is steadily expanding, generating approximately $8.74 billion in trailing twelve-month revenue and posting second-quarter 2026 revenue of $2.39 billion, a 14.7% year-over-year increase. Fastenal is aggressively executing a strategic shift away from standalone public storefronts toward dedicated Onsite locations and digital FASTBin tracking. This strategy deepens their capture of large corporate accounts, trading transactional foot traffic for sticky, recurring enterprise contracts. By embedding their staff and tech directly inside client plants, Fastenal continues to take market share even in choppy macroeconomic environments.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$58.07B
Revenue
$9.08B
EBITDA
$2.04B
Gross Margin
44.6%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Revenue Growth
15.5%
Total Cash
$211.90M
Total Debt
$451.70M
Free Cash Flow
$916.44M


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
41.14
Forward P/E
35.90
Beta
0.69
52-Week High
$52.92
52-Week Low
$38.97
EPS
$1.23
50-Day Avg
$50.39
200-Day Avg
$46.63
Price/Book
13.99
FAST 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
FAST trades at $50.61, 87% of the way from its $38.34 52-week low to its $52.92 high. The stock is 3.59% below that high and 33.07% above the low. It sits 0.86% above its $50.59 20-day moving average, while momentum is positive at 0.53% over five trading days and 4.10% over 20 trading days. Near-term support is $48.79, the 30-day low. Near-term resistance is $52.00, the 30-day high.


Recent News and Developments

Fastenal beats Q3 estimates as sales jump 15.5%

Third-quarter sales reached $2.463 billion, while diluted EPS rose 19.8% to $0.35. Operating margin improved 90 basis points to 21.5%, and operating cash flow totaled $422 million. Source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

Analysts raise FAST targets but remain divided

Baird maintained its Outperform rating and raised its price target from $59 to $60. Bernstein kept its Underperform rating but increased its target from $42 to $47, leaving a sharp split on valuation despite the earnings beat. Source: Benzinga

FAST swings sharply after earnings

FAST traded between $47.30 and $52.43 on October 14 before closing 1.11% higher at $52.00. The stock then dropped 3.12% to $50.38 on October 15 and recovered 1.27% to $51.02 on October 16. Source: StockAnalysis



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
Revenue growth of 15.5% is the clearest reason to own FAST. Third-quarter sales reached $2.463 billion, diluted EPS increased 19.8% to $0.35, and operating margin improved 90 basis points to 21.5%. Operating cash flow of $422 million adds substance to the earnings beat. The balance sheet carries $211.90 million in cash against $451.70 million in debt. Price momentum is positive, with FAST gaining 4.10% over the last 20 trading days. Baird’s $60 target implies meaningful upside from $50.61, and the broader analyst range reaches the same level. The buy case is straightforward: strong growth, expanding margins, rising earnings, and solid cash generation.
Bear Case
FAST trades at 41.14 times earnings, a demanding valuation even with revenue growing 15.5%. The $50.68 consensus analyst target is only $0.07 above the current $50.61 price. Analysts rate the stock a hold based on 13 opinions, so the group does not see a compelling risk-reward balance here. Bernstein’s $47 target sits below the current price, while the full analyst range falls as low as $39.90. FAST is already 87% of the way through its 52-week range and only 3.59% below its high. The sharp post-earnings moves also show valuation sensitivity: FAST closed at $52.00 on October 14, dropped 3.12% to $50.38 on October 15, and recovered 1.27% to $51.02 on October 16. The bear case is valuation, not weak operations: strong results may already be reflected in the price.
What to Watch
The next quarter needs to show whether the 15.5% revenue growth rate can hold. Investors should also track whether diluted EPS continues growing near the reported 19.8% rate. Operating margin is another key test after improving 90 basis points to 21.5%. Operating cash flow should be measured against the latest $422 million result. On the chart, a move above $52.00 would clear near-term resistance and put the $52.92 52-week high back in focus. A break below $48.79 would violate near-term support and weaken the positive 4.10% 20-day momentum. No future earnings date or other scheduled catalyst was provided, so those operating and price thresholds are the clearest markers for the next quarter.
Analyst Consensus
HOLD

Based on 13 analyst opinions
Low Target
$39.90
Mean Target
$50.68
High Target
$60.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Industrials
Industry
Industrial Distribution
Employees
21,749
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Oct 14, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$1.23
Dividend Yield
206.0%
Payout Ratio
78.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is FAST a good stock to buy?
FAST has 15.5% revenue growth, but it trades at a P/E of 41.14 and carries a hold recommendation from 13 analysts. The takeaway is that the business is growing, but the current valuation leaves little room for disappointment.
What is FAST’s price target?
The analyst target is $50.68, with estimates ranging from $39.90 to $60.00. The takeaway is that the consensus target offers almost no upside from the current $50.61 price.
Is FAST near its 52-week high?
FAST is priced at $50.61, 3.59% below its $52.92 52-week high and 87% of the way from its $38.34 low to that high. The takeaway is that FAST is trading near the upper end of its annual range.
What are FAST’s support and resistance levels?
Near-term support is $48.79, based on the 30-day low, while near-term resistance is $52.00, based on the 30-day high. The takeaway is that these are the key price levels to watch.
Does FAST have positive momentum?
FAST gained 0.53% over the last five trading days and 4.10% over the last 20 trading days. The price is also 0.86% above its $50.59 20-day moving average, so the takeaway is that near-term momentum is positive.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated October 18, 2026.