ALTSTATION.IO

Moody’s Corporation (MCO) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated October 10, 2026

Price
$462.69
Change
+0.87%
Market Cap
$80.13B
Avg Volume
792.7K

Company Overview

Moody’s Corporation is a New York-based financial services firm operating in the financial data and stock exchanges industry. The business generates revenue through 2 core operating units: Moody’s Investors Service (MIS), which issues credit ratings on debt obligations, and Moody’s Analytics (MA), which sells data and risk management software. Their product catalog spans credit research, economic models, structured finance tools, and cloud-based SaaS platforms like Maxsight. Commercial banks, insurers, asset managers, corporations, and public sector institutions across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific purchase these solutions to evaluate creditworthiness and run compliance operations.

Moody’s is an entrenched market leader with an operating track record dating back to its founding in 1900. Its MIS rating segment serves as a high-margin gatekeeper for global debt issuance, evaluating corporate bonds, financial institution debt, and government facilities. The primary risk to that legacy franchise is debt market cyclicality, as rating demand drops when interest rates climb or borrowing activity stalls. Moody’s defends its competitive edge by expanding its MA analytics division, securing recurring subscription revenues through proprietary datasets and KYC workflow tools that competitors cannot easily duplicate.

The company is executing a clear strategic pivot toward scalable, cloud-based software and data subscriptions to offset transactional rating volatility. Having transformed substantially since changing its name from Dun and Bradstreet Company in September 2000, Moody’s is channeling resources into SaaS platforms, balance sheet management tools, and automated lending suites. Right now, management is focused on expanding unified risk platforms like Maxsight directly into insurance underwriting and banking operations across both of its 2 operating segments. Building out sticky, recurring software revenue makes the broader business significantly less dependent on debt issuance cycles.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$80.13B
Revenue
$8.16B
EBITDA
$4.05B
Gross Margin
75.0%
Profit Margin
34.3%
Revenue Growth
15.1%
Total Cash
$1.50B
Total Debt
$7.62B
Free Cash Flow
$2.58B


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
29.36
Forward P/E
24.45
Beta
1.35
52-Week High
$546.88
52-Week Low
$402.28
EPS
$15.76
50-Day Avg
$478.65
200-Day Avg
$470.33
Price/Book
26.49
MCO 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
MCO trades at $462.69, placing it 45% of the way between its $399.61 technical 52-week low and $543.25 technical 52-week high. The stock is 14.55% below that high and 16.17% above the low. Price is 0.72% above the 20-day moving average of $460.90. Five-day momentum is positive at 5.18%, but 20-day momentum remains negative at -2.26%. Near-term support is $441.36, while resistance sits at $514.95.


Recent News and Developments

Morgan Stanley cuts Moody’s target to $470

Morgan Stanley lowered its MCO price target from $512 to $470 on October 7 while keeping an Equal Weight rating. The firm cited weak third-quarter issuance and said it prefers S&P Global because of stronger valuation support. Source: TipRanks

Bank of America holds its bullish MCO call

Bank of America maintained its Buy rating and $580 price target on October 7. The call directly conflicts with Morgan Stanley’s more cautious $470 target. Source: Stock Analysis

UBS keeps Moody’s at Hold

UBS maintained its Hold rating and $505 price target on October 6. This was not an upgrade or downgrade, but it reinforces the split between bullish analysts and firms that see limited upside. Source: Gekko



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
Revenue is $8.16 billion and growing 15.1%, which is the strongest reason to own MCO here. The analyst consensus is buy across 21 analysts. Their average target is $560.38, well above the current $462.69 price. The target range reaches as high as $610.00, while Bank of America maintained a Buy rating and $580 target on October 7. Short-term price action has also improved, with 5.18% momentum over the last five trading days. The bull case is straightforward: continued double-digit revenue growth could push the stock toward the analyst consensus and above its $514.95 near-term resistance.
Bear Case
MCO is not cheap at 29.36 times earnings. Total debt of $7.62 billion is more than five times the company’s $1.50 billion in cash. Morgan Stanley cut its target from $512 to $470 on October 7, citing weak third-quarter issuance and preferring S&P Global for its stronger valuation support. UBS maintained a Hold rating and $505 target on October 6, confirming that major firms remain divided. The stock is still 14.55% below its technical 52-week high, and 20-day momentum is negative at -2.26%. A break below $441.36 would weaken the setup and shift attention toward the $399.61 technical 52-week low.
What to Watch
Third-quarter issuance is the key operating concern because Morgan Stanley specifically identified it as weak on October 7. Investors should watch whether revenue growth holds near 15.1%; a clear slowdown would make the 29.36 P/E harder to defend. The first technical threshold is the 20-day moving average at $460.90. Holding above it would support the recent 5.18% five-day rebound, while losing $441.36 would signal renewed weakness. On the upside, $514.95 is the near-term resistance level that must be cleared before the stock can challenge its $543.25 technical 52-week high. Analyst revisions also matter because current published targets span from $470.00 to $610.00, including Morgan Stanley at $470, UBS at $505, and Bank of America at $580. No upcoming earnings date was provided, so investors should not assume a specific dated catalyst.
Analyst Consensus
BUY

Based on 21 analyst opinions
Low Target
$470.00
Mean Target
$560.38
High Target
$610.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Employees
16,000
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Oct 21, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$15.76
Dividend Yield
90.0%
Payout Ratio
25.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MCO a good stock to buy?
The recommendation is buy based on 21 analysts, and revenue is growing 15.1%. The main drawback is a P/E of 29.36, so the takeaway is that MCO offers growth but already carries a demanding valuation.
What is MCO’s price target?
The average analyst target is $560.38, with estimates ranging from $470.00 to $610.00. The takeaway is that the consensus target sits above the current $462.69 price.
What are MCO’s support and resistance levels?
Near-term support is $441.36, and near-term resistance is $514.95. The takeaway is that these are the key price levels to track.
How far is MCO from its 52-week high?
MCO is 14.55% below its technical 52-week high of $543.25. The takeaway is that the stock remains meaningfully below its peak despite positive five-day momentum.
Does MCO pay a dividend?
The provided data does not include a dividend amount or yield. The takeaway is that no dividend conclusion can be made from the available figures.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated October 10, 2026.