ALTSTATION.IO

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated September 09, 2026

Price
$120.62
Change
-1.53%
Market Cap
$63.49B
Avg Volume
3.2M

Company Overview

PACCAR Inc is an industrial manufacturer headquartered in Bellevue, Washington, operating in the heavy machinery sector. The company builds and sells light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks under three primary nameplates: Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF. It sells these trucks, along with diesel engines and aftermarket parts, to commercial trucking fleets, independent owner-operators, and cargo haulers across North America, Europe, Australia, and South America. PACCAR also runs a financing arm under the PacLease trade name, funding dealer inventory and providing retail loans and leases directly to truck buyers. It rounds out its operations by manufacturing industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic brands.

PACCAR is a dominant market leader in commercial transport, backed by an operational history dating back to its founding in 1905. Its main competitive edge comes from the strong brand equity of Kenworth and Peterbilt, reinforced by a dedicated parts distribution network that captures steady aftermarket cash flow. The company also uses its captive Financial Services segment to lock in customer relationships through full-service leasing and fleet financing. The primary threat to the business is its direct exposure to freight cycles, as downturns in commercial shipping quickly reduce customer appetite for new truck purchases.

Today, PACCAR operates as a mature, disciplined capital allocator structured across three core segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. Rather than pivoting into unproven markets, the company focuses on scaling its core diesel truck platforms and expanding its high-margin replacement parts distribution. Its global footprint spans the United States, Canada, Mexico, Europe, and South America through an extensive network of independent dealerships and PacLease facilities. For traders, the thesis is straightforward: PACCAR offers direct exposure to global freight volume with a reliable cushion from recurring parts and leasing income.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$63.49B
Revenue
$27.82B
EBITDA
$3.27B
Gross Margin
13.7%
Profit Margin
9.0%
Revenue Growth
0.5%
Total Cash
$8.67B
Total Debt
$14.82B
Free Cash Flow
$1.94B


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
25.39
Forward P/E
16.78
Beta
0.97
52-Week High
$139.24
52-Week Low
$92.25
EPS
$4.75
50-Day Avg
$127.84
200-Day Avg
$119.96
Price/Book
3.12
PCAR 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
PCAR trades at $120.62, 66% of the way from its $90.03 52-week low to its $138.87 high. The stock is 11.79% below that high and 36.07% above the low. Price sits below the $127.59 20-day moving average, with the supplied technical data showing a 3.99% gap. Momentum is negative, down 1.31% over five trading days and 6.41% over 20 trading days. PCAR is already below the listed near-term support at $122.13, while resistance stands at $137.85.


Recent News and Developments

PCAR drops 1.76% and snaps two-day rally

PACCAR fell 1.76% to $122.50 on September 8, snapping a two-day winning streak. The stock closed 12.02% below its $139.24 52-week high. Source: MarketWatch via Tiger Brokers

Q2 revenue stalls as shares lag earnings

PACCAR reported Q2 revenue of $7.55 billion, flat year over year and in line with analyst expectations, while earnings per share beat estimates. The stock was down 6.7% since the report and traded at $124.50 when the review was published. Source: StockStory via Yahoo Finance

PACCAR recalls 58 Peterbilt trucks over brake delay

PACCAR is recalling 58 model-year 2027 Peterbilt 548 trucks because incorrectly sized front brake valves and hoses may delay brake response. The trucks fail to comply with federal air-brake requirements, and dealers will replace the affected components free of charge. Source: The BRAKE Report



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
PACCAR generates $27.82 billion in revenue and carries a $63.49 billion market capitalization. Q2 revenue reached $7.55 billion, held flat year over year, and matched analyst expectations. Earnings per share beat estimates, showing that profit execution was stronger than the stagnant top line suggests. Fifteen analysts rate PCAR a buy, with an average target of $143.47 and a target range of $125.00 to $164.00. Bernstein reiterated its Buy rating and $148 target on September 3. The buy case is straightforward: earnings execution remains solid, analyst targets sit above the $120.62 share price, and the company holds $8.67 billion in cash.
Bear Case
Revenue growth is only 0.5%, which is weak for a stock trading at 25.39 times earnings. Q2 revenue was flat year over year at $7.55 billion, confirming that the top line has stalled. PCAR has $14.82 billion in total debt against $8.67 billion in cash, limiting the strength of its balance-sheet cushion. The stock is below its $127.59 20-day moving average and has lost 6.41% over the past 20 trading days. Morgan Stanley stayed Equal-Weight on September 4 and set a $125 target, only modestly above the current $120.62 price. The recall of 58 model-year 2027 Peterbilt 548 trucks is small in scope, but brake-response and federal-compliance problems still create execution risk.
What to Watch
The next quarterly report needs to show improvement from Q2 revenue of $7.55 billion and the current 0.5% revenue-growth rate. Another flat revenue result would make the 25.39 P/E harder to defend, even if earnings per share beats expectations again. Technically, the first test is whether PCAR can reclaim the listed $122.13 near-term support. A move above the $127.59 20-day moving average would improve the short-term setup, while $137.85 remains the stated near-term resistance. Investors should also track whether analysts move closer to Morgan Stanley’s $125 target from September 4 or Bernstein’s $148 target from September 3. Failure to reverse the five-day decline of 1.31% and the 20-day decline of 6.41% would keep momentum firmly bearish.
Analyst Consensus
BUY

Based on 15 analyst opinions
Low Target
$125.00
Mean Target
$143.47
High Target
$164.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Industrials
Industry
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Employees
25,900
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Oct 27, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$4.75
Dividend Yield
114.0%
Payout Ratio
28.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PCAR a good stock to buy?
PCAR has a buy recommendation from 15 analysts and trades at $120.62 versus an average analyst target of $143.47. The takeaway is that analysts see upside, but the stock’s negative short-term momentum raises the timing risk.
What is PCAR’s price target?
The average analyst target is $143.47, with estimates ranging from $125.00 to $164.00. The takeaway is that every listed target is above the current $120.62 price.
Is PCAR overvalued?
PCAR trades at a P/E ratio of 25.39 while revenue growth is 0.5%. The takeaway is that the valuation looks demanding relative to the reported growth rate.
What are PCAR’s support and resistance levels?
The stated near-term support is $122.13, and near-term resistance is $137.85. With PCAR at $120.62, the takeaway is that price is already below the listed support level.
Does PCAR pay a dividend?
The provided data does not include PCAR’s dividend, yield, or payment history. The takeaway is that no dividend conclusion can be made from this dataset.

Related Stock Reports

Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated September 09, 2026.