ALTSTATION.IO

Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated November 04, 2026

Price
$59.44
Change
+4.35%
Market Cap
$20.91B
Avg Volume
3.3M

Company Overview

Tyson Foods is a global protein producer operating in the Consumer Defensive sector under Farm Products. Founded in 1935 and headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas, the company divides its operations into 4 core segments: Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods. It processes live cattle and hogs, raises chickens, and manufactures packaged meats under 9 major retail brands, including Tyson, Jimmy Dean, Hillshire Farm, and Ball Park. Its buyer network spans grocery retailers, warehouse clubs, chain restaurants, industrial food processors, and military commissaries worldwide.

Tyson holds a dominant scale advantage as an established market leader across the multi-protein space. Its primary competitive edge is extensive vertical reach, controlling everything from poultry breeding stock to value-added cooked items and case-ready cuts. The main risk to the model is direct exposure to live livestock procurement cycles across cattle, hogs, and poultry. Owning recognized consumer labels like Wright, Aidells, and State Fair gives the company significant shelf-space leverage over pure commodity meat packers.

The company focuses its operational profile on balancing high-volume primal carcass fabrication with higher-margin prepared foods. Its product portfolio spans raw meat cuts, bacon, frozen appetizers, tortillas, and ready-to-eat sandwiches for domestic and export markets. Tyson relies on its 4 distinct operating segments to smooth out volatility in any single animal protein category. Broad distribution across institutional cafeterias, convenience stores, and wholesale grocers provides consistent baseline volume for its production facilities.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$20.91B
Revenue
$55.69B
EBITDA
$2.77B
Gross Margin
6.6%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Revenue Growth
-0.1%
Total Cash
$740.00M
Total Debt
$8.01B
Free Cash Flow
$1.19B


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
36.69
Forward P/E
15.41
Beta
0.37
52-Week High
$69.48
52-Week Low
$49.96
EPS
$1.62
50-Day Avg
$53.67
200-Day Avg
$59.60
Price/Book
1.16
TSN 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
TSN trades at $59.44, 42% of the way from its $48.93 52-week low to its $68.26 high. The stock is 16.56% below that high and 16.41% above the low. Momentum is positive, with gains of 2.17% over five trading days and 9.60% over 20 trading days. The technical data puts the price 3.39% above its $55.09 20-day moving average. Near-term support is $50.47, while the listed 30-day resistance level is $57.08, which the current price has already cleared.


Recent News and Developments

Tyson launches limited-time Holiday Nuggets

Tyson Foods launched holiday-shaped chicken nuggets nationwide on November 2. The product uses 100% white-meat chicken, provides 12 grams of protein per serving and will remain available through year-end. Source: Tyson Foods

Analysts expect a sharp fourth-quarter EPS drop

Analysts expect Tyson to report fourth-quarter diluted EPS of $0.65 on November 16, down 43.5% from $1.15 a year earlier. The consensus rating is Moderate Buy, with an average price target of $60.90. Source: Barchart via inkl

Cash flow supports Tyson’s dividend despite beef losses

Tyson generated $1.177 billion in fiscal 2025 free cash flow against $697 million in dividend payments, while net income totaled $507 million. Fiscal 2026 free-cash-flow guidance stands at $1.3 billion to $1.7 billion, but the beef segment is expected to lose $500 million to $650 million. Source: 24/7 Wall St. via Yahoo Finance



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
Positive momentum is the clearest reason to consider TSN at $59.44. The stock gained 9.60% over the last 20 trading days and now trades above its $55.09 moving average. The $63.00 analyst target is above the current price, while the high end of the target range reaches $75.00. Tyson generated $1.177 billion in fiscal 2025 free cash flow against $697 million in dividend payments, giving the payout cash-flow support. Fiscal 2026 free-cash-flow guidance of $1.3 billion to $1.7 billion points to stronger cash generation if management delivers. The Holiday Nuggets launch adds a limited-time product catalyst through year-end, with 100% white-meat chicken and 12 grams of protein per serving. TSN is a buy only for investors who believe cash flow and improving momentum can outweigh weak revenue growth and beef losses.
Bear Case
The 36.69 P/E is difficult to defend when revenue growth is negative 0.1%. Analysts expect fourth-quarter diluted EPS of $0.65 on November 16, down 43.5% from $1.15 a year earlier. Tyson’s beef segment is expected to lose between $500 million and $650 million in fiscal 2026, creating a major drag on the broader business. The balance sheet also carries $8.01 billion in debt against just $740 million in cash. TSN remains 16.56% below its technical 52-week high despite its recent rally. The $56.00 low end of the analyst target range is below the current $59.44 price, and the overall recommendation is hold across 12 analysts. The bear case is straightforward: earnings pressure, stagnant revenue and heavy debt make the valuation look stretched.
What to Watch
The next major catalyst is the November 16 fourth-quarter report. The key benchmark is diluted EPS of $0.65, compared with $1.15 a year earlier and an expected 43.5% decline. Investors should watch whether fiscal 2026 free-cash-flow guidance remains between $1.3 billion and $1.7 billion. Beef-segment losses are another critical metric, with the current expectation set at $500 million to $650 million. On the chart, holding above the $55.09 20-day moving average would keep the recent momentum intact, while a move toward $50.47 would signal material weakness. The $63.00 analyst target is the next fundamental reference point, followed by the $68.26 technical 52-week high. The thesis improves if cash flow holds and beef losses come in below the stated range; it weakens if EPS pressure deepens or the stock loses near-term support.
Analyst Consensus
HOLD

Based on 12 analyst opinions
Low Target
$56.00
Mean Target
$63.00
High Target
$75.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Farm Products
Employees
133,000
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Nov 16, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$1.62
Dividend Yield
358.0%
Payout Ratio
125.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TSN a good stock to buy?
TSN has positive momentum, including a 9.60% gain over 20 trading days, but revenue growth is negative 0.1% and the P/E is 36.69. The recommendation from 12 analysts is hold, so the takeaway is that TSN is not a clear buy at $59.44.
What is TSN’s price target?
The analyst target is $63.00, with estimates ranging from $56.00 to $75.00. The takeaway is that analysts see a wide range of possible outcomes from the current $59.44 price.
What is TSN’s 52-week range?
The key data lists a 52-week range of $49.96 to $69.48, while the technical price series shows a low of $48.93 and a high of $68.26. The takeaway is that TSN currently sits 42% of the way through the technical range.
What are TSN’s support and resistance levels?
Near-term support is the 30-day low of $50.47, and the listed near-term resistance is the 30-day high of $57.08. The current $59.44 price is already above that resistance level, so the takeaway is that $57.08 is now an important level to hold.
Is TSN overvalued?
TSN trades at a P/E of 36.69 while revenue growth is negative 0.1%. The takeaway is that the valuation looks demanding unless revenue and earnings performance improve.

Related Stock Reports

Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated November 04, 2026.