ALTSTATION.IO

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated October 03, 2026

Price
$31.32
Change
-1.28%
Market Cap
$16.32B
Avg Volume
10.1M

Company Overview

Founded in 1938 and based in Brentwood, Tennessee, Tractor Supply Company is the premier rural lifestyle retailer in the United States, operating in the specialty retail segment of the consumer cyclical sector. They sell livestock feed, pet care products, lawn and garden equipment, trailers, and workwear directly to recreational farmers, ranchers, and rural homeowners. The retail operation spans three primary store brands—Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home—alongside digital platforms TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com and private labels like 4health and Retriever.

Tractor Supply is the undisputed market leader in its niche, controlling roughly 50% of the farm and feed market. Their main edge is a heavy mix of recurring consumables, meaning customers must return regularly for animal feed and wellness supplies regardless of broader economic swings. They face direct rivalry from regional operators like Rural King and Bomgaars, as well as encroachment from home improvement giants like Lowe’s rolling out rural store concepts. Big-box competitors will have a hard time dethroning them because Tractor Supply’s smaller, high-service stores are already firmly embedded in rural communities.

The company continues to expand its physical footprint, generating $14.88 billion in net sales in fiscal 2024, a 2.2% increase from $14.56 billion in 2023. They opened 80 new Tractor Supply stores in 2024, expanding their network to more than 2,400 locations across 49 states. To cap off the year, the company executed a 5-for-1 stock split in December 2024 to boost liquidity and retail participation. Tractor Supply is not slowing down, proving that dominating rural retail essentials remains a resilient, cash-generating business.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$16.32B
Revenue
$15.75B
EBITDA
$1.93B
Gross Margin
36.5%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Revenue Growth
2.3%
Total Cash
$231.59M
Total Debt
$6.54B
Free Cash Flow
$103.17M


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
16.40
Forward P/E
15.29
Beta
0.47
52-Week High
$58.21
52-Week Low
$28.36
EPS
$1.91
50-Day Avg
$33.50
200-Day Avg
$40.02
Price/Book
6.23
TSCO 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
TSCO trades at $31.32, just 10% of the way from its $28.17 52-week low to its $56.84 high. The stock is 45.30% below that high and only 10.38% above the low, confirming a weak 52-week trend. Price sits 4.97% below the 20-day moving average of $32.72, while five-day and 20-day momentum are negative at 3.66% and 10.14%. Near-term support is $31.09, and resistance is $35.92. TSCO is sitting almost directly on support, so the next move matters.


Recent News and Developments

TSCO falls 3.7% for the week

Tractor Supply closed at $31.09 on October 2, down 3.7% from its September 25 close of $32.27. Shares declined in four of five sessions, including a 2.0% drop Friday. Source: Stock Analysis

Petsense targets 1,200 adoptions in nationwide event

Petsense by Tractor Supply scheduled its Fall Adoptathon for October 3 at participating stores nationwide. The subsidiary set a goal of 1,200 adoptions and offered adopters 30% off one purchase and 20% off one salon service. Source: Tractor Supply Company

Tractor Supply discounts selected tools by up to 70%

Tractor Supply offered October discounts of 69% to 70% on several Porter-Cable tools, according to SlashGear. The retailer also cut the price of a Bosch 18V metal circular saw by 30% to $174.99. Source: SlashGear



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
TSCO generated $15.75 billion in revenue and still posted 2.3% revenue growth. The stock trades at 16.40 times earnings, with a market capitalization of $16.32 billion. Its $35.48 analyst target sits above the current $31.32 price, while the highest target reaches $42.00. TSCO is also trading near the bottom of its technical range, only 10.38% above the $28.17 low. Petsense’s October 3 Fall Adoptathon targeted 1,200 adoptions while using purchase and salon discounts to bring customers into participating stores. The reason to buy here is straightforward: the valuation is moderate, revenue is growing, and the stock has potential upside to the analyst target if the decline stabilizes.
Bear Case
The chart is weak, with TSCO down 45.30% from its $56.84 52-week high. Twenty-day momentum is negative 10.14%, and the price remains 4.97% below its $32.72 moving average. Shares closed at $31.09 on October 2 after falling in four of five sessions and losing 3.7% from the September 25 close of $32.27. Revenue growth of 2.3% is positive but not strong enough by itself to reverse that momentum. The balance sheet also carries $6.54 billion in total debt against only $231.59 million in cash. Heavy discounts of 69% to 70% on selected Porter-Cable tools and 30% on a Bosch saw could support traffic, but the provided data does not show whether those promotions protect or pressure profitability.
What to Watch
The first level to watch is $31.09, the 30-day low and October 2 closing price. A move below that support would put the $28.17 52-week low back in focus. On the upside, TSCO needs to recover its $32.72 20-day moving average before challenging the $35.92 30-day high. Investors should track whether 20-day momentum improves from negative 10.14% and whether five-day momentum reverses from negative 3.66%. Revenue growth also needs monitoring because the current rate is only 2.3%. The October 3 Petsense Adoptathon and October tool discounts provide near-term traffic initiatives, but the supplied data includes no results from either event.
Analyst Consensus
NONE

Based on 27 analyst opinions
Low Target
$28.00
Mean Target
$35.48
High Target
$42.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Specialty Retail
Employees
54,000
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Oct 22, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$1.91
Dividend Yield
303.0%
Payout Ratio
49.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TSCO a good stock to buy?
TSCO trades at $31.32 with a P/E of 16.40, but its five-day and 20-day momentum remain negative. The takeaway is that valuation and analyst targets offer a bull case, while the chart still requires caution.
What is TSCO’s price target?
The analyst target is $35.48, with estimates ranging from $28.00 to $42.00. The takeaway is that analysts see a wide range of possible outcomes from the current $31.32 price.
What is TSCO’s 52-week range?
The key data lists a 52-week range of $28.36 to $58.21, while the actual computed price series shows a low of $28.17 and a high of $56.84. The takeaway is that TSCO is trading near the bottom of either range.
Does TSCO pay a dividend?
The provided data does not include dividend information. The takeaway is that no dividend conclusion can be made from these figures.
How much debt does Tractor Supply have?
Tractor Supply has $6.54 billion in total debt and $231.59 million in total cash. The takeaway is that debt substantially exceeds the reported cash balance.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated October 03, 2026.