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Domino’s Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated October 16, 2026

Price

$303.24

Change

+2.48%

Market Cap

$9.98B

Avg Volume

894.2K

Company Overview

Domino’s Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) is a global pizza delivery and carryout giant operating in the Consumer Cyclical restaurant sector. Headquartered in Ann Arbor, Michigan, the company sells pizzas, chicken wings, oven-baked sandwiches, pastas, and desserts directly to retail consumers through company-owned and franchised locations. Founded in 1960, the business runs across three core operating segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and a vertically integrated Supply Chain. Its operational engine relies heavily on selling dough, ingredients, and equipment directly to its franchisees alongside everyday store-level food sales.

Domino’s is the undisputed market leader in the U.S. quick-service pizza space, controlling approximately 23.3% of total category share. Its primary edge is a proprietary digital ordering platform paired with its internal supply chain, keeping franchisee operating costs low and order turnaround fast. Legacy rivals like Pizza Hut and Papa John’s struggle to match that operational efficiency at scale. Third-party delivery platforms remain the main competitive threat, but Domino’s aggressive carryout promotions and massive scale continue to protect its transaction volume.

The business is expanding aggressively rather than stagnating, posting $4.94 billion in revenue for 2025 compared to $4.71 billion in 2024. Domino’s closed 2025 with more than 21,700 total locations globally, delivering 776 net new store openings during that year alone. Its asset-light franchising model continues to compound high-margin royalty streams while steadily taking market share from weaker regional chains and independent pizzerias.

Key Financials

Market Cap

$9.98B

Revenue

$5.07B

EBITDA

$1.04B

Gross Margin

28.9%

Profit Margin

12.0%

Revenue Growth

3.4%

Total Cash

$229.04M

Total Debt

$5.12B

Free Cash Flow

$566.02M

52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics

P/E Ratio

16.72

Forward P/E

14.69

Beta

0.95

52-Week High

$442.35

52-Week Low

$282.00

EPS

$18.14

50-Day Avg

$323.16

200-Day Avg

$348.71

Price/Book

-2.52

Technical Analysis

DPZ trades at $303.24, just 15% of the way from its $280.27 52-week low to its $434.73 high. The stock is 30.28% below that high but still 8.14% above the low. Price sits 1.33% above the 20-day moving average of $299.12, while 20-day momentum is positive at 1.83%. The shorter trend is weaker, with five-day momentum at negative 1.80%. Near-term support is $292.14, and resistance is $344.90.

Recent News and Developments

Domino’s beats Q3 estimates, but sales growth stays weak

Domino’s reported third-quarter revenue of $1.186 billion, up 3.4%, while diluted EPS rose 12.7% to $4.60. U.S. same-store sales grew just 0.3% and international same-store sales increased 0.2%, so the profit beat did not fix the demand problem. Source: Domino’s Pizza Investor Relations

DPZ drops 4.8% after earnings

Domino’s shares fell 4.8% on October 13 and closed at $296.10. The market focused on sluggish same-store sales despite the company beating earnings and revenue expectations. Source: ORTEX News

Wall Street cuts Domino’s price targets

Morgan Stanley cut its target from $357 to $345, Bank of America reduced its target from $455 to $410, Citi moved from $335 to $308, and Bernstein dropped from $390 to $340. None of those firms changed its rating, but the coordinated cuts show analysts are pricing in weaker growth. Source: Yahoo Finance

Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case

Domino’s third-quarter revenue reached $1.186 billion, up 3.4%, and diluted EPS increased 12.7% to $4.60. That combination shows the company can grow profit faster than sales. The stock trades at 16.72 times earnings, with a market capitalization of $9.98 billion. Analysts still rate DPZ a buy, based on 27 analyst opinions. Their average target is $356.59, above the current price of $303.24, while the highest target is $425.00. The bull case is straightforward: earnings are growing, expectations have fallen, and the shares trade much closer to the 52-week low than the high.

Bear Case

The demand picture is weak despite the earnings beat. U.S. same-store sales increased only 0.3%, while international same-store sales rose just 0.2%. Investors punished that weakness on October 13, when DPZ fell 4.8% and closed at $296.10. Wall Street also reduced its expectations: Morgan Stanley cut its target from $357 to $345, Bank of America from $455 to $410, Citi from $335 to $308, and Bernstein from $390 to $340. The balance sheet adds risk, with $5.12 billion in total debt against only $229.04 million in cash. DPZ needs stronger sales growth because cost control and profit growth cannot carry the thesis indefinitely.

What to Watch

The next quarterly report needs to show whether U.S. same-store sales can improve from 0.3%. International same-store sales also need attention after growing only 0.2%. Revenue growth should be measured against the latest 3.4% rate, while EPS growth should be compared with the recent 12.7% increase. On the chart, $292.14 is the immediate level to defend; a break below it would put the $280.27 52-week low back in focus. A move above $344.90 would clear near-term resistance and bring the $356.59 average analyst target into view. Investors should also watch whether analysts make further reductions after targets were cut to $345, $410, $308, and $340.

Analyst Consensus

BUY

Based on 27 analyst opinions

Low Target

$260.00

Mean Target

$356.59

High Target

$425.00

Earnings and Financial Data

Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Industry

Restaurants

Employees

6,200

Earnings & Dividends

Next Earnings

Oct 13, 2026

EPS (Trailing)

$18.14

Dividend Yield

269.0%

Payout Ratio

42.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is DPZ a good stock to buy?

DPZ has a buy recommendation from 27 analysts and trades at $303.24 with a P/E ratio of 16.72. The clear takeaway is that analysts remain positive, but the stock’s weak short-term momentum still matters.

What is DPZ’s price target?

The average analyst target is $356.59, with estimates ranging from $260.00 to $425.00. The takeaway is that Wall Street’s central target is above the current $303.24 price, but the target range is wide.

What is DPZ’s 52-week range?

The listed 52-week range is $282.00 to $442.35, while the computed price series shows a low of $280.27 and a high of $434.73. The takeaway is that DPZ is trading near the lower end of its annual range.

What are DPZ’s support and resistance levels?

Near-term support is the 30-day low of $292.14, and near-term resistance is the 30-day high of $344.90. The takeaway is that these are the key levels to watch around the current $303.24 price.

How much debt does Domino’s have?

Domino’s has $5.12 billion in total debt and $229.04 million in total cash. The takeaway is that debt is a major balance-sheet consideration for DPZ investors.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated October 16, 2026.