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McDonald’s Corporation (MCD) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated October 07, 2026

Price
$231.88
Change
-0.25%
Market Cap
$164.08B
Avg Volume
5.0M

Company Overview

McDonald’s Corporation is a Chicago-based fast-food giant operating in the Consumer Cyclical restaurant sector. Founded in 1940, the company sells mass-market food and beverages, including hamburgers, cheeseburgers, chicken sandwiches, french fries, breakfast items, coffee, and limited-time promotional items. Its customer base consists of everyday global consumers prioritizing speed, convenience, and low-cost dining.

McDonald’s is the undisputed market leader in global quick-service dining with a footprint of 45,356 restaurants. Its primary operational edge is a heavily franchised model where roughly 95% of locations generate high-margin rent, royalties, and franchise fees under conventional, developmental, or affiliate structures. Direct competitors like Wendy’s and Burger King lack this level of supply chain leverage and marketing scale. The main threat to watch is consumer resistance to cumulative menu price hikes, which risks compromising the brand’s core affordability reputation.

The company generated $26.89 billion in revenue in 2025 and continues to expand systemwide sales through its Accelerating the Arches initiative. Digital channels now account for nearly 45% of systemwide revenue, powered by 210 million active loyalty members who accounted for nearly $37 billion in systemwide sales in 2025. Management is actively pivoting toward automated drive-thru operations, cloud-backed kitchen tech, and personalized mobile discounts to defend guest counts in a cost-conscious environment. It remains a reliable, defensive cash engine using digital dominance to outmaneuver smaller fast-food peers.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$164.08B
Revenue
$27.70B
EBITDA
$14.93B
Gross Margin
57.4%
Profit Margin
31.7%
Revenue Growth
3.7%
Total Cash
$822.00M
Total Debt
$54.60B
Free Cash Flow
$6.26B


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
18.84
Forward P/E
16.82
Beta
0.45
52-Week High
$341.75
52-Week Low
$229.20
EPS
$12.31
50-Day Avg
$257.85
200-Day Avg
$288.98
Price/Book
-160.36
MCD 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
MCD trades at $231.88, just 3% of the way from its $229.20 52-week low to its $335.18 high. The stock is 30.65% below that high and only 1.42% above the low. Price sits 4.19% below the 20-day moving average of $242.62, while momentum is negative 0.65% over five trading days and negative 9.13% over 20 days. Near-term support is $230.94, with resistance at the 30-day high of $266.21. The chart remains weak unless MCD can reclaim its 20-day average and stop testing support.


Recent News and Developments

McDonald’s faces federal antitrust lawsuit over AI pricing

A federal lawsuit alleges McDonald’s AI pricing system improperly shares nonpublic store-level sales data among competing franchisees. The complaint argues the system enables algorithmic price-fixing and pushes menu prices higher. Source: AP News

Wells Fargo and Guggenheim slash MCD price targets

Wells Fargo cut its McDonald’s target from $300 to $270 while keeping an Overweight rating. Guggenheim dropped its target from $290 to $250 and maintained Neutral as analysts flagged weak sales visibility, unresolved value concerns and execution risk around the NEXT strategy. Source: Yahoo Finance

MCD closes at $230.88 after two straight declines

McDonald’s shares closed October 7 at $230.88, down 0.68%, after falling 0.25% on October 6. The stock’s 0.50% rebound on October 5 failed to hold. Source: StockAnalysis.com



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
MCD trades at 18.84 times earnings, while the analyst consensus target is $293.76. All 29 covering analysts collectively rate the stock a buy, with targets ranging from $230.00 to $390.00. Revenue is $27.70 billion and is growing 3.7%, so the underlying business is still expanding despite the share-price decline. The stock is only 1.42% above its 52-week low, giving buyers an entry near the bottom of the measured range. McDonald’s Japan’s Golden Campaign runs through December 31 and gives loyalty members merchandise rewards and access to a 200-person special live recording. The bull case is straightforward: investors are paying 18.84 times earnings for a $164.08 billion company while Wall Street’s consensus target remains well above $231.88.
Bear Case
The chart is broken, with MCD down 30.65% from its 52-week high and 9.13% over the last 20 trading days. Price is below the $242.62 20-day moving average and sits just $0.94 above near-term support at $230.94. The balance sheet carries $54.60 billion in debt against only $822.00 million in cash. Wells Fargo cut its target from $300 to $270, while Guggenheim reduced its target from $290 to $250. Analysts cited weak sales visibility, unresolved value concerns and execution risk around the NEXT strategy. The federal antitrust lawsuit adds another problem by alleging that McDonald’s AI pricing system enabled algorithmic price-fixing through shared nonpublic store-level sales data. Revenue growth of 3.7% is positive, but it is not strong enough by itself to offset deteriorating momentum, heavy debt and fresh legal risk.
What to Watch
The first test is $230.94 support, which sits just below the current $231.88 price. A break below that level would put the $229.20 52-week low back in focus. On the upside, MCD needs to reclaim its $242.62 20-day moving average before the chart starts improving. The next major technical hurdle is $266.21, the 30-day high and near-term resistance. Investors should track whether the Golden Campaign in Japan gains traction before it ends on December 31. The federal antitrust lawsuit and management’s execution of the NEXT strategy also need close attention because both could affect pricing practices and sales visibility. The thesis improves if price retakes $242.62 and revenue growth holds above the reported 3.7%; it weakens if support fails or analysts continue cutting targets.
Analyst Consensus
BUY

Based on 29 analyst opinions
Low Target
$230.00
Mean Target
$293.76
High Target
$390.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Employees
150,000
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Nov 04, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$12.31
Dividend Yield
332.0%
Payout Ratio
59.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MCD a good stock to buy?
The consensus recommendation is buy across 29 analysts, and the stock trades at $231.88 with a P/E of 18.84. The clear takeaway is that analysts remain bullish, but the technical trend is weak.
What is MCD’s price target?
The analyst target is $293.76, with individual targets ranging from $230.00 to $390.00. The clear takeaway is that the consensus target is above the current $231.88 price.
What is MCD’s 52-week range?
The key data lists a 52-week range of $229.20 to $341.75, while the technical price series records a high of $335.18 and the same $229.20 low. The clear takeaway is that MCD trades near the bottom of either reported range.
What are MCD’s support and resistance levels?
Near-term support is $230.94, and near-term resistance is $266.21. The clear takeaway is that MCD is currently much closer to support than resistance.
Is MCD stock overvalued?
MCD trades at 18.84 times earnings, but the provided data does not include historical or peer valuation multiples for comparison. The clear takeaway is that the P/E alone cannot establish whether MCD is overvalued.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated October 07, 2026.