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Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Stock Analysis

By Nova Skye | AltStation.io | Updated October 26, 2026

Price
$336.59
Change
-0.49%
Market Cap
$23.22B
Avg Volume
361.5K

Company Overview

Texas Pacific Land Corporation is a Dallas-based land and royalty powerhouse operating in the oil and gas E&P sector. Founded in 1888, the company does not drill its own wells; instead, it monetizes vast surface and mineral acreage across the Permian Basin. TPL sells full-service water solutions, including sourcing, produced-water treatment, and disposal, directly to oil and gas operators. It also generates steady cash by leasing surface land for processing facilities and utility lines, selling materials like caliche and sand, and collecting oil and gas royalties.

TPL occupies a uniquely lucrative niche as the ultimate Permian toll collector. Its primary moat is an irreplaceable asset base consisting of a 1/16th perpetual royalty interest across approximately 371,000 acres, a 1/128th interest across 85,000 acres, and roughly 33,000 additional net royalty acres, totaling 224,000 net royalty acres. Operators cannot easily bypass TPL for subsurface wellbore easements, pipeline rights-of-way, or water infrastructure. The biggest risk to this model is its direct reliance on third-party activity; if Permian drilling slows down, TPL’s royalty and water volumes take an immediate hit.

Right now, TPL stands as a high-margin cash machine anchored by its Land and Resource Management and Water Services divisions. The company has steadily expanded beyond raw land management into comprehensive water operations, capturing both service fees and produced-water royalties. Holding perpetual royalty interests across 224,000 net royalty acres means TPL participates in Permian upside without taking on drilling capital expenditures or operational debt. It is an asset-light, multi-segment business built to extract maximum value from every barrel lifted across its footprint.

Key Financials
Market Cap
$23.22B
Revenue
$897.54M
EBITDA
$741.59M
Gross Margin
93.3%
Profit Margin
60.3%
Revenue Growth
31.2%
Total Cash
$248.61M
Total Debt
$18.02M
Free Cash Flow
-$32.84M


52-Week Price Performance Analysis

Price Statistics
P/E Ratio
42.93
Forward P/E
4.60
Beta
0.59
52-Week High
$547.20
52-Week Low
$269.23
EPS
$7.84
50-Day Avg
$356.76
200-Day Avg
$401.30
Price/Book
13.88
TPL 52-Week Stock Chart
Technical Analysis
TPL trades at $336.59, just 25% of the way from its $268.08 52-week low to its $544.86 high. The stock is 37.92% below that high but remains 26.18% above the low. Price sits 2.28% below its 20-day moving average of $346.16, while momentum is negative at 3.61% over five trading days and 0.82% over 20 trading days. Near-term support is $325.83, and resistance is $371.63. The chart stays weak unless TPL recovers the moving average and pushes through resistance.


Recent News and Developments

Seeking Alpha contributor upgrades TPL to Buy

Brent Hecht upgraded his TPL rating from Hold to Buy, citing the stock’s 35% pullback from its 52-week high and exposure to oil, AI infrastructure and hard assets. He highlighted second-quarter revenue of $246.1 million, net income of $153.9 million and an 88% EBITDA margin. Source: Seeking Alpha

TPL presses shareholders to approve Texas redomestication

TPL mailed shareholders an October 23 letter seeking approval to convert the company’s legal domicile from Delaware to Texas at its November 5 annual meeting. The board said the move would preserve existing shareholder rights, including annual director elections, proxy access and the right to call special meetings. Source: Texas Pacific Land Corporation

TPL loses 3.61% over seven days

TPL closed at $338.26 on October 23, up 1.38% for the session but down 3.61% over seven days. The week’s sharpest decline came October 22, when the stock fell 3.09% to $333.67. Source: FinanceCharts



Market Sentiment and Analyst Recommendations

Bull Case
Revenue growth of 31.2% is the strongest argument for owning TPL. Second-quarter revenue reached $246.1 million, with net income of $153.9 million and an 88% EBITDA margin. The balance sheet is also strong, with $248.61 million in cash against only $18.02 million in debt. TPL offers exposure to oil, AI infrastructure and hard assets, giving investors several potential growth drivers in one stock. The $443.00 analyst target sits well above the current $336.59 price, although the target range is unusually wide at $247.00 to $639.00. A Seeking Alpha contributor upgraded TPL from Hold to Buy after the pullback from its 52-week high. The buy case is straightforward: rapid revenue growth, exceptional margins, minimal debt and meaningful recovery potential.
Bear Case
TPL is not cheap at 42.93 times earnings. That valuation leaves little room for slower growth or weaker operating results. The stock is already 37.92% below its 52-week high, showing how quickly investors can reprice it despite strong fundamentals. Momentum remains negative, with declines of 3.61% over five trading days and 0.82% over 20 trading days. The current price is below the $346.16 moving average and only $10.76 above near-term support at $325.83. Analyst conviction is limited: only two analysts cover the stock, the consensus recommendation is Hold, and targets range from $247.00 to $639.00. TPL may be a strong company, but the 42.93 P/E makes it a demanding stock.
What to Watch
The November 4 earnings release is the immediate catalyst. Options priced a move of plus or minus 10.91%, or $37.05, around that report when TPL traded at $339.57 on October 23. Investors should compare the new results with second-quarter revenue of $246.1 million, net income of $153.9 million and the 88% EBITDA margin. Revenue growth also needs to remain strong relative to the current 31.2% rate to support a 42.93 P/E. The November 5 annual meeting will include the vote on moving TPL’s legal domicile from Delaware to Texas. On the chart, watch $325.83 support, the $346.16 moving average and $371.63 resistance. A break below support would deepen the technical damage, while a move above resistance would improve the near-term setup.
Analyst Consensus
HOLD

Based on 2 analyst opinions
Low Target
$247.00
Mean Target
$443.00
High Target
$639.00


Earnings and Financial Data

Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil & Gas E&P
Employees
114
Earnings & Dividends
Next Earnings
Nov 04, 2026
EPS (Trailing)
$7.84
Dividend Yield
71.0%
Payout Ratio
28.9%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TPL a good stock to buy?
TPL has 31.2% revenue growth, $248.61 million in cash and only $18.02 million in debt, but it trades at a 42.93 P/E. The two-analyst consensus is Hold, so the takeaway is that TPL has strong fundamentals but a demanding valuation.
What is TPL’s price target?
The analyst target is $443.00, with estimates ranging from $247.00 to $639.00. The takeaway is that analysts see potential upside, but the wide range signals substantial uncertainty.
Is TPL stock overvalued?
TPL trades at 42.93 times earnings while revenue is growing 31.2%. The takeaway is that the growth is strong, but the valuation already demands strong performance.
What are TPL’s support and resistance levels?
Near-term support is the 30-day low of $325.83, while near-term resistance is the 30-day high of $371.63. The takeaway is that these are the key levels defining the current trading range.
How far is TPL below its 52-week high?
TPL is 37.92% below its $544.86 52-week high and 26.18% above its $268.08 low. The takeaway is that the stock has suffered a major pullback but remains well above its yearly bottom.

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Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis and opinions expressed are those of AltStation.io and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Updated October 26, 2026.